Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 13/09, 21:00
Prediction: Chattanooga FC vs Atlanta United II
Team pages: Chattanooga FC · Atlanta United II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.46Total
Chattanooga FC1.88
Atlanta United II1.57
1X2
Chattanooga FC
Draw
Atlanta United II
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 55%
Both teams to score 59%
Most likely score
1-1 10%
Recent form · 10 last
Chattanooga FC
6-3-1 (W-D-L)
Atlanta United II
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Chattanooga FC
2–3–1
Atlanta United II
(6 last)
- Chattanooga FC1-0Atlanta United II
- Atlanta United II4-4Chattanooga FC
- Chattanooga FC1-1Atlanta United II
- Atlanta United II0-1Chattanooga FC
- Atlanta United II2-2Chattanooga FC
- Chattanooga FC3-4Atlanta United II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Chattanooga FC 1572 · Atlanta United II 1521
| Chattanooga FC | Draw | Atlanta United II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 44% | 24% | 32% |
| Market | 45% | 23% | 32% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.46 goals · Bet365 line 3.75 · -0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 66%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chattanooga FC (rating 1572 vs 1521).
- H2H favours Chattanooga FC: 2-3-1.
- High corners: 11 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 7.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chattanooga FC | Atlanta United II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1 | 2.3 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.4 | 0.9 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 5.9 | 3.5 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0 | 3.5 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chattanooga FC 2–3–1 Atlanta United II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/08/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Chattanooga FC | 1-0 HT 1-0 | Atlanta United II |
| 14/06/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Atlanta United II | 4-4 HT 0-2 | Chattanooga FC |
| 05/10/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Chattanooga FC | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Atlanta United II |
| 25/09/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Atlanta United II | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Chattanooga FC |
| 30/03/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Atlanta United II | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Chattanooga FC |
| 02/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Chattanooga FC | 3-4 HT 2-1 | Atlanta United II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 26 | 14 | 7 | 5 | 63 | 36 | 54 |
| 2 | Chattanooga FC | 26 | 13 | 7 | 6 | 51 | 38 | 50 |
| 3 | Atlanta United II | 26 | 13 | 5 | 8 | 57 | 40 | 45 |
| 4 | Columbus Crew II | 26 | 12 | 5 | 9 | 47 | 41 | 45 |
| 5 | New York Red Bulls II | 26 | 13 | 4 | 9 | 56 | 45 | 44 |
| 6 | CT United | 26 | 13 | 2 | 11 | 52 | 49 | 43 |
| 7 | New England Revolution II | 26 | 11 | 7 | 8 | 43 | 40 | 43 |
| 8 | New York City FC II | 26 | 12 | 4 | 10 | 48 | 43 | 42 |
| 9 | Orlando City II | 26 | 10 | 7 | 9 | 50 | 51 | 41 |
| 10 | Toronto FC II | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 46 | 50 | 39 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 26 | 11 | 4 | 11 | 34 | 38 | 39 |
| 12 | Chicago Fire II | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 49 | 45 | 39 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 26 | 10 | 6 | 10 | 43 | 45 | 38 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 26 | 5 | 9 | 12 | 37 | 50 | 28 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 26 | 5 | 2 | 19 | 30 | 59 | 19 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 26 | 3 | 5 | 18 | 27 | 63 | 15 |
Common opponents 4 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chattanooga FC | Atlanta United II |
|---|---|---|
| Huntsville City | 2-1 W | 0-2 L |
| Carolina Core FC | 5-2 W | 3-3 D |
| Inter Miami CF II | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Orlando City II | 1-1 D | 5-1 W |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Chattanooga FC (3 of 4 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chattanooga FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10/09 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 30/08 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 5-2 | 9 | 5 | W |
| 24/08 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 15/08 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 01/08 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 19/07 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 8 | 0 | D |
| 12/07 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 05/07 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
Atlanta United II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/09 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 29/08 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-1 | 6 | 7 | D |
| 22/08 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 5-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
| 18/08 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 14/08 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 09/08 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 31/07 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-2 | 3-3 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 26/07 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-2 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 19/07 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 12/07 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 4-1 | 11 | 3 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chattanooga FC vs Atlanta United II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chattanooga FC win (45%). Probabilities: Chattanooga FC 45%, draw 23%, Atlanta United II 32%.
How many goals are expected in Chattanooga FC vs Atlanta United II?
The model expects 3.46 goals (Chattanooga FC 1.88 · Atlanta United II 1.57), with a 55% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Chattanooga FC vs Atlanta United II?
The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.