Football · Australia NPL Victoria · 29/08, 07:00

Prediction: Oakleigh Cannons vs Dandenong City

Team pages: Oakleigh Cannons · Dandenong City

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.5Total

Oakleigh Cannons1.73

Dandenong City0.77

1X2

60% 25% 16%

Oakleigh Cannons Draw Dandenong City

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 54% Both teams to score 50%

Most likely score

1-0 13%

Recent form · 10 last

Oakleigh Cannons 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

DWWDWWLDWW

Dandenong City 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WLWDLLDWWD

Head-to-head

Oakleigh Cannons 2–2–2 Dandenong City (6 last)

Dandenong City1-1Oakleigh Cannons
Dandenong City1-0Oakleigh Cannons
Oakleigh Cannons3-0Dandenong City
Oakleigh Cannons4-1Dandenong City
Oakleigh Cannons0-2Dandenong City
Dandenong City1-1Oakleigh Cannons

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Oakleigh Cannons 1561 · Dandenong City 1517

	Oakleigh Cannons	Draw	Dandenong City
Our model	59%	26%	15%
Market	60%	24%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.5 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 52%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oakleigh Cannons (rating 1561 vs 1517).

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Oakleigh Cannons	Dandenong City
Goals for / against (FT)	2 / 0.7	1.5 / 0.9
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.1	0.6 / 0.5
Half-time result (W/D/L)	60/40/0%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 4.8	2.6 / 5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.5 / 0	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.50

X3.80

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.85

2 (+1)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.93

Under 2.751.88

Diff.: 0.2 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 06:11

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.50 → 1.50	Bet365 1.50
X	3.80 → 3.80	Bet365 3.80
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
06:01 +10’	1.50	3.80	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

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Head-to-head (H2H) · Oakleigh Cannons 2–2–2 Dandenong City

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Date	Home	Score	Away
15/05/26 Australia NPL Victoria	Dandenong City	1-1 HT 0-0	Oakleigh Cannons
25/07/25 Australia NPL Victoria	Dandenong City	1-0 HT 0-0	Oakleigh Cannons
11/04/25 Australia NPL Victoria	Oakleigh Cannons	3-0 HT 2-0	Dandenong City
24/08/24 Australia NPL Victoria	Oakleigh Cannons	4-1 HT 2-0	Dandenong City
10/06/24 Australia NPL Victoria	Oakleigh Cannons	0-2 HT 0-2	Dandenong City
01/03/24 Australia NPL Victoria	Dandenong City	1-1 HT 1-1	Oakleigh Cannons

Standings · Australia NPL Victoria

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Oakleigh Cannons	25	16	6	3	54	21	54
2	Hume City	25	15	4	6	51	34	49
3	Avondale	25	14	2	9	63	34	44
4	Preston Lions	25	15	5	5	40	18	41
5	South Melbourne	25	13	2	10	39	35	41
6	Heidelberg Utd	25	10	7	8	40	34	37
7	Caroline Springs George Cross FC	25	8	11	6	34	34	35
8	St Albans Saints	25	8	7	10	30	43	31
9	Dandenong City	25	9	7	9	32	29	30
10	Melbourne City FC 2	25	8	6	11	41	40	30
11	Altona Magic	25	7	6	12	27	41	27
12	Bentleigh Greens	25	6	6	13	27	49	24
13	Green Gully	25	3	6	16	21	51	15
14	Dandenong Thunder	25	4	3	18	23	59	15

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Oakleigh Cannons	Dandenong City
Dandenong Thunder	5-0 W	3-0 W
Green Gully	4-1 W	0-0 D
Bentleigh Greens	0-0 D	1-2 L
South Melbourne	1-2 L	0-2 L
Hume City	1-0 W	0-0 D
Avondale	2-0 W	3-1 W
Caroline Springs George Cross FC	1-1 D	2-3 L
Heidelberg Utd	1-0 W	4-1 W
Record vs common	5 W 2 D 1 L	3 W 2 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Oakleigh Cannons (6 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Oakleigh Cannons

DWWDWWLDWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Dandenong Thunder Australia NPL Victoria	2-0	5-0	6	0	W
14/08	Green Gully Australia NPL Victoria	2-0	4-1	3	1	W
31/07	Bentleigh Greens Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-0	5	0	D
24/07	South Melbourne Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	1-2	1	1	L
18/07	Hume City Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
10/07	Avondale Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
04/07	Caroline Springs George Cross FC Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	1-1	8	2	D
26/06	Heidelberg Utd Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	1-0	8	0	W
19/06	Melbourne City FC 2 Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	3-1	2	3	W
05/06	St Albans Saints Australia NPL Victoria	1-1	2-2	9	4	D

Dandenong City

WLWDLLDWWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Preston Lions Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-0	5	3	D
14/08	Altona Magic Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	2-0	4	1	W
01/08	Dandenong Thunder Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	3-0	4	3	W
24/07	Green Gully Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-0	6	5	D
17/07	Bentleigh Greens Australia NPL Victoria	1-1	1-2	6	3	L
10/07	South Melbourne Australia NPL Victoria	0-1	0-2	7	1	L
04/07	Hume City Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
26/06	Avondale Australia NPL Victoria	2-0	3-1	0	4	W
20/06	Caroline Springs George Cross FC Australia NPL Victoria	0-3	2-3	9	4	L
05/06	Heidelberg Utd Australia NPL Victoria	2-0	4-1	4	0	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Oakleigh Cannons vs Dandenong City?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Oakleigh Cannons win (60%). Probabilities: Oakleigh Cannons 60%, draw 25%, Dandenong City 16%.

How many goals are expected in Oakleigh Cannons vs Dandenong City?

The model expects 2.5 goals (Oakleigh Cannons 1.73 · Dandenong City 0.77), with a 56% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Oakleigh Cannons vs Dandenong City?

The model gives a 50% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-0.