Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 31/08, 01:00
Prediction: Houston Dynamo II vs Minnesota United FC II
Team pages: Houston Dynamo II · Minnesota United FC II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.34Total
Houston Dynamo II2
Minnesota United FC II1.34
1X2
Houston Dynamo II
Draw
Minnesota United FC II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 57%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Houston Dynamo II
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Minnesota United FC II
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Houston Dynamo II
2–2–2
Minnesota United FC II
(6 last)
- Houston Dynamo II4-0Minnesota United FC II
- Minnesota United FC II1-1Houston Dynamo II
- Minnesota United FC II2-2Houston Dynamo II
- Minnesota United FC II4-1Houston Dynamo II
- Houston Dynamo II1-3Minnesota United FC II
- Houston Dynamo II3-1Minnesota United FC II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Houston Dynamo II 1502 · Minnesota United FC II 1466
| Houston Dynamo II | Draw | Minnesota United FC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 24% | 25% |
| Market | 52% | 22% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.34 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Houston Dynamo II | Minnesota United FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.4 | 1.4 / 1.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.2 / 0.3 | 0.7 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 10/50/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.4 / 5.3 | 2.5 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.6 | 3.6 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Houston Dynamo II 2–2–2 Minnesota United FC II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Houston Dynamo II | 4-0 HT 2-0 | Minnesota United FC II |
| 17/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Minnesota United FC II | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Houston Dynamo II |
| 03/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Minnesota United FC II | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Houston Dynamo II |
| 13/06/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Minnesota United FC II | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Houston Dynamo II |
| 31/03/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Houston Dynamo II | 1-3 HT 0-2 | Minnesota United FC II |
| 26/08/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Houston Dynamo II | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Minnesota United FC II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 24 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 48 | 19 | 56 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 33 | 26 | 50 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo II | 23 | 13 | 5 | 5 | 48 | 24 | 48 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 32 | 45 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC II | 24 | 10 | 8 | 6 | 40 | 40 | 41 |
| 6 | St Louis City II | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 46 | 44 | 40 |
| 7 | Tacoma Defiance | 24 | 10 | 4 | 10 | 37 | 36 | 36 |
| 8 | North Texas SC | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 43 | 42 | 35 |
| 9 | The Town | 23 | 8 | 6 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 33 |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC II | 23 | 8 | 5 | 10 | 31 | 36 | 31 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 23 | 6 | 4 | 13 | 32 | 46 | 26 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 33 | 54 | 22 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 24 | 5 | 4 | 15 | 30 | 61 | 20 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 48 | 18 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Houston Dynamo II | Minnesota United FC II |
|---|---|---|
| St Louis City II | 2-2 D | 5-2 W |
| The Town | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Sporting Kansas City II | 2-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Austin FC II | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| Los Angeles FC II | 1-3 L | 0-1 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 3 D 2 L | 2 W 1 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Minnesota United FC II (3 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Houston Dynamo II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 20/08 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 27/07 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 12/07 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/07 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
| 29/06 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 9 | 10 | L |
Minnesota United FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 20/07 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 13/07 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 29/06 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/06 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
| 20/06 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 5-2 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 14/06 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-3 | 1-3 | 9 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Houston Dynamo II vs Minnesota United FC II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Houston Dynamo II win (52%). Probabilities: Houston Dynamo II 52%, draw 23%, Minnesota United FC II 25%.
How many goals are expected in Houston Dynamo II vs Minnesota United FC II?
The model expects 3.34 goals (Houston Dynamo II 2 · Minnesota United FC II 1.34), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Houston Dynamo II vs Minnesota United FC II?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.