Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 06/09, 04:00
Prediction: Los Angeles FC II vs Ventura County FC
Team pages: Los Angeles FC II · Ventura County FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.46Total
Los Angeles FC II1.87
Ventura County FC1.6
1X2
Los Angeles FC II
Draw
Ventura County FC
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Los Angeles FC II
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Ventura County FC
7-2-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Los Angeles FC II
3–1–2
Ventura County FC
(6 last)
- Ventura County FC2-0Los Angeles FC II
- Los Angeles FC II3-2Ventura County FC
- Ventura County FC3-3Los Angeles FC II
- Ventura County FC2-1Los Angeles FC II
- Los Angeles FC II3-1Ventura County FC
- Ventura County FC1-2Los Angeles FC II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Los Angeles FC II 1511 · Ventura County FC 1568
| Los Angeles FC II | Draw | Ventura County FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 24% | 32% |
| Market | 44% | 24% | 33% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Ventura County FC (rating 1511 vs 1568).
- H2H favours Los Angeles FC II: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.6 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Los Angeles FC II | Ventura County FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 1.7 | 2.7 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.8 | 1 / 0.3 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/20/40% | 50/40/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.7 | 3 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 3.7 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Los Angeles FC II 3–1–2 Ventura County FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 19/07/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Ventura County FC | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 17/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 3-2 HT 0-1 | Ventura County FC |
| 21/07/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Ventura County FC | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 10/05/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Ventura County FC | 2-1 HT 1-1 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 15/03/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 3-1 HT 2-0 | Ventura County FC |
| 12/08/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Ventura County FC | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Los Angeles FC II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 51 | 21 | 59 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 27 | 53 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo II | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 48 | 28 | 48 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 32 | 45 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC II | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 42 | 43 | 41 |
| 6 | St Louis City II | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 39 | 36 | 40 |
| 7 | North Texas SC | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 39 | 36 | 38 |
| 8 | Tacoma Defiance | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 37 | 39 | 36 |
| 9 | The Town | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 31 | 36 |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC II | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 33 | 36 | 34 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 36 | 50 | 29 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 38 | 55 | 25 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 66 | 20 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 48 | 18 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Los Angeles FC II | Ventura County FC |
|---|---|---|
| The Town | 2-3 L | 3-0 W |
| Vancouver Whitecaps II | 1-4 L | 2-3 L |
| Portland Timbers II | 0-0 D | 2-2 D |
| Colorado Rapids II | 3-0 W | 3-2 W |
| North Texas SC | 2-2 D | 6-1 W |
| Real Monarchs SLC | 2-2 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 3 D 2 L | 4 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Ventura County FC (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Los Angeles FC II
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/08 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 17/08 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 06/07 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 7 | D |
Ventura County FC
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/08 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 24/08 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 01/08 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 6-1 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 26/07 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 8 | 1 | W |
| 19/07 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 08/07 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-3 | 13 | 5 | L |
| 28/06 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 07/06 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 6 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Los Angeles FC II vs Ventura County FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Los Angeles FC II win (44%). Probabilities: Los Angeles FC II 44%, draw 24%, Ventura County FC 32%.
How many goals are expected in Los Angeles FC II vs Ventura County FC?
The model expects 3.46 goals (Los Angeles FC II 1.87 · Ventura County FC 1.6), with a 53% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Los Angeles FC II vs Ventura County FC?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.