Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 14/09, 02:00
Prediction: Sporting Kansas City II vs Los Angeles FC II
Team pages: Sporting Kansas City II · Los Angeles FC II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.49Total
Sporting Kansas City II1.4
Los Angeles FC II2.09
1X2
Sporting Kansas City II
Draw
Los Angeles FC II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 51%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Sporting Kansas City II
2-1-7 (W-D-L)
Los Angeles FC II
3-4-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Sporting Kansas City II
3–3
Los Angeles FC II
(6 last)
- Los Angeles FC II2-1Sporting Kansas City II
- Los Angeles FC II1-3Sporting Kansas City II
- Sporting Kansas City II0-3Los Angeles FC II
- Sporting Kansas City II4-3Los Angeles FC II
- Los Angeles FC II2-1Sporting Kansas City II
- Los Angeles FC II0-2Sporting Kansas City II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Sporting Kansas City II 1436 · Los Angeles FC II 1494
| Sporting Kansas City II | Draw | Los Angeles FC II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 25% | 23% | 52% |
| Market | 25% | 22% | 53% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.49 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 74%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Los Angeles FC II (rating 1436 vs 1494).
- Cards-heavy: 7.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Sporting Kansas City II | Los Angeles FC II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.1 / 2.6 | 1.5 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.6 / 1.4 | 0.9 / 0.8 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/30/50% | 40/30/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.8 | 2.5 / 5.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 3.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Sporting Kansas City II 3–0–3 Los Angeles FC II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 21/08/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Sporting Kansas City II |
| 28/07/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 1-3 HT 0-1 | Sporting Kansas City II |
| 24/05/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Sporting Kansas City II | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 06/10/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Sporting Kansas City II | 4-3 HT 1-2 | Los Angeles FC II |
| 08/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 2-1 HT 0-1 | Sporting Kansas City II |
| 19/06/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Los Angeles FC II | 0-2 HT 0-2 | Sporting Kansas City II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 51 | 21 | 59 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 35 | 27 | 54 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo II | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 51 | 30 | 51 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54 | 34 | 50 |
| 5 | St Louis City II | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 41 | 37 | 43 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC II | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 44 | 42 |
| 7 | Tacoma Defiance | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 40 | 39 |
| 8 | North Texas SC | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 39 | 38 |
| 9 | Minnesota United FC II | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 36 | 37 |
| 10 | The Town | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 36 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 36 | 50 | 29 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 55 | 27 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 68 | 20 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 50 | 18 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Sporting Kansas City II | Los Angeles FC II |
|---|---|---|
| Vancouver Whitecaps II | 1-5 L | 1-4 L |
| Tacoma Defiance | 0-4 L | 4-3 W |
| Colorado Rapids II | 2-2 D | 3-0 W |
| The Town | 1-6 L | 2-3 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 0 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Los Angeles FC II (4 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Sporting Kansas City II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 7 | 0 | L |
| 31/08 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-5 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 25/08 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 21/08 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 16/08 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 10/08 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 01/08 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 6 | W |
| 20/07 | Minnesota United FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/07 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-3 | 1-6 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 22/06 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
Los Angeles FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 31/08 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 2-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 27/08 | Vancouver Whitecaps II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 1-4 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 21/08 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 17/08 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 4-3 | 7 | 3 | W |
| 08/08 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 19/07 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 12/07 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 2 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Sporting Kansas City II vs Los Angeles FC II?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Los Angeles FC II win (53%). Probabilities: Sporting Kansas City II 25%, draw 23%, Los Angeles FC II 53%.
How many goals are expected in Sporting Kansas City II vs Los Angeles FC II?
The model expects 3.49 goals (Sporting Kansas City II 1.4 · Los Angeles FC II 2.09), with a 51% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Sporting Kansas City II vs Los Angeles FC II?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.