Football · USA MLS Next Pro League · 31/08, 01:00
Prediction: Orlando City II vs Crown Legacy
Team pages: Orlando City II · Crown Legacy
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.2Total
Orlando City II1.27
Crown Legacy1.93
1X2
Orlando City II
Draw
Crown Legacy
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 60%
Both teams to score 57%
Most likely score
1-1 11%
Recent form · 10 last
Orlando City II
1-3-6 (W-D-L)
Crown Legacy
5-3-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Orlando City II
3–3–0
Crown Legacy
(6 last)
- Crown Legacy1-1Orlando City II
- Orlando City II2-2Crown Legacy
- Orlando City II1-0Crown Legacy
- Crown Legacy2-2Orlando City II
- Crown Legacy0-1Orlando City II
- Crown Legacy1-4Orlando City II
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Orlando City II 1445 · Crown Legacy 1533
| Orlando City II | Draw | Crown Legacy | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 24% | 24% | 52% |
| Market | 25% | 22% | 53% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.2 goals · Bet365 line 3.25
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Crown Legacy (rating 1445 vs 1533).
- H2H favours Orlando City II: 3-3-0.
- Cards-heavy: 6.9 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Orlando City II | Crown Legacy | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1 / 2.2 | 2 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.7 | 0.9 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 40/40/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.6 / 3.5 | 2.4 / 5.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 2.8 / 0 | 4.1 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Orlando City II 3–3–0 Crown Legacy
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 06/07/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Crown Legacy | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Orlando City II |
| 04/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Orlando City II | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Crown Legacy |
| 01/09/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Orlando City II | 1-0 HT 0-0 | Crown Legacy |
| 07/07/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Crown Legacy | 2-2 HT 0-1 | Orlando City II |
| 27/03/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Crown Legacy | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Orlando City II |
| 08/09/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Crown Legacy | 1-4 HT 0-2 | Orlando City II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Crown Legacy | 24 | 13 | 7 | 4 | 57 | 33 | 51 |
| 2 | Chattanooga FC | 24 | 11 | 7 | 6 | 44 | 35 | 44 |
| 3 | CT United | 24 | 13 | 2 | 9 | 49 | 41 | 43 |
| 4 | Atlanta United II | 25 | 12 | 5 | 8 | 58 | 43 | 42 |
| 5 | New England Revolution II | 24 | 11 | 6 | 7 | 40 | 34 | 42 |
| 6 | Columbus Crew II | 23 | 11 | 5 | 7 | 41 | 36 | 42 |
| 7 | New York Red Bulls II | 24 | 12 | 4 | 8 | 50 | 39 | 41 |
| 8 | New York City FC II | 24 | 11 | 4 | 9 | 42 | 37 | 39 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire II | 24 | 10 | 6 | 8 | 49 | 37 | 39 |
| 10 | Huntsville City | 24 | 9 | 6 | 9 | 38 | 42 | 35 |
| 11 | Orlando City II | 24 | 8 | 7 | 9 | 43 | 48 | 35 |
| 12 | Philadelphia Union II | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 30 | 36 | 33 |
| 13 | Toronto FC II | 24 | 9 | 4 | 11 | 40 | 47 | 33 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 24 | 5 | 8 | 11 | 33 | 43 | 26 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 24 | 5 | 2 | 17 | 27 | 54 | 19 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 24 | 2 | 5 | 17 | 26 | 62 | 12 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Orlando City II | Crown Legacy |
|---|---|---|
| Atlanta United II | 1-5 L | 3-3 D |
| Chicago Fire II | 0-2 L | 3-2 W |
| New York City FC II | 0-3 L | 0-3 L |
| CT United | 2-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Huntsville City | 0-1 L | 2-2 D |
| Chattanooga FC | 1-1 D | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 0 W 1 D 5 L | 2 W 2 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Crown Legacy (4 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Orlando City II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/08 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-5 | 2 | 1 | L |
| 15/08 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 11/08 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 0-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 02/08 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-2 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 27/07 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 19/07 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 0 | D |
| 13/07 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 06/07 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 29/06 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-2 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 22/06 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 7 | 5 | L |
Crown Legacy
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/08 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 3-1 | 1 | 7 | W |
| 20/08 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 5 | 7 | L |
| 13/08 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 5 | 8 | D |
| 08/08 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 02/08 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 3-1 | 6 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 3-0 | 6 | 3 | W |
| 18/07 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 3-2 | 10 | 2 | W |
| 12/07 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 0-3 | 9 | 4 | L |
| 06/07 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 28/06 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-2 | 3-3 | 3 | 3 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Orlando City II vs Crown Legacy?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Crown Legacy win (52%). Probabilities: Orlando City II 24%, draw 23%, Crown Legacy 52%.
How many goals are expected in Orlando City II vs Crown Legacy?
The model expects 3.2 goals (Orlando City II 1.27 · Crown Legacy 1.93), with a 52% chance of under 3.25 goals.
Will both teams score in Orlando City II vs Crown Legacy?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.