Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 20/09, 20:00

Prediction: Orlando City II vs Atlanta United II

Team pages: Orlando City II · Atlanta United II

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.66Total

Orlando City II1.65

Atlanta United II2

1X2

32% 22% 46%

Orlando City II Draw Atlanta United II

Markets

Over 3.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 60%

Most likely score

1-1 9%

Recent form · 10 last

Orlando City II 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Atlanta United II 4-2-4 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Orlando City II 3–1–2 Atlanta United II (6 last)

Atlanta United II5-1Orlando City II
Atlanta United II0-2Orlando City II
Orlando City II2-1Atlanta United II
Atlanta United II3-0Orlando City II
Orlando City II2-2Atlanta United II
Atlanta United II1-4Orlando City II

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Orlando City II 1512 · Atlanta United II 1492

	Orlando City II	Draw	Atlanta United II
Our model	31%	23%	45%
Market	32%	22%	46%

Estimated total (ours) 3.66 goals · Bet365 line 3.5 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Orlando City II: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Orlando City II	Atlanta United II
Goals for / against (FT)	1.6 / 2.1	2 / 1.8
Goals for / against (HT)	1 / 0.8	0.8 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	40/20/40%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 3.6	2.9 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.9 / 0	3.5 / 0.3

Odds Bet365

12.80

X4.10

21.95

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.25)2.00

2 (-0.25)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 3.51.82

Under 3.51.98

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 3.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 16:56

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.80 → 2.80	Pinn 3.24 ★
X	4.10 → 4.10	Bet365 4.10
2	1.95 → 1.95	Bet365 1.95

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4% Pinnacle margin 9.3%

Time*	1	X	2
16:55 +1’	2.80	4.10	1.95

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

Time*	1	X	2
20:03 +100’	3.24	3.88	1.90

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Orlando City II 3–1–2 Atlanta United II

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Date	Home	Score	Away
22/08/26 USA MLS Next Pro League	Atlanta United II	5-1 HT 1-1	Orlando City II
11/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League	Atlanta United II	0-2 HT 0-1	Orlando City II
24/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League	Orlando City II	2-1 HT 0-0	Atlanta United II
26/05/25 USA MLS Next Pro League	Atlanta United II	3-0 HT 2-0	Orlando City II
17/03/25 USA MLS Next Pro League	Orlando City II	2-2 HT 1-1	Atlanta United II
24/08/24 USA MLS Next Pro League	Atlanta United II	1-4 HT 0-3	Orlando City II

Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Crown Legacy	27	14	8	5	65	38	55
2	Chattanooga FC	27	14	7	6	55	39	53
3	New York Red Bulls II	27	13	5	9	57	46	46
4	Columbus Crew II	27	12	6	9	48	42	46
5	Atlanta United II	27	13	5	9	58	44	45
6	New York City FC II	27	13	4	10	49	43	45
7	New England Revolution II	27	11	8	8	44	41	45
8	Orlando City II	27	11	7	9	53	52	44
9	CT United	27	13	2	12	52	50	43
10	Philadelphia Union II	27	12	4	11	36	39	42
11	Huntsville City	27	11	6	10	47	46	41
12	Toronto FC II	27	11	4	12	47	53	39
13	Chicago Fire II	27	10	6	11	50	47	39
14	Carolina Core FC	27	5	10	12	39	52	30
15	FC Cincinnati II	27	5	3	19	31	60	20
16	Inter Miami CF II	27	3	5	19	28	67	15

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Orlando City II	Atlanta United II
Inter Miami CF II	4-1 W	1-1 D
Chicago Fire II	0-2 L	2-1 W
New York City FC II	0-3 L	3-2 W
CT United	2-4 L	4-1 W
Huntsville City	0-1 L	0-2 L
Chattanooga FC	1-1 D	1-4 L
Record vs common	1 W 1 D 4 L	3 W 1 D 2 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Orlando City II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/09	Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League	2-0	3-1	3	3	W
05/09	Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League	3-1	4-1	5	7	W
31/08	Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League	1-1	3-2	6	2	W
22/08	Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-1	1-5	2	1	L
15/08	Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-1	0-2	7	4	L
11/08	New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-2	0-3	2	3	L
02/08	CT United USA MLS Next Pro League	1-2	2-4	4	2	L
27/07	Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League	0-0	0-1	3	2	L
19/07	Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League	1-0	1-1	2	0	D
13/07	FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-0	2-1	2	5	W

Atlanta United II

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
13/09	Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League	0-1	1-4	5	3	L
08/09	CT United USA MLS Next Pro League	1-0	4-1	1	5	W
29/08	Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-1	1-1	6	7	D
22/08	Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-1	5-1	3	1	W
18/08	Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League	2-0	2-1	3	3	W
14/08	New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League	0-2	1-2	6	4	L
09/08	Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League	0-1	0-1	6	4	L
31/07	Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League	3-2	3-3	5	2	D
26/07	New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League	1-0	3-2	2	5	W
19/07	Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League	0-0	0-2	8	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Orlando City II vs Atlanta United II?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Atlanta United II win (46%). Probabilities: Orlando City II 32%, draw 22%, Atlanta United II 46%.

How many goals are expected in Orlando City II vs Atlanta United II?

The model expects 3.66 goals (Orlando City II 1.65 · Atlanta United II 2), with a 51% chance of over 3.5 goals.

Will both teams score in Orlando City II vs Atlanta United II?

The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.