Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 01/08, 04:00
Prediction: Los Angeles FC II vs Colorado Rapids II
Team pages: Los Angeles FC II · Colorado Rapids II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.9Total
Los Angeles FC II1.79
Colorado Rapids II1.11
1X2
Los Angeles FC II
Draw
Colorado Rapids II
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Los Angeles FC II
4-4-2 (W-D-L)
Colorado Rapids II
2-2-6 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Los Angeles FC II
2–1–2
Colorado Rapids II
(5 last)
- Los Angeles FC II3-2Colorado Rapids II
- Los Angeles FC II3-2Colorado Rapids II
- Colorado Rapids II1-1Los Angeles FC II
- Colorado Rapids II4-0Los Angeles FC II
- Los Angeles FC II0-1Colorado Rapids II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Los Angeles FC II 1516 · Colorado Rapids II 1445
| Los Angeles FC II | Draw | Colorado Rapids II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 25% | 22% |
| Market | 54% | 22% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.9 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Los Angeles FC II (rating 1516 vs 1445).
- Cards-heavy: 10 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Los Angeles FC II | Colorado Rapids II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1.3 | 0.8 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 0.7 | 0.1 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 0/40/60% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.5 | 1.5 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.3 / 0.5 | 4.7 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Los Angeles FC II 2–1–2 Colorado Rapids II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/05/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Colorado Rapids II |
| 29/06/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Colorado Rapids II |
| 01/04/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 20/08/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 4-0 HT 3-0 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 12/06/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Colorado Rapids II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 19 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 41 | 17 | 44 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo II | 18 | 12 | 3 | 3 | 40 | 16 | 42 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers II | 20 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 26 | 23 | 40 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 27 | 35 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC II | 19 | 7 | 7 | 5 | 30 | 32 | 31 |
| 6 | Tacoma Defiance | 20 | 8 | 4 | 8 | 25 | 27 | 30 |
| 7 | St Louis City II | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 33 | 30 |
| 8 | Minnesota United FC II | 20 | 8 | 3 | 9 | 28 | 32 | 29 |
| 9 | The Town | 18 | 8 | 3 | 7 | 37 | 23 | 28 |
| 10 | North Texas SC | 18 | 6 | 6 | 6 | 29 | 23 | 26 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 20 | 6 | 4 | 10 | 31 | 36 | 26 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 21 | 4 | 4 | 13 | 26 | 45 | 19 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 19 | 4 | 3 | 12 | 24 | 50 | 16 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 20 | 2 | 5 | 13 | 18 | 39 | 12 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Los Angeles FC II | Colorado Rapids II |
|---|---|---|
| North Texas SC | 2-2 D | 1-0 W |
| Ventura County FC | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Portland Timbers II | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Real Monarchs SLC | 2-2 D | 0-2 L |
| Houston Dynamo II | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| Minnesota United FC II | 1-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Austin FC II | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| St Louis City II | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 4 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Los Angeles FC II (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Los Angeles FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/07 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 06/07 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 29/06 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 11 | W |
| 25/06 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/06 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 17/05 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/05 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 3-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
Colorado Rapids II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 19/07 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 12/07 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 06/07 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
| 07/06 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 24/05 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 21/05 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Los Angeles FC II vs Colorado Rapids II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Los Angeles FC II win (53%). Probabilities: Los Angeles FC II 53%, draw 24%, Colorado Rapids II 23%.
How many goals are expected in Los Angeles FC II vs Colorado Rapids II?
The model expects 2.9 goals (Los Angeles FC II 1.79 · Colorado Rapids II 1.11), with a 57% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Los Angeles FC II vs Colorado Rapids II?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.