Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 29/08, 01:00
Prediction: Inter Miami CF II vs Atlanta United II
Team pages: Inter Miami CF II · Atlanta United II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.27Total
Inter Miami CF II1.1
Atlanta United II2.17
1X2
Inter Miami CF II
Draw
Atlanta United II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Inter Miami CF II
2-0-8 (W-D-L)
Atlanta United II
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Inter Miami CF II
2–4
Atlanta United II
(6 last)
- Atlanta United II4-1Inter Miami CF II
- Inter Miami CF II0-2Atlanta United II
- Atlanta United II4-1Inter Miami CF II
- Inter Miami CF II2-1Atlanta United II
- Atlanta United II3-2Inter Miami CF II
- Atlanta United II0-1Inter Miami CF II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Inter Miami CF II 1414 · Atlanta United II 1534
| Inter Miami CF II | Draw | Atlanta United II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 17% | 22% | 61% |
| Market | 19% | 19% | 62% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.27 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Atlanta United II (rating 1414 vs 1534).
- H2H favours Atlanta United II: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Inter Miami CF II | Atlanta United II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2.1 | 2.2 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.8 | 1.1 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4 | 4.2 / 6.2 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0 | 3.1 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Inter Miami CF II 2–0–4 Atlanta United II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/07/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Atlanta United II | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Inter Miami CF II |
| 11/04/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Inter Miami CF II | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Atlanta United II |
| 28/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Atlanta United II | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Inter Miami CF II |
| 04/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Inter Miami CF II | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Atlanta United II |
| 06/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Atlanta United II | 3-2 HT 2-1 | Inter Miami CF II |
| 25/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Atlanta United II | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Inter Miami CF II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 33 | 51 |
| 2 | Chattanooga FC | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 44 | 35 | 44 |
| 3 | CT United | 24 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 49 | 41 | 43 |
| 4 | New England Revolution II | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 34 | 42 |
| 5 | Columbus Crew II | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 41 | 36 | 42 |
| 6 | New York Red Bulls II | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 50 | 39 | 41 |
| 7 | Atlanta United II | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 52 | 38 | 40 |
| 8 | New York City FC II | 23 | 11 | 4 | 8 | 42 | 35 | 39 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire II | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 37 | 39 |
| 10 | Huntsville City | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 42 | 35 |
| 11 | Orlando City II | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 43 | 48 | 35 |
| 12 | Philadelphia Union II | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 36 | 33 |
| 13 | Toronto FC II | 23 | 8 | 4 | 11 | 38 | 47 | 30 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 27 | 54 | 19 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 23 | 2 | 4 | 17 | 21 | 56 | 11 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Inter Miami CF II | Atlanta United II |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire II | 1-3 L | 2-1 W |
| Huntsville City | 0-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Crown Legacy | 0-2 L | 3-3 D |
| Chattanooga FC | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Toronto FC II | 2-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Carolina Core FC | 0-4 L | 3-3 D |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 5 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Atlanta United II (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Inter Miami CF II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 20/08 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-1 | 4-2 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 17/08 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 4 | 9 | L |
| 08/08 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 01/08 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 25/07 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 8 | W |
| 23/07 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/07 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 3 | L |
| 29/06 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
Atlanta United II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 18/08 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/08 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 31/07 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 19/07 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 12/07 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 8 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Inter Miami CF II vs Atlanta United II?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Atlanta United II win (62%). Probabilities: Inter Miami CF II 18%, draw 20%, Atlanta United II 62%.
How many goals are expected in Inter Miami CF II vs Atlanta United II?
The model expects 3.27 goals (Inter Miami CF II 1.1 · Atlanta United II 2.17), with a 55% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Inter Miami CF II vs Atlanta United II?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.