Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 24/08, 02:30
Prediction: Austin FC II vs The Town
Team pages: Austin FC II · The Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.95Total
Austin FC II1.79
The Town1.16
1X2
Austin FC II
Draw
The Town
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Austin FC II
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
The Town
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Austin FC II
2–2–2
The Town
(6 last)
- The Town1-1Austin FC II
- The Town1-2Austin FC II
- Austin FC II3-4The Town
- The Town0-0Austin FC II
- The Town0-2Austin FC II
- Austin FC II0-1The Town
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Austin FC II 1568 · The Town 1460
| Austin FC II | Draw | The Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 51% | 25% | 23% |
| Market | 52% | 24% | 24% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.95 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Austin FC II (rating 1568 vs 1460).
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Austin FC II | The Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 0.9 | 1.4 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.2 | 0.5 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 10/60/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 3.5 | 2.1 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.1 | 3.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Austin FC II 2–2–2 The Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/08/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Austin FC II |
| 05/10/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Austin FC II |
| 06/10/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 3-4 HT 3-2 | The Town |
| 21/04/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Austin FC II |
| 13/08/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 0-2 HT 0-0 | Austin FC II |
| 20/05/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 0-1 HT 0-1 | The Town |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 47 | 19 | 53 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo II | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 46 | 22 | 46 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 41 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC II | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 39 | 36 | 41 |
| 6 | St Louis City II | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 33 | 38 |
| 7 | Tacoma Defiance | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 36 | 33 |
| 8 | The Town | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 28 | 33 |
| 9 | North Texas SC | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 33 | 33 | 31 |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC II | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 35 | 30 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 42 | 26 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas City II | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 57 | 20 |
| 13 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 53 | 19 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 23 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 44 | 15 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Austin FC II | The Town |
|---|---|---|
| North Texas SC | 0-0 D | 0-1 L |
| Vancouver Whitecaps II | 4-1 W | 2-3 L |
| Sporting Kansas City II | 1-0 W | 6-1 W |
| Houston Dynamo II | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Minnesota United FC II | 2-3 L | 1-1 D |
| St Louis City II | 2-0 W | 0-2 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 1 L | 1 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Austin FC II (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Austin FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 16/08 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/08 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 03/08 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 27/07 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 23/07 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/07 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 06/07 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 29/06 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
| 22/06 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 0 | 4 | W |
The Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20/08 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 17/08 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 03/08 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 19/07 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 13/07 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 08/07 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-1 | 6-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 18/06 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Austin FC II vs The Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Austin FC II win (52%). Probabilities: Austin FC II 52%, draw 24%, The Town 24%.
How many goals are expected in Austin FC II vs The Town?
The model expects 2.95 goals (Austin FC II 1.79 · The Town 1.16), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Austin FC II vs The Town?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.