Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 06/09, 02:00
Prediction: Minnesota United FC II vs Colorado Rapids II
Team pages: Minnesota United FC II · Colorado Rapids II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.06Total
Minnesota United FC II1.86
Colorado Rapids II1.2
1X2
Minnesota United FC II
Draw
Colorado Rapids II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Minnesota United FC II
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Colorado Rapids II
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Minnesota United FC II
5–1
Colorado Rapids II
(6 last)
- Minnesota United FC II2-0Colorado Rapids II
- Colorado Rapids II1-2Minnesota United FC II
- Colorado Rapids II2-1Minnesota United FC II
- Colorado Rapids II1-2Minnesota United FC II
- Minnesota United FC II2-1Colorado Rapids II
- Colorado Rapids II0-2Minnesota United FC II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Minnesota United FC II 1517 · Colorado Rapids II 1459
| Minnesota United FC II | Draw | Colorado Rapids II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Market | 52% | 23% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.06 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Minnesota United FC II (rating 1517 vs 1459).
- H2H favours Minnesota United FC II: 5-0-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Minnesota United FC II | Colorado Rapids II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.6 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.9 | 0.2 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/60/30% | 10/40/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.2 / 4.3 | 1.7 / 5.8 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.3 / 0 | 4.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Minnesota United FC II 5–0–1 Colorado Rapids II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Minnesota United FC II | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Colorado Rapids II |
| 20/04/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Minnesota United FC II |
| 03/11/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Minnesota United FC II |
| 27/09/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Minnesota United FC II |
| 29/06/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Minnesota United FC II | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Colorado Rapids II |
| 25/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Minnesota United FC II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 51 | 21 | 59 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 27 | 53 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo II | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 48 | 28 | 48 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 32 | 45 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC II | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 42 | 43 | 41 |
| 6 | St Louis City II | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 39 | 36 | 40 |
| 7 | North Texas SC | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 39 | 36 | 38 |
| 8 | Tacoma Defiance | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 37 | 39 | 36 |
| 9 | The Town | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 31 | 36 |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC II | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 33 | 36 | 34 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 36 | 50 | 29 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 38 | 55 | 25 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 66 | 20 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 48 | 18 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Minnesota United FC II | Colorado Rapids II |
|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo II | 2-0 W | 1-2 L |
| North Texas SC | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Sporting Kansas City II | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Austin FC II | 3-2 W | 2-3 L |
| Tacoma Defiance | 2-2 D | 1-2 L |
| Los Angeles FC II | 0-1 L | 0-3 L |
| St Louis City II | 5-2 W | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Minnesota United FC II (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Minnesota United FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 20/07 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 13/07 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 29/06 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/06 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 5-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
Colorado Rapids II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 24/08 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 27/07 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 19/07 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 12/07 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 06/07 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Minnesota United FC II vs Colorado Rapids II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Minnesota United FC II win (52%). Probabilities: Minnesota United FC II 52%, draw 24%, Colorado Rapids II 24%.
How many goals are expected in Minnesota United FC II vs Colorado Rapids II?
The model expects 3.06 goals (Minnesota United FC II 1.86 · Colorado Rapids II 1.2), with a 50% chance of over 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Minnesota United FC II vs Colorado Rapids II?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.