Prediction: Green Gully vs Altona Magic
Expected goals: 2.58 (Green Gully 1.2 · Altona Magic 1.38). The model gives 32% home, 28% draw, 40% away. Over 2.5 goals (50%) and both teams to score (53%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Green Gully is 2-1-7 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Altona Magic 4-1-5 over its own. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings the record reads 1 wins for Green Gully and 2 for Altona Magic, with 3 draws.
| Green Gully | Draw | Altona Magic | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 31% | 29% | 40% |
| Market | 33% | 26% | 41% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Altona Magic: 2-3-1.
- Cards-heavy: 6.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Green Gully | Altona Magic | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2 | 1 / 1.8 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.7 | 0.7 / 1 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 30/20/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.4 / 4.9 | 2.1 / 4.6 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.5 / 0.1 | 3.2 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Green Gully 1–3–2 Altona Magic
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia NPL Victoria | Altona Magic | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Green Gully |
| 27/06/25 Australia NPL Victoria | Green Gully | 2-3 HT 2-1 | Altona Magic |
| 22/03/25 Australia NPL Victoria | Altona Magic | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Green Gully |
| 15/06/24 Australia NPL Victoria | Altona Magic | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Green Gully |
| 08/03/24 Australia NPL Victoria | Green Gully | 2-4 HT 1-1 | Altona Magic |
| 16/06/23 Australia Victoria Premier League | Green Gully | 5-2 HT 3-1 | Altona Magic |
Standings · Australia NPL Victoria
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oakleigh Cannons | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | Hume City | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 22 | 40 |
| 3 | Avondale | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 53 | 25 | 34 |
| 4 | Heidelberg Utd | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 31 |
| 5 | Melbourne City FC 2 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 20 | 29 |
| 6 | Preston Lions | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 15 | 29 |
| 7 | South Melbourne | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 32 | 28 |
| 8 | Caroline Springs George Cross FC | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 26 | 26 |
| 9 | Dandenong City | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 22 |
| 10 | St Albans Saints | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 34 | 22 |
| 11 | Altona Magic | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 35 | 19 |
| 12 | Bentleigh Greens | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 16 |
| 13 | Dandenong Thunder | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 42 | 12 |
| 14 | Green Gully | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 39 | 10 |
Common opponents 9 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Green Gully | Altona Magic |
|---|---|---|
| Bentleigh Greens | 3-0 W | 1-0 W |
| South Melbourne | 2-1 W | 3-2 W |
| Hume City | 2-3 L | 1-3 L |
| Avondale | 0-2 L | 1-5 L |
| Caroline Springs George Cross FC | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| Melbourne City FC 2 | 1-3 L | 0-3 L |
| St Albans Saints | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Oakleigh Cannons | 0-5 L | 0-2 L |
| Preston Lions | 0-4 L | 1-0 W |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 6 L | 3 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Green Gully (4 of 9 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Green Gully
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Bentleigh Greens Australia NPL Victoria |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 28/06 | South Melbourne Australia NPL Victoria |
1-0 | 2-1 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 20/06 | Hume City Australia NPL Victoria |
1-0 | 2-3 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 05/06 | Avondale Australia NPL Victoria |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 4 | L |
| 30/05 | Caroline Springs George Cross FC Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 0-0 | 10 | 2 | D |
| 22/05 | Heidelberg Utd Australia NPL Victoria |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 15/05 | Melbourne City FC 2 Australia NPL Victoria |
1-1 | 1-3 | 4 | 3 | L |
| 08/05 | St Albans Saints Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 0-1 | 5 | 5 | L |
| 01/05 | Oakleigh Cannons Australia NPL Victoria |
0-2 | 0-5 | 3 | 6 | L |
| 24/04 | Preston Lions Australia NPL Victoria |
0-2 | 0-4 | 5 | 3 | L |
Altona Magic
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Melbourne City FC 2 Australia NPL Victoria |
0-2 | 0-3 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 26/06 | Bentleigh Greens Australia NPL Victoria |
1-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 21/06 | St Albans Saints Australia NPL Victoria |
1-1 | 1-2 | 8 | 1 | L |
| 07/06 | South Melbourne Australia NPL Victoria |
1-2 | 3-2 | 2 | 2 | W |
| 30/05 | Oakleigh Cannons Australia NPL Victoria |
0-1 | 0-2 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 23/05 | Hume City Australia NPL Victoria |
1-2 | 1-3 | 5 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | Preston Lions Australia NPL Victoria |
1-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 09/05 | Avondale Australia NPL Victoria |
1-2 | 1-5 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 02/05 | Dandenong City Australia NPL Victoria |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 25/04 | Caroline Springs George Cross FC Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 1-1 | 2 | 6 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Green Gully vs Altona Magic?
According to our model, the most likely result is an Altona Magic win (40%). Probabilities: Green Gully 32%, draw 28%, Altona Magic 40%.
How many goals are expected in Green Gully vs Altona Magic?
The model expects 2.58 goals (Green Gully 1.2 · Altona Magic 1.38), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Green Gully vs Altona Magic?
The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.