Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 29/08, 02:00
Prediction: Colorado Rapids II vs Ventura County FC
Team pages: Colorado Rapids II · Ventura County FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.03Total
Colorado Rapids II1.54
Ventura County FC1.49
1X2
Colorado Rapids II
Draw
Ventura County FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 64%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Colorado Rapids II
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Ventura County FC
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Colorado Rapids II
3–2–0
Ventura County FC
(5 last)
- Ventura County FC1-1Colorado Rapids II
- Ventura County FC0-2Colorado Rapids II
- Colorado Rapids II2-2Ventura County FC
- Colorado Rapids II5-1Ventura County FC
- Ventura County FC0-5Colorado Rapids II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Colorado Rapids II 1489 · Ventura County FC 1559
| Colorado Rapids II | Draw | Ventura County FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 38% | 26% | 36% |
| Market | 39% | 24% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.03 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 52%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ventura County FC (rating 1489 vs 1559).
- H2H favours Colorado Rapids II: 3-2-0.
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Colorado Rapids II | Ventura County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.5 | 2.6 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.1 / 0.7 | 1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/40/50% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 6.1 | 2.9 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.3 | 3.6 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Colorado Rapids II 3–2–0 Ventura County FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/06/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Ventura County FC | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Colorado Rapids II |
| 05/10/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Ventura County FC | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Colorado Rapids II |
| 17/06/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Ventura County FC |
| 26/06/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Colorado Rapids II | 5-1 HT 2-1 | Ventura County FC |
| 08/05/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Ventura County FC | 0-5 HT 0-2 | Colorado Rapids II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 48 | 19 | 56 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 33 | 26 | 50 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo II | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 48 | 24 | 48 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 23 | 11 | 6 | 6 | 47 | 30 | 42 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC II | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 40 | 40 | 41 |
| 6 | St Louis City II | 24 | 9 | 8 | 7 | 38 | 35 | 39 |
| 7 | Tacoma Defiance | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 37 | 36 | 36 |
| 8 | The Town | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 33 |
| 9 | North Texas SC | 23 | 7 | 8 | 8 | 34 | 34 | 33 |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC II | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 36 | 31 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 32 | 46 | 26 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 33 | 54 | 22 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 61 | 20 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 24 | 3 | 7 | 14 | 24 | 45 | 18 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Colorado Rapids II | Ventura County FC |
|---|---|---|
| Real Monarchs SLC | 4-1 W | 3-1 W |
| Los Angeles FC II | 0-3 L | 2-0 W |
| Houston Dynamo II | 1-2 L | 2-0 W |
| North Texas SC | 1-0 W | 6-1 W |
| Vancouver Whitecaps II | 1-0 W | 2-3 L |
| Portland Timbers II | 0-2 L | 2-2 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 3 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Ventura County FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Colorado Rapids II
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 16/08 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 2-2 | 12 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-3 | 1 | 5 | L |
| 27/07 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 19/07 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 7 | L |
| 12/07 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 06/07 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 28/06 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
Ventura County FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 6-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 19/07 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 08/07 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 07/06 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 31/05 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Colorado Rapids II vs Ventura County FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Colorado Rapids II win (39%). Probabilities: Colorado Rapids II 39%, draw 25%, Ventura County FC 36%.
How many goals are expected in Colorado Rapids II vs Ventura County FC?
The model expects 3.03 goals (Colorado Rapids II 1.54 · Ventura County FC 1.49), with a 55% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Colorado Rapids II vs Ventura County FC?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.