Prediction: New England Revolution II vs Philadelphia Union II
Expected goals: 2.8 (New England Revolution II 1.79 · Philadelphia Union II 1). The model gives 55% home, 24% draw, 20% away. Under 3 goals (54%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves New England Revolution II with 6 wins, 2 draws and 2 losses over 10 games; Philadelphia Union II has piled up 3-1-6 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, New England Revolution II won 2 and Philadelphia Union II 2, with 2 draws.
| New England Revolution II | Draw | Philadelphia Union II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 55% | 25% | 20% |
| Market | 56% | 24% | 21% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours New England Revolution II (rating 1561 vs 1457).
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| New England Revolution II | Philadelphia Union II | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 1 | 0.9 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.4 / 0.6 | 0.2 / 0.6 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 0/60/40% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.9 / 5.4 | 1.3 / 3.3 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.5 / 0.4 | 4.8 / 0.3 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · New England Revolution II 2–2–2 Philadelphia Union II
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 14/05/26 USA MLS Next Pro League | Philadelphia Union II | 0-1 HT 0-0 | New England Revolution II |
| 24/08/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Philadelphia Union II | 1-3 HT 0-3 | New England Revolution II |
| 27/06/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | Philadelphia Union II | 2-2 HT 0-1 | New England Revolution II |
| 09/03/25 USA MLS Next Pro League | New England Revolution II | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Philadelphia Union II |
| 07/07/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | New England Revolution II | 1-2 HT 0-2 | Philadelphia Union II |
| 19/05/24 USA MLS Next Pro League | New England Revolution II | 1-3 HT 0-0 | Philadelphia Union II |
Standings · USA MLS Next Pro League · MLS Next Pro 2026, Eastern Conference
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Columbus Crew II | 17 | 9 | 4 | 4 | 31 | 27 | 34 |
| 2 | Crown Legacy | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 40 | 21 | 32 |
| 3 | New York Red Bulls II | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 37 | 22 | 31 |
| 4 | New England Revolution II | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 21 | 14 | 31 |
| 5 | Orlando City II | 16 | 7 | 5 | 4 | 36 | 30 | 29 |
| 6 | Chattanooga FC | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 32 | 28 | 28 |
| 7 | New York City FC II | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 24 | 23 | 25 |
| 8 | Atlanta United II | 15 | 7 | 3 | 5 | 33 | 25 | 24 |
| 9 | Chicago Fire II | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 22 | 22 | 23 |
| 10 | Toronto FC II | 16 | 6 | 3 | 7 | 25 | 31 | 22 |
| 11 | Philadelphia Union II | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 17 | 21 | 21 |
| 12 | CT United | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 25 | 28 | 19 |
| 13 | Huntsville City | 15 | 5 | 3 | 7 | 27 | 33 | 19 |
| 14 | Carolina Core FC | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 28 | 17 |
| 15 | FC Cincinnati II | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 13 | 27 | 12 |
| 16 | Inter Miami CF II | 14 | 0 | 4 | 10 | 13 | 36 | 5 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | New England Revolution II | Philadelphia Union II |
|---|---|---|
| Toronto FC II | 3-1 W | 1-2 L |
| New York Red Bulls II | 2-1 W | 0-5 L |
| Crown Legacy | 2-2 D | 0-1 L |
| Orlando City II | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| New York City FC II | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| CT United | 0-0 D | 2-1 W |
| Columbus Crew II | 1-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 2 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: New England Revolution II (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
New England Revolution II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/06 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-1 | 1 | 1 | W |
| 21/06 | Chicago Fire II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-2 | 1-2 | 8 | 2 | L |
| 14/06 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 08/06 | FC Cincinnati II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 7 | 8 | W |
| 23/05 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
2-1 | 2-2 | 0 | 4 | D |
| 17/05 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 14/05 | Philadelphia Union II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-0 | 9 | 10 | W |
| 10/05 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 04/05 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-0 | 8 | 5 | D |
| 18/04 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 5 | 6 | L |
Philadelphia Union II
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/06 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-5 | 0 | 4 | L |
| 22/06 | Orlando City II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 2-1 | 5 | 5 | W |
| 14/06 | New York City FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 7 | 8 | L |
| 06/06 | Crown Legacy USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 0-1 | 1 | 9 | L |
| 30/05 | Toronto FC II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 1-2 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 23/05 | Atlanta United II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-1 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 17/05 | Columbus Crew II USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 3 | D |
| 14/05 | New England Revolution II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 0-1 | 1 | 10 | L |
| 03/05 | New York Red Bulls II USA MLS Next Pro League |
0-0 | 1-2 | 4 | 6 | L |
| 26/04 | CT United USA MLS Next Pro League |
1-1 | 2-1 | 3 | 1 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in New England Revolution II vs Philadelphia Union II?
According to our model, the most likely result is a New England Revolution II win (55%). Probabilities: New England Revolution II 55%, draw 24%, Philadelphia Union II 20%.
How many goals are expected in New England Revolution II vs Philadelphia Union II?
The model expects 2.8 goals (New England Revolution II 1.79 · Philadelphia Union II 1), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.
Will both teams score in New England Revolution II vs Philadelphia Union II?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.