Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 01/08, 04:00
Prediction: Ventura County FC vs North Texas SC
Team pages: Ventura County FC · North Texas SC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.92Total
Ventura County FC1.7
North Texas SC1.22
1X2
Ventura County FC
Draw
North Texas SC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ventura County FC
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
North Texas SC
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ventura County FC
0–1–4
North Texas SC
(5 last)
- North Texas SC1-1Ventura County FC
- Ventura County FC0-1North Texas SC
- Ventura County FC1-3North Texas SC
- North Texas SC2-0Ventura County FC
- Ventura County FC0-1North Texas SC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ventura County FC 1533 · North Texas SC 1522
| Ventura County FC | Draw | North Texas SC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 48% | 26% | 26% |
| Market | 49% | 24% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.92 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours North Texas SC: 4-1-0.
- Cards-heavy: 9.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ventura County FC | North Texas SC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.1 / 1.4 | 1.6 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.5 | 1.6 / 3.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.3 | 4.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ventura County FC 0–1–4 North Texas SC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | North Texas SC | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Ventura County FC |
| 01/09/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Ventura County FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | North Texas SC |
| 12/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Ventura County FC | 1-3 HT 1-0 | North Texas SC |
| 05/06/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | North Texas SC | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Ventura County FC |
| 03/04/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Ventura County FC | 0-1 HT 0-1 | North Texas SC |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 44 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo II | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers II | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 40 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 35 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC II | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 32 | 31 |
| 6 | Tacoma Defiance | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 27 | 30 |
| 7 | St Louis City II | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 33 | 30 |
| 8 | Minnesota United FC II | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 32 | 29 |
| 9 | The Town | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 37 | 23 | 28 |
| 10 | North Texas SC | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 23 | 26 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 36 | 26 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 45 | 19 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 50 | 16 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 39 | 12 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ventura County FC | North Texas SC |
|---|---|---|
| The Town | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| Los Angeles FC II | 2-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Vancouver Whitecaps II | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| Colorado Rapids II | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Ventura County FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ventura County FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 19/07 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 08/07 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 07/06 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 10/05 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 3-3 | 5 | 7 | D |
North Texas SC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 12/07 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 05/07 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 11/06 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 30/05 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 1 | 3 | L |
| 24/05 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 17/05 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 5-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 03/05 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ventura County FC vs North Texas SC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ventura County FC win (48%). Probabilities: Ventura County FC 48%, draw 25%, North Texas SC 27%.
How many goals are expected in Ventura County FC vs North Texas SC?
The model expects 2.92 goals (Ventura County FC 1.7 · North Texas SC 1.22), with a 57% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Ventura County FC vs North Texas SC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.