Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 09/08, 02:00
Prediction: Minnesota United FC II vs The Town
Team pages: Minnesota United FC II · The Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.01Total
Minnesota United FC II1.5
The Town1.5
1X2
Minnesota United FC II
Draw
The Town
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 65%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Minnesota United FC II
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
The Town
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Minnesota United FC II
1–2–3
The Town
(6 last)
- The Town1-0Minnesota United FC II
- Minnesota United FC II1-0The Town
- The Town3-2Minnesota United FC II
- Minnesota United FC II1-1The Town
- The Town2-2Minnesota United FC II
- Minnesota United FC II0-1The Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Minnesota United FC II 1462 · The Town 1480
| Minnesota United FC II | Draw | The Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 27% | 37% |
| Market | 38% | 24% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.01 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours The Town: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Minnesota United FC II | The Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.8 | 1.7 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 1.1 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/60/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.3 | 2.3 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Minnesota United FC II 1–2–3 The Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 13/04/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Minnesota United FC II |
| 01/09/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Minnesota United FC II | 1-0 HT 0-0 | The Town |
| 23/07/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Minnesota United FC II |
| 09/08/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Minnesota United FC II | 1-1 HT 1-1 | The Town |
| 04/09/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 2-2 HT 2-1 | Minnesota United FC II |
| 30/07/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Minnesota United FC II | 0-1 HT 0-1 | The Town |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 20 | 13 | 5 | 2 | 42 | 18 | 46 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 21 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 43 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo II | 19 | 12 | 3 | 4 | 42 | 19 | 42 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 43 | 28 | 38 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC II | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 32 | 34 |
| 6 | Tacoma Defiance | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 29 | 29 | 33 |
| 7 | St Louis City II | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 33 |
| 8 | The Town | 19 | 8 | 4 | 7 | 38 | 24 | 29 |
| 9 | Minnesota United FC II | 21 | 8 | 3 | 10 | 29 | 34 | 29 |
| 10 | North Texas SC | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 29 | 26 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 21 | 6 | 4 | 11 | 31 | 39 | 26 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas City II | 20 | 5 | 3 | 12 | 27 | 52 | 19 |
| 13 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 49 | 19 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 21 | 2 | 5 | 14 | 18 | 42 | 12 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Minnesota United FC II | The Town |
|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers II | 1-2 L | 3-2 W |
| Sporting Kansas City II | 0-1 L | 6-1 W |
| Austin FC II | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Tacoma Defiance | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Minnesota United FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/08 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 20/07 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 13/07 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 29/06 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/06 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 5-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-3 | 1-3 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
The Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 19/07 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 13/07 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 08/07 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-1 | 6-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 18/06 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 08/06 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 18/05 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 5 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Minnesota United FC II vs The Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Minnesota United FC II win (37%). Probabilities: Minnesota United FC II 37%, draw 25%, The Town 37%.
How many goals are expected in Minnesota United FC II vs The Town?
The model expects 3.01 goals (Minnesota United FC II 1.5 · The Town 1.5), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Minnesota United FC II vs The Town?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.