Prediction: Chattanooga FC vs Inter Miami CF II
Expected goals: 3.67 (Chattanooga FC 2.67 · Inter Miami CF II 0.99). The model gives 73% home, 16% draw, 11% away. Under 3.75 goals (53%) and both teams to score (56%). Most likely score: 2-0.
Recent form leaves Chattanooga FC with 4 wins, 3 draws and 3 losses over 10 games; Inter Miami CF II has piled up 0-2-8 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 3 wins for Chattanooga FC and 1 for Inter Miami CF II, with 2 draws.
| Chattanooga FC | Draw | Inter Miami CF II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 72% | 17% | 11% |
| Market | 73% | 15% | 12% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Chattanooga FC (rating 1519 vs 1397).
- H2H favours Chattanooga FC: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 8.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Chattanooga FC | Inter Miami CF II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.9 / 1.7 | 0.8 / 2.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1.1 / 0.3 | 0.4 / 1.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/40/10% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.7 / 5.5 | 1.8 / 4.5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 4.8 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Chattanooga FC 3–2–1 Inter Miami CF II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 09/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Inter Miami CF II | 1-2 HT 1-0 | Chattanooga FC |
| 20/07/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Chattanooga FC | 2-2 HT 1-1 | Inter Miami CF II |
| 08/06/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Chattanooga FC | 3-3 HT 1-3 | Inter Miami CF II |
| 08/03/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Inter Miami CF II | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Chattanooga FC |
| 26/08/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Inter Miami CF II | 5-1 HT 3-1 | Chattanooga FC |
| 10/05/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | Inter Miami CF II | 1-2 HT 0-1 | Chattanooga FC |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew II | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 27 | 34 |
| 2 | Crown Legacy | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 32 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 37 | 22 | 31 |
| 4 | New England Revolution II | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 31 |
| 5 | Orlando City II | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 30 | 29 |
| 6 | Chattanooga FC | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 28 |
| 7 | New York City FC II | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 25 |
| 8 | Atlanta United II | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 25 | 24 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire II | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 23 |
| 10 | Toronto FC II | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 31 | 22 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 21 | 21 |
| 12 | CT United | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 28 | 19 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 33 | 19 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 17 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 13 | 27 | 12 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Chattanooga FC | Inter Miami CF II |
|---|---|---|
| Chicago Fire II | 2-2 D | 1-3 L |
| Atlanta United II | 4-4 D | 0-2 L |
| Orlando City II | 2-5 L | 1-4 L |
| Carolina Core FC | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| FC Cincinnati II | 3-1 W | 0-1 L |
| Huntsville City | 0-2 L | 2-4 L |
| Crown Legacy | 0-1 L | 1-5 L |
| Record vs common | 2 W 2 D 3 L | 0 W 1 D 6 L |
Better against common opponents: Chattanooga FC (5 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Chattanooga FC
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 2-2 | 6 | 1 | D |
| 22/06 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 3 | 0 | D |
| 14/06 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-4 | 2 | 6 | D |
| 07/06 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 4-0 | 7 | 2 | W |
| 01/06 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-5 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 24/05 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 3 | W |
| 18/05 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
3-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Inter Miami CF II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 03/05 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
| 19/04 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 5 | L |
Inter Miami CF II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 21/06 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 14/06 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-3 | 2 | 3 | L |
| 25/05 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-3 | 1-4 | 9 | 5 | L |
| 18/05 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-4 | 1-5 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Chattanooga FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 04/05 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-3 | 5 | 4 | L |
| 19/04 | Huntsville City USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-4 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 11/04 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-2 | 1 | 7 | L |
| 28/03 | Carolina Core FC USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 7 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Chattanooga FC vs Inter Miami CF II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Chattanooga FC win (73%). Probabilities: Chattanooga FC 73%, draw 16%, Inter Miami CF II 11%.
How many goals are expected in Chattanooga FC vs Inter Miami CF II?
The model expects 3.67 goals (Chattanooga FC 2.67 · Inter Miami CF II 0.99), with a 53% chance of under 3.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Chattanooga FC vs Inter Miami CF II?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.