Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 30/08, 19:00
Prediction: Columbus Crew II vs Chicago Fire II
Team pages: Columbus Crew II · Chicago Fire II
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.88Total
Columbus Crew II1.98
Chicago Fire II1.9
1X2
Columbus Crew II
Draw
Chicago Fire II
Markets
Over 3.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 61%
Most likely score
1-1 9%
Recent form · 10 last
Columbus Crew II
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Chicago Fire II
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Columbus Crew II
1–2–3
Chicago Fire II
(6 last)
- Columbus Crew II3-3Chicago Fire II
- Chicago Fire II6-1Columbus Crew II
- Chicago Fire II5-0Columbus Crew II
- Chicago Fire II2-3Columbus Crew II
- Columbus Crew II0-1Chicago Fire II
- Columbus Crew II1-1Chicago Fire II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Columbus Crew II 1518 · Chicago Fire II 1521
| Columbus Crew II | Draw | Chicago Fire II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 23% | 37% |
| Market | 40% | 24% | 37% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.88 goals · Bet365 line 3.25 · +0.6
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 76%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Chicago Fire II: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Columbus Crew II | Chicago Fire II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.8 / 1.4 | 2.9 / 1.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.6 | 1.3 / 1.1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/50/10% | 40/10/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.4 / 3.4 | 2 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.6 / 0.3 | 3 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Columbus Crew II 1–2–3 Chicago Fire II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/10/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Columbus Crew II | 3-3 HT 1-2 | Chicago Fire II |
| 03/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Chicago Fire II | 6-1 HT 2-1 | Columbus Crew II |
| 01/06/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Chicago Fire II | 5-0 HT 2-0 | Columbus Crew II |
| 27/10/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Chicago Fire II | 2-3 HT 1-2 | Columbus Crew II |
| 29/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Columbus Crew II | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Chicago Fire II |
| 22/06/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Columbus Crew II | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Chicago Fire II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 33 | 51 |
| 2 | Chattanooga FC | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 44 | 35 | 44 |
| 3 | CT United | 24 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 49 | 41 | 43 |
| 4 | Atlanta United II | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 58 | 43 | 42 |
| 5 | New England Revolution II | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 34 | 42 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew II | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 41 | 36 | 42 |
| 7 | New York Red Bulls II | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 50 | 39 | 41 |
| 8 | New York City FC II | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 39 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire II | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 37 | 39 |
| 10 | Huntsville City | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 42 | 35 |
| 11 | Orlando City II | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 43 | 48 | 35 |
| 12 | Philadelphia Union II | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 36 | 33 |
| 13 | Toronto FC II | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 40 | 47 | 33 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 27 | 54 | 19 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 62 | 12 |
Common opponents 5 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Columbus Crew II | Chicago Fire II |
|---|---|---|
| Huntsville City | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| New York Red Bulls II | 1-2 L | 3-0 W |
| Orlando City II | 2-2 D | 2-0 W |
| Atlanta United II | 3-2 W | 1-2 L |
| FC Cincinnati II | 1-0 W | 7-2 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 2 L | 3 W 1 D 1 L |
Better against common opponents: Chicago Fire II (4 of 5 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Columbus Crew II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 16/08 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 4-2 | 4 | 2 | W |
| 09/08 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 7 | 7 | L |
| 27/07 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 19/07 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 0 | 0 | W |
| 16/07 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 7 | D |
| 29/06 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 22/06 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 15/06 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 4 | W |
| 08/06 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 5 | W |
Chicago Fire II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/08 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 18/08 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 15/08 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 2 | 4 | W |
| 10/08 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 02/08 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
4-2 | 7-2 | 9 | 1 | W |
| 26/07 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 5-1 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 18/07 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 2-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
| 12/07 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 3-0 | 2 | 7 | W |
| 06/07 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
| 28/06 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Columbus Crew II vs Chicago Fire II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Columbus Crew II win (40%). Probabilities: Columbus Crew II 40%, draw 23%, Chicago Fire II 37%.
How many goals are expected in Columbus Crew II vs Chicago Fire II?
The model expects 3.88 goals (Columbus Crew II 1.98 · Chicago Fire II 1.9), with a 56% chance of over 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Columbus Crew II vs Chicago Fire II?
The model gives a 61% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.