Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 07/09, 22:00
Prediction: Portland Timbers II vs Vancouver Whitecaps II
Team pages: Portland Timbers II · Vancouver Whitecaps II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3Total
Portland Timbers II1.88
Vancouver Whitecaps II1.12
1X2
Portland Timbers II
Draw
Vancouver Whitecaps II
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 12%
Recent form · 10 last
Portland Timbers II
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Vancouver Whitecaps II
4-1-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Portland Timbers II
2–2–2
Vancouver Whitecaps II
(6 last)
- Vancouver Whitecaps II0-1Portland Timbers II
- Portland Timbers II0-0Vancouver Whitecaps II
- Vancouver Whitecaps II4-1Portland Timbers II
- Portland Timbers II1-0Vancouver Whitecaps II
- Vancouver Whitecaps II1-1Portland Timbers II
- Portland Timbers II0-2Vancouver Whitecaps II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Portland Timbers II 1579 · Vancouver Whitecaps II 1479
| Portland Timbers II | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 54% | 25% | 21% |
| Market | 56% | 21% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
3 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Portland Timbers II (rating 1579 vs 1479).
- Cards-heavy: 7.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Portland Timbers II | Vancouver Whitecaps II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.8 | 2 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.4 | 0.8 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/80/10% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.3 / 3.9 | 1.9 / 4 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.8 / 0.2 | 3.6 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Portland Timbers II 2–2–2 Vancouver Whitecaps II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/06/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Portland Timbers II |
| 08/03/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Portland Timbers II | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
| 01/09/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 4-1 HT 3-0 | Portland Timbers II |
| 09/05/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Portland Timbers II | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
| 30/03/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Portland Timbers II |
| 07/07/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Portland Timbers II | 0-2 HT 0-1 | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 51 | 21 | 59 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 27 | 53 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo II | 25 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 48 | 28 | 48 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 32 | 45 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC II | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 42 | 43 | 41 |
| 6 | St Louis City II | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 39 | 36 | 40 |
| 7 | North Texas SC | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 39 | 36 | 38 |
| 8 | Tacoma Defiance | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 37 | 39 | 36 |
| 9 | The Town | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 31 | 36 |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC II | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 33 | 36 | 34 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 36 | 50 | 29 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 38 | 55 | 25 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 66 | 20 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 48 | 18 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Portland Timbers II | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
|---|---|---|
| Austin FC II | 2-1 W | 1-4 L |
| Ventura County FC | 2-2 D | 3-2 W |
| Los Angeles FC II | 0-0 D | 4-1 W |
| Real Monarchs SLC | 1-0 W | 1-2 L |
| St Louis City II | 2-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Tacoma Defiance | 2-0 W | 2-4 L |
| The Town | 2-3 L | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 3 L |
Better against common opponents: Portland Timbers II (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Portland Timbers II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 24/08 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 19/07 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 06/07 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
Vancouver Whitecaps II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 27/08 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 27/07 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 23/07 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 08/07 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 18/06 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Portland Timbers II vs Vancouver Whitecaps II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Portland Timbers II win (55%). Probabilities: Portland Timbers II 55%, draw 23%, Vancouver Whitecaps II 22%.
How many goals are expected in Portland Timbers II vs Vancouver Whitecaps II?
The model expects 3 goals (Portland Timbers II 1.88 · Vancouver Whitecaps II 1.12), with a 53% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Portland Timbers II vs Vancouver Whitecaps II?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.