Football · Australia NPL Victoria · 21/08, 11:30

Prediction: Green Gully vs St Albans Saints

Team pages: Green Gully · St Albans Saints

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.8Total

Green Gully1.2

St Albans Saints1.6

1X2

28% 25% 46%

Green Gully Draw St Albans Saints

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 53% Both teams to score 55%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Green Gully 3-3-4 (W-D-L)

DLLWWLWDDL

St Albans Saints 2-5-3 (W-D-L)

LDWLDDDWLD

Head-to-head

Green Gully 2–1–3 St Albans Saints (6 last)

St Albans Saints1-0Green Gully
Green Gully2-2St Albans Saints
St Albans Saints1-2Green Gully
St Albans Saints5-0Green Gully
St Albans Saints1-0Green Gully
Green Gully4-0St Albans Saints

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Green Gully 1477 · St Albans Saints 1490

	Green Gully	Draw	St Albans Saints
Our model	27%	27%	46%
Market	29%	24%	47%

Estimated total (ours) 2.8 goals · Bet365 line 3 · -0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours St Albans Saints: 3-1-2.
Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Green Gully	St Albans Saints
Goals for / against (FT)	1.4 / 1.6	1.2 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.8 / 0.5	0.7 / 1.1
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/20/30%	10/40/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.3	2.1 / 5.1
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.4 / 0.2	3.3 / 0.1

Odds Bet365

13.10

X3.75

21.91

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+0.5)1.85

2 (-0.5)1.95

Line ⓘ

Over 31.93

Under 31.88

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 01:34

	Bet365	Best now
1	3.10 → 3.10	Bet365 3.10
X	3.75 → 3.75	Bet365 3.75
2	1.91 → 1.91	Bet365 1.91

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
01:33 +2’	3.10	3.75	1.91

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Green Gully 2–1–3 St Albans Saints

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Date	Home	Score	Away
08/05/26 Australia NPL Victoria	St Albans Saints	1-0 HT 0-0	Green Gully
25/07/25 Australia NPL Victoria	Green Gully	2-2 HT 1-2	St Albans Saints
13/04/25 Australia NPL Victoria	St Albans Saints	1-2 HT 0-1	Green Gully
11/08/24 Australia NPL Victoria	St Albans Saints	5-0 HT 4-0	Green Gully
21/05/24 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying	St Albans Saints	1-0 HT 1-0	Green Gully
04/05/24 Australia NPL Victoria	Green Gully	4-0 HT 2-0	St Albans Saints

Standings · Australia NPL Victoria

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Oakleigh Cannons	24	15	6	3	49	21	51
2	Hume City	24	14	4	6	48	32	46
3	Avondale	24	13	2	9	61	34	41
4	South Melbourne	24	13	2	9	38	33	41
5	Preston Lions	23	14	4	5	36	18	37
6	Caroline Springs George Cross FC	24	8	11	5	32	31	35
7	Heidelberg Utd	24	9	7	8	38	33	34
8	Melbourne City FC 2	23	8	6	9	39	30	30
9	Dandenong City	24	9	6	9	32	29	29
10	St Albans Saints	24	7	7	10	28	42	28
11	Altona Magic	24	7	6	11	27	39	27
12	Bentleigh Greens	24	5	6	13	21	47	21
13	Green Gully	24	3	6	15	20	49	15
14	Dandenong Thunder	24	4	3	17	23	54	15

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Green Gully	St Albans Saints
Oakleigh Cannons	1-4 L	2-2 D
Preston Lions	2-2 D	0-1 L
Altona Magic	1-3 L	2-1 W
Bentleigh Greens	3-0 W	1-1 D
South Melbourne	2-1 W	0-2 L
Hume City	2-3 L	3-2 W
Avondale	0-2 L	1-1 D
Caroline Springs George Cross FC	0-0 D	2-2 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 4 L	2 W 4 D 2 L

Better against common opponents: St Albans Saints (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Green Gully

DLLWWLWDDL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Oakleigh Cannons Australia NPL Victoria	0-2	1-4	5	1	L
31/07	Preston Lions Australia NPL Victoria	2-1	2-2	2	0	D
24/07	Dandenong City Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-0	4	5	D
17/07	Dandenong Thunder Australia NPL Victoria	2-0	3-1	0	5	W
10/07	Altona Magic Australia NPL Victoria	0-1	1-3	3	8	L
03/07	Bentleigh Greens Australia NPL Victoria	2-0	3-0	3	3	W
28/06	South Melbourne Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	2-1	4	4	W
20/06	Hume City Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	2-3	4	4	L
05/06	Avondale Australia NPL Victoria	0-1	0-2	8	4	L
30/05	Caroline Springs George Cross FC Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-0	10	2	D

St Albans Saints

LDWLDDDWLD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
14/08	Bentleigh Greens Australia NPL Victoria	1-1	1-1	3	0	D
02/08	South Melbourne Australia NPL Victoria	0-2	0-2	1	4	L
24/07	Hume City Australia NPL Victoria	3-1	3-2	5	5	W
18/07	Avondale Australia NPL Victoria	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
12/07	Caroline Springs George Cross FC Australia NPL Victoria	1-1	2-2	3	3	D
03/07	Heidelberg Utd Australia NPL Victoria	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
26/06	Melbourne City FC 2 Australia NPL Victoria	0-1	0-2	12	3	L
21/06	Altona Magic Australia NPL Victoria	1-1	2-1	7	1	W
05/06	Oakleigh Cannons Australia NPL Victoria	1-1	2-2	2	4	D
31/05	Preston Lions Australia NPL Victoria	0-1	0-1	7	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Green Gully vs St Albans Saints?

According to our model, the most likely result is an St Albans Saints win (46%). Probabilities: Green Gully 28%, draw 25%, St Albans Saints 46%.

How many goals are expected in Green Gully vs St Albans Saints?

The model expects 2.8 goals (Green Gully 1.2 · St Albans Saints 1.6), with a 55% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Green Gully vs St Albans Saints?

The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.