Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 30/08, 01:00
Prediction: Chattanooga FC vs Carolina Core FC
Team pages: Chattanooga FC · Carolina Core FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.81Total
Chattanooga FC1.82
Carolina Core FC0.98
1X2
Chattanooga FC
Draw
Carolina Core FC
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Chattanooga FC
4-5-1 (W-D-L)
Carolina Core FC
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chattanooga FC
3–2–1
Carolina Core FC
(6 last)
- Carolina Core FC1-1Chattanooga FC
- Chattanooga FC1-0Carolina Core FC
- Chattanooga FC0-0Carolina Core FC
- Carolina Core FC0-1Chattanooga FC
- Carolina Core FC1-4Chattanooga FC
- Carolina Core FC2-1Chattanooga FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chattanooga FC 1540 · Carolina Core FC 1466
| Chattanooga FC | Draw | Carolina Core FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 56% | 25% | 19% |
| Market | 57% | 22% | 20% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.81 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.4
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 58%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chattanooga FC (rating 1540 vs 1466).
- H2H favours Chattanooga FC: 3-2-1.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.2 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chattanooga FC | Carolina Core FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 1.6 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 30/30/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 5.5 | 2.5 / 5.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.4 / 0 | 3.8 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chattanooga FC 3–2–1 Carolina Core FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Carolina Core FC | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Chattanooga FC |
| 24/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Chattanooga FC | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Carolina Core FC |
| 21/09/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Chattanooga FC | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Carolina Core FC |
| 17/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Carolina Core FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Chattanooga FC |
| 13/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Carolina Core FC | 1-4 HT 1-2 | Chattanooga FC |
| 18/07/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Carolina Core FC | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Chattanooga FC |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 33 | 51 |
| 2 | Chattanooga FC | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 44 | 35 | 44 |
| 3 | CT United | 24 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 49 | 41 | 43 |
| 4 | Atlanta United II | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 58 | 43 | 42 |
| 5 | New England Revolution II | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 34 | 42 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew II | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 41 | 36 | 42 |
| 7 | New York Red Bulls II | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 50 | 39 | 41 |
| 8 | New York City FC II | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 39 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire II | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 37 | 39 |
| 10 | Huntsville City | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 42 | 35 |
| 11 | Orlando City II | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 43 | 48 | 35 |
| 12 | Philadelphia Union II | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 36 | 33 |
| 13 | Toronto FC II | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 40 | 47 | 33 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 27 | 54 | 19 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 62 | 12 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chattanooga FC | Carolina Core FC |
|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United II | 1-0 W | 3-3 D |
| Inter Miami CF II | 1-0 W | 4-0 W |
| Chicago Fire II | 2-2 D | 1-5 L |
| New York City FC II | 1-1 D | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 0 L | 1 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Chattanooga FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chattanooga FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/07 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 12/07 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 05/07 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 22/06 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
Carolina Core FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-3 | 7 | 2 | L |
| 09/08 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 31/07 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-3 | 3-3 | 6 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 1-5 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 23/07 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 12/07 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 06/07 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 29/06 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 13 | 2 | W |
| 21/06 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 18/06 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chattanooga FC vs Carolina Core FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chattanooga FC win (57%). Probabilities: Chattanooga FC 57%, draw 23%, Carolina Core FC 20%.
How many goals are expected in Chattanooga FC vs Carolina Core FC?
The model expects 2.81 goals (Chattanooga FC 1.82 · Carolina Core FC 0.98), with a 58% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Chattanooga FC vs Carolina Core FC?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.