Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 03/08, 01:00

Prediction: St Louis City II vs Real Monarchs SLC

Team pages: St Louis City II · Real Monarchs SLC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.26Total

St Louis City II1.71

Real Monarchs SLC1.55

1X2

41% 25% 34%

St Louis City II Draw Real Monarchs SLC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

St Louis City II 1-3-6 (W-D-L)

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Real Monarchs SLC 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWLLDWLL

Head-to-head

St Louis City II 6–0 Real Monarchs SLC (6 last)

Real Monarchs SLC1-3St Louis City II
St Louis City II2-0Real Monarchs SLC
St Louis City II4-0Real Monarchs SLC
Real Monarchs SLC1-4St Louis City II
St Louis City II2-0Real Monarchs SLC
Real Monarchs SLC0-2St Louis City II

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours St Louis City II: 6-0-0.
High corners: 10.6 combined avg.
Cards-heavy: 8.8 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	St Louis City II	Real Monarchs SLC
Goals for / against (FT)	1 / 2.1	1.5 / 2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.9	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/60/40%	30/40/30%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 6.5	2.3 / 4.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.2 / 0.2	5.6 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.86

Diff.: 0.3 · xG: 3.3

Market movement

Match winner · 2 moves · last 03:27

	Pinnacle	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.84▲	Pinn 1.84
X	3.71 → 3.68▼	Pinn 3.68
2	3.62 → 3.62	Pinn 3.62

See the full journey (2)

Pinnacle margin 9.1%

Time*	1	X	2
02:13	1.83	3.71	3.62
03:27	1.84▲	3.68▼	3.62

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · St Louis City II 6–0–0 Real Monarchs SLC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
07/07/25 USA MLS Next Pro League	Real Monarchs SLC	1-3 HT 1-1	St Louis City II
20/04/24 USA MLS Next Pro League	St Louis City II	2-0 HT 0-0	Real Monarchs SLC
07/08/23 USA MLS Next Pro League	St Louis City II	4-0 HT 2-0	Real Monarchs SLC
19/06/23 USA MLS Next Pro League	Real Monarchs SLC	1-4 HT 1-3	St Louis City II
26/06/22 USA MLS Next Pro League	St Louis City II	2-0 HT 2-0	Real Monarchs SLC
30/04/22 USA MLS Next Pro League	Real Monarchs SLC	0-2 HT 0-0	St Louis City II

Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Austin FC II	19	13	4	2	41	17	44
2	Portland Timbers II	21	12	5	4	28	24	43
3	Houston Dynamo II	19	12	3	4	42	19	42
4	Ventura County FC	21	10	5	6	43	28	38
5	Los Angeles FC II	20	8	7	5	33	32	34
6	Tacoma Defiance	20	8	4	8	25	27	30
7	St Louis City II	20	7	6	7	31	33	30
8	Minnesota United FC II	21	8	3	10	29	34	29
9	The Town	18	8	3	7	37	23	28
10	North Texas SC	19	6	6	7	30	29	26
11	Real Monarchs SLC	20	6	4	10	31	36	26
12	Sporting Kansas City II	20	5	3	12	27	52	19
13	Vancouver Whitecaps II	21	4	4	13	26	45	19
14	Colorado Rapids II	21	2	5	14	18	42	12

Common opponents 3 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	St Louis City II	Real Monarchs SLC
Vancouver Whitecaps II	1-1 D	2-1 W
Portland Timbers II	1-2 L	0-1 L
Los Angeles FC II	1-1 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	0 W 2 D 1 L	1 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Real Monarchs SLC (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

St Louis City II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/07	Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-1	1-1	8	2	D
19/07	Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-0	1-2	6	2	L
12/07	Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-1	1-2	4	5	L
05/07	North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League	0-0	0-3	1	3	L
29/06	Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-1	0-2	0	0	L
20/06	Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-2	2-5	3	4	L
07/06	Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-1	1-1	9	3	D
30/05	North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League	0-0	2-0	10	3	W
24/05	Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-1	1-1	9	7	D
18/05	Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-2	1-4	15	5	L

Real Monarchs SLC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
26/07	Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-0	0-1	5	9	L
20/07	Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League	1-2	2-4	5	4	L
12/07	Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-1	2-1	2	3	W
06/07	Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-0	2-2	3	7	D
28/06	Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League	1-0	1-3	3	5	L
22/06	Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League	0-0	0-1	2	5	L
13/06	Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-1	4-1	2	7	W
08/06	The Town USA MLS Next Pro League	0-3	0-3	8	6	L
30/05	Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-1	1-3	7	6	L
25/05	Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-0	3-1	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in St Louis City II vs Real Monarchs SLC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a St Louis City II win (41%). Probabilities: St Louis City II 41%, draw 25%, Real Monarchs SLC 34%.

How many goals are expected in St Louis City II vs Real Monarchs SLC?

The model expects 3.26 goals (St Louis City II 1.71 · Real Monarchs SLC 1.55), with a 51% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in St Louis City II vs Real Monarchs SLC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.