Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 01/08, 02:00
Prediction: Minnesota United FC II vs Portland Timbers II
Team pages: Minnesota United FC II · Portland Timbers II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.03Total
Minnesota United FC II1.51
Portland Timbers II1.52
1X2
Minnesota United FC II
Draw
Portland Timbers II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Minnesota United FC II
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Portland Timbers II
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Minnesota United FC II
2–1–3
Portland Timbers II
(6 last)
- Portland Timbers II2-1Minnesota United FC II
- Portland Timbers II1-1Minnesota United FC II
- Minnesota United FC II2-3Portland Timbers II
- Portland Timbers II3-4Minnesota United FC II
- Minnesota United FC II4-0Portland Timbers II
- Portland Timbers II4-2Minnesota United FC II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Minnesota United FC II 1470 · Portland Timbers II 1545
| Minnesota United FC II | Draw | Portland Timbers II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 26% | 37% |
| Market | 37% | 25% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.03 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 55%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Portland Timbers II (rating 1470 vs 1545).
- H2H favours Portland Timbers II: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Minnesota United FC II | Portland Timbers II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.8 | 1.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 1 | 0.3 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 10/80/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.2 / 3.7 | 1.7 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0 | 4.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Minnesota United FC II 2–1–3 Portland Timbers II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Portland Timbers II | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Minnesota United FC II |
| 19/07/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Portland Timbers II | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Minnesota United FC II |
| 26/06/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Minnesota United FC II | 2-3 HT 0-3 | Portland Timbers II |
| 21/04/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Portland Timbers II | 3-4 HT 2-1 | Minnesota United FC II |
| 03/07/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Minnesota United FC II | 4-0 HT 1-0 | Portland Timbers II |
| 03/06/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Portland Timbers II | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Minnesota United FC II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 44 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo II | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers II | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 40 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 35 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC II | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 32 | 31 |
| 6 | Tacoma Defiance | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 27 | 30 |
| 7 | St Louis City II | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 33 | 30 |
| 8 | Minnesota United FC II | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 32 | 29 |
| 9 | The Town | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 37 | 23 | 28 |
| 10 | North Texas SC | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 23 | 26 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 36 | 26 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 45 | 19 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 50 | 16 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 39 | 12 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Minnesota United FC II | Portland Timbers II |
|---|---|---|
| Houston Dynamo II | 0-4 L | 0-3 L |
| Tacoma Defiance | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Los Angeles FC II | 0-1 L | 0-0 D |
| St Louis City II | 5-2 W | 2-1 W |
| Colorado Rapids II | 2-0 W | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Portland Timbers II (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Minnesota United FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/07 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 13/07 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 29/06 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/06 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 5-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-3 | 1-3 | 9 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 14/05 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
Portland Timbers II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 19/07 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 06/07 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 06/06 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 31/05 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 24/05 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 4 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Minnesota United FC II vs Portland Timbers II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Minnesota United FC II win (37%). Probabilities: Minnesota United FC II 37%, draw 26%, Portland Timbers II 37%.
How many goals are expected in Minnesota United FC II vs Portland Timbers II?
The model expects 3.03 goals (Minnesota United FC II 1.51 · Portland Timbers II 1.52), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Minnesota United FC II vs Portland Timbers II?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.