Football · Australia NPL Victoria · 29/08, 07:00

Prediction: Heidelberg Utd vs Bentleigh Greens

Team pages: Heidelberg Utd · Bentleigh Greens

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.05Total

Heidelberg Utd2.18

Bentleigh Greens0.87

1X2

67% 20% 13%

Heidelberg Utd Draw Bentleigh Greens

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 64% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

2-0 11%

Recent form · 10 last

Heidelberg Utd 1-4-5 (W-D-L)

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Bentleigh Greens 2-2-6 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Heidelberg Utd 3–2–1 Bentleigh Greens (6 last)

Heidelberg Utd2-0Bentleigh Greens
Bentleigh Greens2-2Heidelberg Utd
Bentleigh Greens0-6Heidelberg Utd
Bentleigh Greens1-1Heidelberg Utd
Heidelberg Utd3-1Bentleigh Greens
Bentleigh Greens2-1Heidelberg Utd

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Heidelberg Utd 1479 · Bentleigh Greens 1448

	Heidelberg Utd	Draw	Bentleigh Greens
Our model	66%	21%	13%
Market	67%	19%	14%

Estimated total (ours) 3.05 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 62%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Heidelberg Utd: 3-2-1.
High corners: 12.8 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Heidelberg Utd	Bentleigh Greens
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.7	1.2 / 2.1
Goals for / against (HT)	0.4 / 0.5	0.6 / 1.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/80/10%	10/30/60%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.5 / 7.1	2.3 / 5.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.1 / 0	1.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.33

X4.75

26.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1.5)2.00

2 (+1.5)1.80

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.05 · xG: 3.05

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 08:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.33 → 1.33	Bet365 1.33
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	6.50 → 6.50	Bet365 6.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.5%

Time*	1	X	2
08:12 +1’	1.33	4.75	6.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Heidelberg Utd 3–2–1 Bentleigh Greens

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Date	Home	Score	Away
26/05/26 Australia Cup Qualifying	Heidelberg Utd	2-0 HT 2-0	Bentleigh Greens
15/05/26 Australia NPL Victoria	Bentleigh Greens	2-2 HT 1-0	Heidelberg Utd
11/06/24 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying	Bentleigh Greens	0-6 HT 0-2	Heidelberg Utd
24/06/23 Australia Victoria Premier League	Bentleigh Greens	1-1 HT 1-0	Heidelberg Utd
24/03/23 Australia Victoria Premier League	Heidelberg Utd	3-1 HT 2-1	Bentleigh Greens
12/07/22 Australia Victoria Cup	Bentleigh Greens	2-1 HT 0-0	Heidelberg Utd

Standings · Australia NPL Victoria

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Oakleigh Cannons	25	16	6	3	54	21	54
2	Hume City	25	15	4	6	51	34	49
3	Avondale	25	14	2	9	63	34	44
4	Preston Lions	25	15	5	5	40	18	41
5	South Melbourne	25	13	2	10	39	35	41
6	Heidelberg Utd	25	10	7	8	40	34	37
7	Caroline Springs George Cross FC	25	8	11	6	34	34	35
8	St Albans Saints	25	8	7	10	30	43	31
9	Dandenong City	25	9	7	9	32	29	30
10	Melbourne City FC 2	25	8	6	11	41	40	30
11	Altona Magic	25	7	6	12	27	41	27
12	Bentleigh Greens	25	6	6	13	27	49	24
13	Green Gully	25	3	6	16	21	51	15
14	Dandenong Thunder	25	4	3	18	23	59	15

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Heidelberg Utd	Bentleigh Greens
South Melbourne	2-1 W	1-5 L
Hume City	4-5 L	1-5 L
Altona Magic	0-0 D	0-1 L
Melbourne City FC 2	2-2 D	6-2 W
St Albans Saints	1-1 D	1-1 D
Oakleigh Cannons	0-1 L	0-0 D
Preston Lions	0-1 L	0-1 L
Dandenong City	1-4 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	1 W 3 D 4 L	2 W 2 D 4 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Heidelberg Utd

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
23/08	South Melbourne Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	2-1	8	0	W
15/08	Hume City Australia NPL Victoria	1-1	4-5	11	3	L
01/08	Avondale Australia NPL Victoria	1-1	1-2	4	4	L
24/07	Caroline Springs George Cross FC Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
18/07	Altona Magic Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
11/07	Melbourne City FC 2 Australia NPL Victoria	1-1	2-2	9	6	D
03/07	St Albans Saints Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
26/06	Oakleigh Cannons Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
20/06	Preston Lions Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
05/06	Dandenong City Australia NPL Victoria	0-2	1-4	12	0	L

Bentleigh Greens

LLLLLWLDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
22/08	Melbourne City FC 2 Australia NPL Victoria	2-0	6-2	11	2	W
14/08	St Albans Saints Australia NPL Victoria	1-1	1-1	6	0	D
31/07	Oakleigh Cannons Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-0	2	0	D
24/07	Preston Lions Australia NPL Victoria	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
17/07	Dandenong City Australia NPL Victoria	1-1	2-1	0	3	W
11/07	Dandenong Thunder Australia NPL Victoria	0-2	1-2	8	2	L
03/07	Green Gully Australia NPL Victoria	0-2	0-3	9	3	L
26/06	Altona Magic Australia NPL Victoria	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
19/06	South Melbourne Australia NPL Victoria	1-3	1-5	4	2	L
05/06	Hume City Australia NPL Victoria	1-3	1-5	9	0	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Heidelberg Utd vs Bentleigh Greens?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Heidelberg Utd win (67%). Probabilities: Heidelberg Utd 67%, draw 20%, Bentleigh Greens 13%.

How many goals are expected in Heidelberg Utd vs Bentleigh Greens?

The model expects 3.05 goals (Heidelberg Utd 2.18 · Bentleigh Greens 0.87), with a 52% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Heidelberg Utd vs Bentleigh Greens?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 2-0.