Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 24/08, 02:00
Prediction: Colorado Rapids II vs Real Monarchs SLC
Team pages: Colorado Rapids II · Real Monarchs SLC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.84Total
Colorado Rapids II1.56
Real Monarchs SLC1.28
1X2
Colorado Rapids II
Draw
Real Monarchs SLC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Colorado Rapids II
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Real Monarchs SLC
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Colorado Rapids II
3–1–2
Real Monarchs SLC
(6 last)
- Real Monarchs SLC2-0Colorado Rapids II
- Colorado Rapids II2-1Real Monarchs SLC
- Real Monarchs SLC2-2Colorado Rapids II
- Colorado Rapids II1-2Real Monarchs SLC
- Colorado Rapids II2-0Real Monarchs SLC
- Real Monarchs SLC1-4Colorado Rapids II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Colorado Rapids II 1455 · Real Monarchs SLC 1447
| Colorado Rapids II | Draw | Real Monarchs SLC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 43% | 27% | 30% |
| Market | 44% | 25% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.84 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Colorado Rapids II: 3-1-2.
- Cards-heavy: 10.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Colorado Rapids II | Real Monarchs SLC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.5 | 1.1 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.8 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/40/60% | 20/50/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 5.8 | 1.8 / 3.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.7 / 0.5 | 5.4 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colorado Rapids II 3–1–2 Real Monarchs SLC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Real Monarchs SLC | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Colorado Rapids II |
| 19/05/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Real Monarchs SLC |
| 24/03/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Real Monarchs SLC | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Colorado Rapids II |
| 19/08/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Real Monarchs SLC |
| 10/09/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Real Monarchs SLC |
| 15/07/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Real Monarchs SLC | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Colorado Rapids II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 23 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 47 | 19 | 53 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo II | 22 | 13 | 4 | 5 | 46 | 22 | 46 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 41 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC II | 23 | 10 | 8 | 5 | 39 | 36 | 41 |
| 6 | St Louis City II | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 33 | 38 |
| 7 | Tacoma Defiance | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 36 | 33 |
| 8 | The Town | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 40 | 28 | 33 |
| 9 | North Texas SC | 22 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 33 | 33 | 31 |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC II | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 35 | 30 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 42 | 26 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas City II | 23 | 5 | 4 | 14 | 30 | 57 | 20 |
| 13 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 53 | 19 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 23 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 44 | 15 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Colorado Rapids II | Real Monarchs SLC |
|---|---|---|
| St Louis City II | 0-0 D | 0-3 L |
| Los Angeles FC II | 0-3 L | 2-2 D |
| Tacoma Defiance | 1-2 L | 2-4 L |
| Houston Dynamo II | 1-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Vancouver Whitecaps II | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Portland Timbers II | 0-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Ventura County FC | 1-1 D | 1-3 L |
| Record vs common | 1 W 2 D 4 L | 1 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Colorado Rapids II (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colorado Rapids II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 27/07 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 19/07 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 12/07 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 06/07 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 14/06 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 1 | 7 | D |
Real Monarchs SLC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 03/08 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 26/07 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 9 | L |
| 20/07 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 12/07 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 06/07 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 3 | 7 | D |
| 28/06 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 3 | 5 | L |
| 22/06 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 13/06 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 4-1 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 08/06 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 8 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colorado Rapids II vs Real Monarchs SLC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Colorado Rapids II win (43%). Probabilities: Colorado Rapids II 43%, draw 26%, Real Monarchs SLC 31%.
How many goals are expected in Colorado Rapids II vs Real Monarchs SLC?
The model expects 2.84 goals (Colorado Rapids II 1.56 · Real Monarchs SLC 1.28), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Colorado Rapids II vs Real Monarchs SLC?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.