Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 20/08, 01:00
Prediction: Houston Dynamo II vs The Town
Team pages: Houston Dynamo II · The Town
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3Total
Houston Dynamo II1.7
The Town1.31
1X2
Houston Dynamo II
Draw
The Town
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Houston Dynamo II
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
The Town
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Houston Dynamo II
0–2–4
The Town
(6 last)
- Houston Dynamo II0-1The Town
- The Town2-1Houston Dynamo II
- The Town1-1Houston Dynamo II
- The Town4-3Houston Dynamo II
- Houston Dynamo II1-2The Town
- The Town1-1Houston Dynamo II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Houston Dynamo II 1479 · The Town 1477
| Houston Dynamo II | Draw | The Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 46% | 26% | 28% |
| Market | 46% | 25% | 29% |
Estimated total (ours)
3 goals · Bet365 line 3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours The Town: 4-2-0.
- High corners: 10.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.8 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Houston Dynamo II | The Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.6 | 1.6 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.3 | 0.8 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 60/30/10% | 20/60/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 5.3 | 2.1 / 5.4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.4 / 0.7 | 3.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Houston Dynamo II 0–2–4 The Town
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Houston Dynamo II | 0-1 HT 0-0 | The Town |
| 21/10/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Houston Dynamo II |
| 04/05/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Houston Dynamo II |
| 20/08/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 4-3 HT 1-3 | Houston Dynamo II |
| 26/06/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Houston Dynamo II | 1-2 HT 1-2 | The Town |
| 02/07/22 USA MLS Next Pro League | The Town | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Houston Dynamo II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 22 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 47 | 19 | 52 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 23 | 13 | 6 | 4 | 31 | 24 | 48 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo II | 21 | 13 | 3 | 5 | 45 | 21 | 45 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 22 | 11 | 5 | 6 | 45 | 28 | 41 |
| 5 | St Louis City II | 23 | 9 | 7 | 7 | 36 | 33 | 38 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC II | 22 | 9 | 8 | 5 | 37 | 35 | 38 |
| 7 | Tacoma Defiance | 23 | 9 | 4 | 10 | 33 | 36 | 33 |
| 8 | The Town | 21 | 8 | 5 | 8 | 39 | 27 | 31 |
| 9 | Minnesota United FC II | 22 | 8 | 4 | 10 | 30 | 35 | 30 |
| 10 | North Texas SC | 21 | 7 | 6 | 8 | 33 | 33 | 29 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 22 | 6 | 4 | 12 | 31 | 42 | 26 |
| 12 | Sporting Kansas City II | 22 | 5 | 4 | 13 | 29 | 55 | 20 |
| 13 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 23 | 4 | 4 | 15 | 29 | 53 | 19 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 23 | 2 | 7 | 14 | 20 | 44 | 15 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Houston Dynamo II | The Town |
|---|---|---|
| Ventura County FC | 0-2 L | 0-3 L |
| Real Monarchs SLC | 3-0 W | 3-0 W |
| Sporting Kansas City II | 2-3 L | 6-1 W |
| Austin FC II | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| St Louis City II | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Minnesota United FC II | 4-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Tacoma Defiance | 1-2 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 2 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Houston Dynamo II (3 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Houston Dynamo II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 27/07 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 12/07 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/07 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 29/06 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 11 | L |
| 18/06 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 07/06 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
The Town
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 03/08 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-3 | 3 | 1 | L |
| 19/07 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 13/07 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 08/07 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-1 | 6-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 27/06 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 18/06 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 08/06 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Houston Dynamo II vs The Town?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Houston Dynamo II win (46%). Probabilities: Houston Dynamo II 46%, draw 25%, The Town 29%.
How many goals are expected in Houston Dynamo II vs The Town?
The model expects 3 goals (Houston Dynamo II 1.7 · The Town 1.31), with a 53% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in Houston Dynamo II vs The Town?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.