Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 13/09, 02:00
Prediction: Minnesota United FC II vs Vancouver Whitecaps II
Team pages: Minnesota United FC II · Vancouver Whitecaps II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.4Total
Minnesota United FC II2.17
Vancouver Whitecaps II1.23
1X2
Minnesota United FC II
Draw
Vancouver Whitecaps II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Minnesota United FC II
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Vancouver Whitecaps II
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Minnesota United FC II
2–4
Vancouver Whitecaps II
(6 last)
- Vancouver Whitecaps II2-1Minnesota United FC II
- Minnesota United FC II2-3Vancouver Whitecaps II
- Vancouver Whitecaps II4-1Minnesota United FC II
- Minnesota United FC II2-0Vancouver Whitecaps II
- Vancouver Whitecaps II5-2Minnesota United FC II
- Minnesota United FC II2-0Vancouver Whitecaps II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Minnesota United FC II 1495 · Vancouver Whitecaps II 1495
| Minnesota United FC II | Draw | Vancouver Whitecaps II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 58% | 22% | 20% |
| Market | 58% | 21% | 21% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.4 goals · Bet365 line 3.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 67%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Vancouver Whitecaps II: 4-0-2.
- Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Minnesota United FC II | Vancouver Whitecaps II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.4 | 1.7 / 2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.8 | 0.7 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/70/30% | 20/40/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.8 / 5.7 | 1.9 / 4.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.2 / 0 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Minnesota United FC II 2–0–4 Vancouver Whitecaps II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/03/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 2-1 HT 2-0 | Minnesota United FC II |
| 29/05/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Minnesota United FC II | 2-3 HT 0-1 | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
| 14/06/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 4-1 HT 1-1 | Minnesota United FC II |
| 19/06/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Minnesota United FC II | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
| 24/04/23 USA MLS Next Pro League | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 5-2 HT 2-2 | Minnesota United FC II |
| 03/07/22 USA MLS Next Pro League | Minnesota United FC II | 2-0 HT 1-0 | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Western Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Austin FC II | 26 | 17 | 6 | 3 | 51 | 21 | 59 |
| 2 | Portland Timbers II | 26 | 14 | 8 | 4 | 35 | 27 | 54 |
| 3 | Houston Dynamo II | 26 | 14 | 5 | 7 | 51 | 30 | 51 |
| 4 | Ventura County FC | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 54 | 34 | 50 |
| 5 | St Louis City II | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 41 | 37 | 43 |
| 6 | Los Angeles FC II | 26 | 10 | 9 | 7 | 43 | 44 | 42 |
| 7 | Tacoma Defiance | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 39 | 40 | 39 |
| 8 | North Texas SC | 26 | 8 | 9 | 9 | 41 | 39 | 38 |
| 9 | Minnesota United FC II | 25 | 10 | 5 | 10 | 35 | 36 | 37 |
| 10 | The Town | 26 | 9 | 6 | 11 | 45 | 36 | 36 |
| 11 | Real Monarchs SLC | 25 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 36 | 50 | 29 |
| 12 | Vancouver Whitecaps II | 26 | 6 | 5 | 15 | 38 | 55 | 27 |
| 13 | Sporting Kansas City II | 26 | 5 | 4 | 17 | 32 | 68 | 20 |
| 14 | Colorado Rapids II | 26 | 3 | 7 | 16 | 26 | 50 | 18 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Minnesota United FC II | Vancouver Whitecaps II |
|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids II | 2-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Portland Timbers II | 1-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Sporting Kansas City II | 0-1 L | 5-1 W |
| Austin FC II | 3-2 W | 1-4 L |
| Tacoma Defiance | 2-2 D | 2-4 L |
| Los Angeles FC II | 0-1 L | 4-1 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 3 L | 2 W 1 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Minnesota United FC II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06/09 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 15 | 3 | W |
| 31/08 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-0 | 1 | 3 | W |
| 23/08 | North Texas SC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 10 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | The Town USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 3 | D |
| 01/08 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 20/07 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 13/07 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 05/07 | Houston Dynamo II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 0 | L |
| 29/06 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 25/06 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 4 | L |
Vancouver Whitecaps II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07/09 | Portland Timbers II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 4 | 0 | D |
| 31/08 | Sporting Kansas City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 27/08 | Los Angeles FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 16/08 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | Tacoma Defiance USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 27/07 | St Louis City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 0 | 2 | D |
| 23/07 | Austin FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 0-4 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 12/07 | Real Monarchs SLC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 3 | 3 | L |
| 08/07 | Ventura County FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 28/06 | Colorado Rapids II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Minnesota United FC II vs Vancouver Whitecaps II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Minnesota United FC II win (58%). Probabilities: Minnesota United FC II 58%, draw 22%, Vancouver Whitecaps II 20%.
How many goals are expected in Minnesota United FC II vs Vancouver Whitecaps II?
The model expects 3.4 goals (Minnesota United FC II 2.17 · Vancouver Whitecaps II 1.23), with a 54% chance of under 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Minnesota United FC II vs Vancouver Whitecaps II?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.