Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 17/08, 04:00
Prediction: Los Angeles FC II vs Tacoma Defiance
Team pages: Los Angeles FC II · Tacoma Defiance
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.16Total
Los Angeles FC II1.63
Tacoma Defiance1.53
1X2
Los Angeles FC II
Draw
Tacoma Defiance
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 61%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Los Angeles FC II
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Tacoma Defiance
6-1-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Los Angeles FC II
1–1–4
Tacoma Defiance
(6 last)
- Tacoma Defiance4-1Los Angeles FC II
- Tacoma Defiance2-2Los Angeles FC II
- Tacoma Defiance4-2Los Angeles FC II
- Los Angeles FC II2-3Tacoma Defiance
- Los Angeles FC II3-2Tacoma Defiance
- Los Angeles FC II1-2Tacoma Defiance
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Tacoma Defiance: 4-1-1.
- Cards-heavy: 9.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Los Angeles FC II | Tacoma Defiance | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1 | 1.7 / 1.4 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/60/20% | 30/50/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 5.2 | 1.7 / 3.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.8 / 0.5 | 4.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Los Angeles FC II 1–1–4 Tacoma Defiance
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Tacoma Defiance | 4-1 HT 3-1 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 02/03/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Tacoma Defiance | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 11/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Tacoma Defiance | 4-2 HT 2-2 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 29/06/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 2-3 HT 0-2 | Tacoma Defiance |
| 11/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Tacoma Defiance |
| 31/08/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Tacoma Defiance |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 21 | 14 | 5 | 2 | 43 | 18 | 49 |
| 2 | Houston Dynamo II | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 45 |
| 3 | Portland Timbers II | 22 | 12 | 6 | 4 | 28 | 24 | 45 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 41 |
| 5 | St Louis City II | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 34 | 33 | 35 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC II | 21 | 8 | 8 | 5 | 33 | 32 | 35 |
| 7 | Tacoma Defiance | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 30 | 32 | 33 |
| 8 | The Town | 20 | 8 | 5 | 7 | 39 | 25 | 31 |
| 9 | Minnesota United FC II | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 35 | 30 |
| 10 | North Texas SC | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 33 | 30 | 29 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 42 | 26 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas City II | 21 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 27 | 53 | 19 |
| 13 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 22 | 4 | 4 | 14 | 28 | 49 | 19 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 22 | 2 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 42 | 13 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Los Angeles FC II | Tacoma Defiance |
|---|---|---|
| Portland Timbers II | 0-0 D | 0-2 L |
| Colorado Rapids II | 3-0 W | 2-1 W |
| North Texas SC | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Real Monarchs SLC | 2-2 D | 4-2 W |
| Houston Dynamo II | 3-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Minnesota United FC II | 1-0 W | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 3 D 0 L | 3 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Los Angeles FC II (5 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Los Angeles FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/08 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 06/07 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 7 | D |
| 29/06 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 11 | W |
| 25/06 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/06 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 24/05 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
Tacoma Defiance
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/07 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 6 | W |
| 20/07 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 4-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 13/07 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 06/07 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 29/06 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 22/06 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 18/06 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Los Angeles FC II vs Tacoma Defiance?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Los Angeles FC II win (39%). Probabilities: Los Angeles FC II 39%, draw 26%, Tacoma Defiance 35%.
How many goals are expected in Los Angeles FC II vs Tacoma Defiance?
The model expects 3.16 goals (Los Angeles FC II 1.63 · Tacoma Defiance 1.53), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Los Angeles FC II vs Tacoma Defiance?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.