Football · Australia NPL Victoria · 22/08, 07:00

Prediction: Melbourne City FC 2 vs Bentleigh Greens

Team pages: Melbourne City FC 2 · Bentleigh Greens

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.24Total

Melbourne City FC 21.91

Bentleigh Greens1.33

1X2

50% 25% 26%

Melbourne City FC 2 Draw Bentleigh Greens

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 59% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Melbourne City FC 2 3-1-6 (W-D-L)

WLLWWDLLLL

Bentleigh Greens 1-2-7 (W-D-L)

LLLLLLWLDD

Head-to-head

Melbourne City FC 2 1–0 Bentleigh Greens (1 last)

Bentleigh Greens0-7Melbourne City FC 2

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Melbourne City FC 2 1469 · Bentleigh Greens 1408

	Melbourne City FC 2	Draw	Bentleigh Greens
Our model	50%	24%	26%
Market	50%	25%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.24 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Melbourne City FC 2 (rating 1469 vs 1408).
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Melbourne City FC 2	Bentleigh Greens
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.4	0.6 / 2.3
Goals for / against (HT)	0.7 / 0.5	0.4 / 1.6
Half-time result (W/D/L)	40/30/30%	0/30/70%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 3.8	2.2 / 4.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3 / 0	1.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.60

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.85

Under 31.95

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:43

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.60 → 3.60	Bet365 3.60
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
01:32 +11’	1.80	3.60	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Melbourne City FC 2 1–0–0 Bentleigh Greens

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Australia NPL Victoria	Bentleigh Greens	0-7 HT 0-6	Melbourne City FC 2

Standings · Australia NPL Victoria

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Oakleigh Cannons	24	15	6	3	49	21	51
2	Hume City	24	14	4	6	48	32	46
3	Avondale	24	13	2	9	61	34	41
4	South Melbourne	24	13	2	9	38	33	41
5	Preston Lions	23	14	4	5	36	18	37
6	Caroline Springs George Cross FC	24	8	11	5	32	31	35
7	Heidelberg Utd	24	9	7	8	38	33	34
8	Melbourne City FC 2	23	8	6	9	39	30	30
9	Dandenong City	24	9	6	9	32	29	29
10	St Albans Saints	24	7	7	10	28	42	28
11	Altona Magic	24	7	6	11	27	39	27
12	Bentleigh Greens	24	5	6	13	21	47	21
13	Green Gully	24	3	6	15	20	49	15
14	Dandenong Thunder	24	4	3	17	23	54	15

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Melbourne City FC 2	Bentleigh Greens
South Melbourne	0-3 L	1-5 L
Hume City	0-1 L	1-5 L
Avondale	2-3 L	0-4 L
Altona Magic	3-0 W	0-1 L
St Albans Saints	2-0 W	1-1 D
Oakleigh Cannons	1-3 L	0-0 D
Dandenong City	0-1 L	2-1 W
Dandenong Thunder	2-0 W	1-2 L
Record vs common	3 W 0 D 5 L	1 W 2 D 5 L

Better against common opponents: Melbourne City FC 2 (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Melbourne City FC 2

WLLWWDLLLL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	South Melbourne Australia NPL Victoria	0-2	0-3	5	2	L
01/08	Hume City Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
25/07	Avondale Australia NPL Victoria	2-0	2-3	3	5	L
18/07	Caroline Springs George Cross FC Australia NPL Victoria	0-1	0-1	7	1	L
11/07	Heidelberg Utd Australia NPL Victoria	1-1	2-2	0	6	D
04/07	Altona Magic Australia NPL Victoria	2-0	3-0	6	4	W
26/06	St Albans Saints Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	2-0	4	3	W
19/06	Oakleigh Cannons Australia NPL Victoria	0-1	1-3	5	3	L
30/05	Dandenong City Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-1	2	3	L
24/05	Dandenong Thunder Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	2-0	4	3	W

Bentleigh Greens

LLLLLLWLDD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	St Albans Saints Australia NPL Victoria	1-1	1-1	6	0	D
31/07	Oakleigh Cannons Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-0	2	0	D
24/07	Preston Lions Australia NPL Victoria	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
17/07	Dandenong City Australia NPL Victoria	1-1	2-1	0	3	W
11/07	Dandenong Thunder Australia NPL Victoria	0-2	1-2	8	2	L
03/07	Green Gully Australia NPL Victoria	0-2	0-3	9	3	L
26/06	Altona Magic Australia NPL Victoria	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
19/06	South Melbourne Australia NPL Victoria	1-3	1-5	4	2	L
05/06	Hume City Australia NPL Victoria	1-3	1-5	9	0	L
30/05	Avondale Australia NPL Victoria	0-2	0-4	2	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Melbourne City FC 2 vs Bentleigh Greens?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Melbourne City FC 2 win (50%). Probabilities: Melbourne City FC 2 50%, draw 25%, Bentleigh Greens 26%.

How many goals are expected in Melbourne City FC 2 vs Bentleigh Greens?

The model expects 3.24 goals (Melbourne City FC 2 1.91 · Bentleigh Greens 1.33), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Melbourne City FC 2 vs Bentleigh Greens?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.