Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 31/08, 01:00

Prediction: Vancouver Whitecaps II vs Sporting Kansas City II

Team pages: Vancouver Whitecaps II · Sporting Kansas City II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.81Total

Vancouver Whitecaps II2.17

Sporting Kansas City II1.64

1X2

49% 23% 28%

Vancouver Whitecaps II Draw Sporting Kansas City II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 61%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Vancouver Whitecaps II 3-2-5 (W-D-L)

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Sporting Kansas City II 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Vancouver Whitecaps II 0–2–4 Sporting Kansas City II (6 last)

Sporting Kansas City II3-2Vancouver Whitecaps II
Sporting Kansas City II2-2Vancouver Whitecaps II
Vancouver Whitecaps II2-3Sporting Kansas City II
Vancouver Whitecaps II0-4Sporting Kansas City II
Sporting Kansas City II1-1Vancouver Whitecaps II
Sporting Kansas City II7-1Vancouver Whitecaps II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Vancouver Whitecaps II 1471 · Sporting Kansas City II 1471

	Vancouver Whitecaps II	Draw	Sporting Kansas City II
Our model	49%	22%	28%
Market	49%	23%	28%

Estimated total (ours) 3.81 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 75%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Sporting Kansas City II: 4-2-0.
Cards-heavy: 8.5 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Vancouver Whitecaps II	Sporting Kansas City II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.2	1.2 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.2	0.6 / 1.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/50/40%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.9 / 3.9	1.7 / 4.2
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	4 / 0.2	4.5 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

11.83

X3.90

23.20

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.88

2 (+0.5)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 3.251.82

Under 3.251.98

Diff.: 0.4 · xG: 3.65

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 17:41

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.83 → 1.83	Bet365 1.83
X	3.90 → 3.90	Pinn 3.99
2	3.20 → 3.20	Pinn 3.54 ★

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
17:34 +6’	1.83	3.90	3.20

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
21:32 +13’	1.84	3.92	3.39
23:37 +3’	1.79▼	3.99▲	3.54▲

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Vancouver Whitecaps II 0–2–4 Sporting Kansas City II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
20/04/26 USA MLS Next Pro League	Sporting Kansas City II	3-2 HT 0-0	Vancouver Whitecaps II
20/09/25 USA MLS Next Pro League	Sporting Kansas City II	2-2 HT 0-1	Vancouver Whitecaps II
01/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League	Vancouver Whitecaps II	2-3 HT 2-0	Sporting Kansas City II
01/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League	Vancouver Whitecaps II	0-4 HT 0-1	Sporting Kansas City II
03/08/24 USA MLS Next Pro League	Sporting Kansas City II	1-1 HT 1-1	Vancouver Whitecaps II
03/07/23 USA MLS Next Pro League	Sporting Kansas City II	7-1 HT 4-0	Vancouver Whitecaps II

Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Austin FC II	24	16	6	2	48	19	56
2	Portland Timbers II	24	13	7	4	33	26	50
3	Houston Dynamo II	23	13	5	5	48	24	48
4	Ventura County FC	24	12	6	6	50	32	45
5	Los Angeles FC II	24	10	8	6	40	40	41
6	St Louis City II	25	9	9	7	46	44	40
7	Tacoma Defiance	24	10	4	10	37	36	36
8	North Texas SC	24	7	9	8	43	42	35
9	The Town	23	8	6	9	40	29	33
10	Minnesota United FC II	23	8	5	10	31	36	31
11	Real Monarchs SLC	23	6	4	13	32	46	26
12	Vancouver Whitecaps II	24	5	4	15	33	54	22
13	Sporting Kansas City II	24	5	4	15	30	61	20
14	Colorado Rapids II	25	3	7	15	26	48	18

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Vancouver Whitecaps II	Sporting Kansas City II
Los Angeles FC II	4-1 W	1-2 L
Austin FC II	1-4 L	0-1 L
Tacoma Defiance	2-4 L	0-4 L
Real Monarchs SLC	1-2 L	3-1 W
Colorado Rapids II	0-1 L	2-2 D
The Town	3-2 W	1-6 L
Record vs common	2 W 0 D 4 L	1 W 1 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Vancouver Whitecaps II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
27/08	Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League	2-1	4-1	8	5	W
16/08	Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-2	1-4	6	4	L
02/08	Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League	1-2	2-4	4	4	L
27/07	St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-1	1-1	0	2	D
23/07	Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-3	0-4	3	3	L
12/07	Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League	1-1	1-2	3	3	L
08/07	Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League	0-1	3-2	3	5	W
28/06	Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-0	0-1	4	4	L
18/06	The Town USA MLS Next Pro League	1-1	3-2	3	4	W
11/06	North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League	0-0	1-1	5	8	D

Sporting Kansas City II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/08	Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League	0-3	0-4	2	2	L
21/08	Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-2	1-2	3	3	L
16/08	Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League	2-0	2-2	8	5	D
10/08	Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-0	0-1	4	6	L
01/08	Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-1	3-2	5	6	W
20/07	Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-0	1-0	3	4	W
08/07	The Town USA MLS Next Pro League	1-3	1-6	3	2	L
22/06	Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-2	1-2	3	4	L
30/05	Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League	1-0	3-1	4	6	W
23/05	Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-2	0-3	7	8	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Vancouver Whitecaps II vs Sporting Kansas City II?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Vancouver Whitecaps II win (49%). Probabilities: Vancouver Whitecaps II 49%, draw 23%, Sporting Kansas City II 28%.

How many goals are expected in Vancouver Whitecaps II vs Sporting Kansas City II?

The model expects 3.81 goals (Vancouver Whitecaps II 2.17 · Sporting Kansas City II 1.64), with a 55% chance of over 3.25 goals.

Will both teams score in Vancouver Whitecaps II vs Sporting Kansas City II?

The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.