Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 24/08, 04:00
Prediction: Ventura County FC vs Portland Timbers II
Team pages: Ventura County FC · Portland Timbers II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.97Total
Ventura County FC1.49
Portland Timbers II1.48
1X2
Ventura County FC
Draw
Portland Timbers II
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Ventura County FC
7-1-2 (W-D-L)
Portland Timbers II
6-2-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Ventura County FC
1–3–2
Portland Timbers II
(6 last)
- Portland Timbers II3-3Ventura County FC
- Portland Timbers II0-0Ventura County FC
- Ventura County FC2-2Portland Timbers II
- Portland Timbers II2-3Ventura County FC
- Ventura County FC2-3Portland Timbers II
- Portland Timbers II2-1Ventura County FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Ventura County FC 1569 · Portland Timbers II 1560
| Ventura County FC | Draw | Portland Timbers II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 27% | 36% |
| Market | 38% | 25% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.97 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Portland Timbers II: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Ventura County FC | Portland Timbers II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.4 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.9 / 0.2 | 0.4 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/20/20% | 10/90/0% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.2 | 1.5 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.7 / 0.3 | 4.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Ventura County FC 1–3–2 Portland Timbers II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 10/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Portland Timbers II | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Ventura County FC |
| 24/03/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Portland Timbers II | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Ventura County FC |
| 10/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Ventura County FC | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Portland Timbers II |
| 12/06/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Portland Timbers II | 2-3 HT 2-3 | Ventura County FC |
| 24/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Ventura County FC | 2-3 HT 1-1 | Portland Timbers II |
| 18/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Portland Timbers II | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Ventura County FC |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 47 | 19 | 53 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo II | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 46 | 22 | 46 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 41 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC II | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 39 | 36 | 41 |
| 6 | St Louis City II | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 33 | 38 |
| 7 | Tacoma Defiance | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 36 | 33 |
| 8 | The Town | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 28 | 33 |
| 9 | North Texas SC | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 33 | 33 | 31 |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC II | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 35 | 30 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 42 | 26 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas City II | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 57 | 20 |
| 13 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 53 | 19 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 23 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 44 | 15 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Ventura County FC | Portland Timbers II |
|---|---|---|
| North Texas SC | 6-1 W | 3-0 W |
| The Town | 3-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Los Angeles FC II | 2-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Real Monarchs SLC | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Colorado Rapids II | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Tacoma Defiance | 0-1 L | 2-0 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 1 D 1 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Ventura County FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Ventura County FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 6-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 19/07 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 08/07 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 07/06 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 23/05 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
Portland Timbers II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 19/07 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 06/07 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 13/06 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 7 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Ventura County FC vs Portland Timbers II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Ventura County FC win (37%). Probabilities: Ventura County FC 37%, draw 26%, Portland Timbers II 37%.
How many goals are expected in Ventura County FC vs Portland Timbers II?
The model expects 2.97 goals (Ventura County FC 1.49 · Portland Timbers II 1.48), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Ventura County FC vs Portland Timbers II?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.