Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 14/09, 00:00
Prediction: Columbus Crew II vs New England Revolution II
Team pages: Columbus Crew II · New England Revolution II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.57Total
Columbus Crew II1.75
New England Revolution II1.81
1X2
Columbus Crew II
Draw
New England Revolution II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 52%
Both teams to score 60%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Columbus Crew II
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
New England Revolution II
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Columbus Crew II
2–3–1
New England Revolution II
(6 last)
- New England Revolution II2-2Columbus Crew II
- Columbus Crew II2-1New England Revolution II
- New England Revolution II2-2Columbus Crew II
- Columbus Crew II1-2New England Revolution II
- New England Revolution II2-2Columbus Crew II
- New England Revolution II1-3Columbus Crew II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Columbus Crew II 1490 · New England Revolution II 1464
| Columbus Crew II | Draw | New England Revolution II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 24% | 39% |
| Market | 37% | 24% | 39% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.57 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 72%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Columbus Crew II: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Columbus Crew II | New England Revolution II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.6 | 2.2 / 2.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.8 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.1 / 4.3 | 2.3 / 6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.2 | 5.3 / 0.5 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Columbus Crew II 2–3–1 New England Revolution II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 16/07/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | New England Revolution II | 2-2 HT 1-2 | Columbus Crew II |
| 18/04/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Columbus Crew II | 2-1 HT 1-0 | New England Revolution II |
| 11/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | New England Revolution II | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Columbus Crew II |
| 05/07/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Columbus Crew II | 1-2 HT 0-0 | New England Revolution II |
| 23/04/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | New England Revolution II | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Columbus Crew II |
| 06/10/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | New England Revolution II | 1-3 HT 1-1 | Columbus Crew II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 63 | 36 | 54 |
| 2 | Chattanooga FC | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 51 | 38 | 50 |
| 3 | Atlanta United II | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 57 | 40 | 45 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew II | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 41 | 45 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 56 | 45 | 44 |
| 6 | CT United | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 52 | 49 | 43 |
| 7 | New England Revolution II | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 40 | 43 |
| 8 | New York City FC II | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 48 | 43 | 42 |
| 9 | Orlando City II | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 50 | 51 | 41 |
| 10 | Toronto FC II | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 46 | 50 | 39 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 38 | 39 |
| 12 | Chicago Fire II | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 45 | 39 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 43 | 45 | 38 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 37 | 50 | 28 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 30 | 59 | 19 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 27 | 63 | 15 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Columbus Crew II | New England Revolution II |
|---|---|---|
| Philadelphia Union II | 0-1 L | 3-4 L |
| Huntsville City | 0-1 L | 1-4 L |
| New York City FC II | 4-2 W | 1-2 L |
| New York Red Bulls II | 1-2 L | 4-1 W |
| CT United | 1-2 L | 2-1 W |
| Record vs common | 1 W 0 D 4 L | 2 W 0 D 3 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Columbus Crew II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 2-4 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 05/09 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 30/08 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 4-0 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 24/08 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 27/07 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 19/07 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 16/07 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 29/06 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
New England Revolution II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/09 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 31/08 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-4 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 22/08 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 6 | L |
| 20/08 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-3 | 2-4 | 10 | 3 | L |
| 17/08 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-3 | 3-4 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 09/08 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 5 | W |
| 02/08 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-1 | 2 | 8 | W |
| 27/07 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 8 | 4 | D |
| 23/07 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 16/07 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Columbus Crew II vs New England Revolution II?
According to our model, the most likely result is an New England Revolution II win (39%). Probabilities: Columbus Crew II 37%, draw 24%, New England Revolution II 39%.
How many goals are expected in Columbus Crew II vs New England Revolution II?
The model expects 3.57 goals (Columbus Crew II 1.75 · New England Revolution II 1.81), with a 50% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Columbus Crew II vs New England Revolution II?
The model gives a 60% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.