Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 05/09, 01:00
Prediction: Houston Dynamo II vs Austin FC II
Team pages: Houston Dynamo II · Austin FC II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.82Total
Houston Dynamo II1.39
Austin FC II1.43
1X2
Houston Dynamo II
Draw
Austin FC II
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 53%
Both teams to score 55%
Most likely score
1-1 13%
Recent form · 10 last
Houston Dynamo II
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
Austin FC II
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Houston Dynamo II
1–3–2
Austin FC II
(6 last)
- Houston Dynamo II1-1Austin FC II
- Austin FC II1-1Houston Dynamo II
- Austin FC II2-0Houston Dynamo II
- Austin FC II1-1Houston Dynamo II
- Houston Dynamo II2-1Austin FC II
- Austin FC II3-1Houston Dynamo II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Houston Dynamo II 1484 · Austin FC II 1554
| Houston Dynamo II | Draw | Austin FC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 28% | 37% |
| Market | 37% | 25% | 38% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.82 goals · Bet365 line 2.75
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Austin FC II (rating 1484 vs 1554).
- H2H favours Austin FC II: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Houston Dynamo II | Austin FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.7 / 1.3 | 1.8 / 1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.2 | 1 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 70/20/10% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3 / 5.1 | 2.2 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.9 / 0.5 | 4.2 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Houston Dynamo II 1–3–2 Austin FC II
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/07/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Houston Dynamo II | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Austin FC II |
| 13/04/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Houston Dynamo II |
| 26/07/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 2-0 HT 2-0 | Houston Dynamo II |
| 31/05/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Houston Dynamo II |
| 28/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Houston Dynamo II | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Austin FC II |
| 14/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Austin FC II | 3-1 HT 1-0 | Houston Dynamo II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
Swipe the table sideways →
| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 25 | 16 | 6 | 3 | 49 | 21 | 56 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 25 | 14 | 7 | 4 | 35 | 27 | 53 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo II | 24 | 13 | 5 | 6 | 48 | 26 | 48 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 24 | 12 | 6 | 6 | 50 | 32 | 45 |
| 5 | Los Angeles FC II | 25 | 10 | 8 | 7 | 42 | 43 | 41 |
| 6 | St Louis City II | 25 | 9 | 9 | 7 | 39 | 36 | 40 |
| 7 | Tacoma Defiance | 25 | 10 | 4 | 11 | 37 | 39 | 36 |
| 8 | The Town | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 43 | 31 | 36 |
| 9 | North Texas SC | 24 | 7 | 9 | 8 | 35 | 35 | 35 |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC II | 24 | 9 | 5 | 10 | 33 | 36 | 34 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 24 | 7 | 4 | 13 | 35 | 46 | 29 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 25 | 6 | 4 | 15 | 38 | 55 | 25 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 25 | 5 | 4 | 16 | 31 | 66 | 20 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 25 | 3 | 7 | 15 | 26 | 48 | 18 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Houston Dynamo II | Austin FC II |
|---|---|---|
| Minnesota United FC II | 0-2 L | 2-3 L |
| The Town | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| Sporting Kansas City II | 2-3 L | 1-0 W |
| Colorado Rapids II | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 0 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Austin FC II (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Houston Dynamo II
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 7 | 3 | L |
| 24/08 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 20/08 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 15/08 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 12 | 1 | L |
| 09/08 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 01/08 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-3 | 2 | 6 | L |
| 27/07 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 12/07 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 05/07 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 4 | 0 | W |
Austin FC II
Swipe the table sideways →
| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 24/08 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 20/08 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 7 | D |
| 16/08 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 10/08 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 03/08 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 1 | 2 | D |
| 27/07 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 23/07 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 3 | W |
| 13/07 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 06/07 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Houston Dynamo II vs Austin FC II?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Austin FC II win (38%). Probabilities: Houston Dynamo II 36%, draw 26%, Austin FC II 38%.
How many goals are expected in Houston Dynamo II vs Austin FC II?
The model expects 2.82 goals (Houston Dynamo II 1.39 · Austin FC II 1.43), with a 51% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Houston Dynamo II vs Austin FC II?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.