Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 27/08, 03:00
Prediction: Vancouver Whitecaps II vs Los Angeles FC II
Team pages: Vancouver Whitecaps II · Los Angeles FC II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.31Total
Vancouver Whitecaps II1.4
Los Angeles FC II1.91
1X2
Vancouver Whitecaps II
Draw
Los Angeles FC II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Vancouver Whitecaps II
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Los Angeles FC II
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Vancouver Whitecaps II
2–2–2
Los Angeles FC II
(6 last)
- Los Angeles FC II2-1Vancouver Whitecaps II
- Vancouver Whitecaps II2-3Los Angeles FC II
- Los Angeles FC II1-3Vancouver Whitecaps II
- Vancouver Whitecaps II2-0Los Angeles FC II
- Los Angeles FC II3-3Vancouver Whitecaps II
- Vancouver Whitecaps II2-2Los Angeles FC II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Vancouver Whitecaps II 1428 · Los Angeles FC II 1560
| Vancouver Whitecaps II | Draw | Los Angeles FC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 27% | 24% | 49% |
| Market | 28% | 23% | 49% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.31 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 65%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Los Angeles FC II (rating 1428 vs 1560).
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Vancouver Whitecaps II | Los Angeles FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 2.2 | 1.7 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 1.1 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/60/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 3.8 | 2.7 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0.1 | 4.3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Vancouver Whitecaps II 2–2–2 Los Angeles FC II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 04/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 2-1 HT 2-1 | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
| 29/03/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 22/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 1-3 HT 0-3 | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
| 13/06/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 10/03/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 3-3 HT 3-0 | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
| 26/08/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Los Angeles FC II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 48 | 19 | 56 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 33 | 26 | 50 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo II | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 48 | 24 | 48 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 47 | 30 | 42 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC II | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 40 | 40 | 41 |
| 6 | St Louis City II | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 35 | 39 |
| 7 | Tacoma Defiance | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 37 | 36 | 36 |
| 8 | The Town | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 33 |
| 9 | North Texas SC | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 34 | 33 |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC II | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 36 | 31 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 32 | 46 | 26 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 33 | 54 | 22 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 61 | 20 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | 45 | 18 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Vancouver Whitecaps II | Los Angeles FC II |
|---|---|---|
| Tacoma Defiance | 2-4 L | 4-3 W |
| Real Monarchs SLC | 1-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Ventura County FC | 3-2 W | 0-2 L |
| Colorado Rapids II | 0-1 L | 3-0 W |
| North Texas SC | 1-1 D | 2-2 D |
| Portland Timbers II | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 4 L | 2 W 3 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Los Angeles FC II (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Vancouver Whitecaps II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 27/07 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 23/07 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 08/07 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/06 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 11/06 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 06/06 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 3 | L |
Los Angeles FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 17/08 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 06/07 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 29/06 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 10 | W |
| 25/06 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Vancouver Whitecaps II vs Los Angeles FC II?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Los Angeles FC II win (49%). Probabilities: Vancouver Whitecaps II 27%, draw 24%, Los Angeles FC II 49%.
How many goals are expected in Vancouver Whitecaps II vs Los Angeles FC II?
The model expects 3.31 goals (Vancouver Whitecaps II 1.4 · Los Angeles FC II 1.91), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Vancouver Whitecaps II vs Los Angeles FC II?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.