Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 20/09, 20:00
Prediction: Chicago Fire II vs Chattanooga FC
Team pages: Chicago Fire II · Chattanooga FC
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.66Total
Chicago Fire II1.75
Chattanooga FC1.91
1X2
Chicago Fire II
Draw
Chattanooga FC
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Chicago Fire II
4-0-6 (W-D-L)
Chattanooga FC
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chicago Fire II
2–2–0
Chattanooga FC
(4 last)
- Chattanooga FC2-2Chicago Fire II
- Chicago Fire II2-1Chattanooga FC
- Chattanooga FC0-1Chicago Fire II
- Chicago Fire II1-1Chattanooga FC
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chicago Fire II 1485 · Chattanooga FC 1557
| Chicago Fire II | Draw | Chattanooga FC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 35% | 23% | 42% |
| Market | 35% | 23% | 42% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.66 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 70%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chattanooga FC (rating 1485 vs 1557).
- H2H favours Chicago Fire II: 2-2-0.
- High corners: 10.9 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.1 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chicago Fire II | Chattanooga FC | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2.3 / 2.3 | 2.2 / 1.1 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 1.2 | 0.9 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/0/60% | 60/20/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2 / 4.9 | 2.3 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.3 | 4.1 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chicago Fire II 2–2–0 Chattanooga FC
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Chattanooga FC | 2-2 HT 1-0 | Chicago Fire II |
| 15/03/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Chicago Fire II | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Chattanooga FC |
| 06/07/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Chattanooga FC | 0-1 HT 0-0 | Chicago Fire II |
| 08/06/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Chicago Fire II | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Chattanooga FC |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 27 | 14 | 8 | 5 | 65 | 38 | 55 |
| 2 | Chattanooga FC | 27 | 14 | 7 | 6 | 55 | 39 | 53 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 57 | 46 | 46 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew II | 27 | 12 | 6 | 9 | 48 | 42 | 46 |
| 5 | Atlanta United II | 27 | 13 | 5 | 9 | 58 | 44 | 45 |
| 6 | New York City FC II | 27 | 13 | 4 | 10 | 49 | 43 | 45 |
| 7 | New England Revolution II | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 44 | 41 | 45 |
| 8 | Orlando City II | 27 | 11 | 7 | 9 | 53 | 52 | 44 |
| 9 | CT United | 27 | 13 | 2 | 12 | 52 | 50 | 43 |
| 10 | Philadelphia Union II | 27 | 12 | 4 | 11 | 36 | 39 | 42 |
| 11 | Huntsville City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 47 | 46 | 41 |
| 12 | Toronto FC II | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 47 | 53 | 39 |
| 13 | Chicago Fire II | 27 | 10 | 6 | 11 | 50 | 47 | 39 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 27 | 5 | 10 | 12 | 39 | 52 | 30 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 27 | 5 | 3 | 19 | 31 | 60 | 20 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 27 | 3 | 5 | 19 | 28 | 67 | 15 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chicago Fire II | Chattanooga FC |
|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Union II | 1-2 L | 4-0 W |
| Crown Legacy | 0-4 L | 1-3 L |
| Inter Miami CF II | 3-1 W | 1-0 W |
| Atlanta United II | 1-2 L | 4-1 W |
| Orlando City II | 2-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Toronto FC II | 2-4 L | 2-2 D |
| Carolina Core FC | 5-1 W | 5-2 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 0 D 4 L | 4 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Chattanooga FC (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chicago Fire II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 04/09 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 30/08 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-4 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 23/08 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 18/08 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 10/08 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
4-2 | 7-2 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 26/07 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 18/07 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
Chattanooga FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 10/09 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 5-2 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 24/08 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/07 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 12/07 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chicago Fire II vs Chattanooga FC?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Chattanooga FC win (42%). Probabilities: Chicago Fire II 35%, draw 23%, Chattanooga FC 42%.
How many goals are expected in Chicago Fire II vs Chattanooga FC?
The model expects 3.66 goals (Chicago Fire II 1.75 · Chattanooga FC 1.91), with a 50% chance of over 3.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Chicago Fire II vs Chattanooga FC?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.