Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 30/08, 22:00
Prediction: Portland Timbers II vs Austin FC II
Team pages: Portland Timbers II · Austin FC II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.55Total
Portland Timbers II1.2
Austin FC II1.35
1X2
Portland Timbers II
Draw
Austin FC II
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 53%
Most likely score
1-1 14%
Recent form · 10 last
Portland Timbers II
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Austin FC II
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Portland Timbers II
1–3–2
Austin FC II
(6 last)
- Austin FC II1-2Portland Timbers II
- Portland Timbers II1-1Austin FC II
- Portland Timbers II3-3Austin FC II
- Austin FC II0-0Portland Timbers II
- Austin FC II4-0Portland Timbers II
- Portland Timbers II0-1Austin FC II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Portland Timbers II 1574 · Austin FC II 1581
| Portland Timbers II | Draw | Austin FC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 32% | 29% | 39% |
| Market | 33% | 27% | 40% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.55 goals · Bet365 line 2.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 56%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Austin FC II: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Portland Timbers II | Austin FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.7 | 1.9 / 0.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.3 | 1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 10/90/0% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.7 / 4.3 | 2.4 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.9 / 0 | 3.7 / 0.1 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Portland Timbers II 1–3–2 Austin FC II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/09/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Portland Timbers II |
| 21/06/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Portland Timbers II | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Austin FC II |
| 09/08/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Portland Timbers II | 3-3 HT 3-2 | Austin FC II |
| 15/06/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Portland Timbers II |
| 19/06/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Portland Timbers II |
| 08/05/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Portland Timbers II | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Austin FC II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 48 | 19 | 56 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 33 | 26 | 50 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo II | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 48 | 24 | 48 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 32 | 45 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC II | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 40 | 40 | 41 |
| 6 | St Louis City II | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46 | 44 | 40 |
| 7 | Tacoma Defiance | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 37 | 36 | 36 |
| 8 | North Texas SC | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 42 | 35 |
| 9 | The Town | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 33 |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC II | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 36 | 31 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 32 | 46 | 26 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 33 | 54 | 22 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 61 | 20 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 48 | 18 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Portland Timbers II | Austin FC II |
|---|---|---|
| North Texas SC | 3-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Minnesota United FC II | 2-1 W | 2-3 L |
| St Louis City II | 2-1 W | 2-0 W |
| The Town | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Colorado Rapids II | 2-0 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 4 W 0 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Portland Timbers II (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Portland Timbers II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 16/08 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 08/08 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 26/07 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 9 | W |
| 19/07 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 06/07 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 27/06 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 21/06 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
Austin FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 20/08 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 16/08 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/08 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 03/08 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 27/07 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 23/07 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/07 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 06/07 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 29/06 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 0 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Portland Timbers II vs Austin FC II?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Austin FC II win (40%). Probabilities: Portland Timbers II 32%, draw 28%, Austin FC II 40%.
How many goals are expected in Portland Timbers II vs Austin FC II?
The model expects 2.55 goals (Portland Timbers II 1.2 · Austin FC II 1.35), with a 51% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Portland Timbers II vs Austin FC II?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.