Prediction: Dandenong Thunder vs Bentleigh Greens
Expected goals: 3.16 (Dandenong Thunder 1.65 · Bentleigh Greens 1.52). The model gives 40% home, 26% draw, 34% away. Over 2.75 goals (53%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.
Recent form leaves Dandenong Thunder with 1 wins, 1 draws and 8 losses over 10 games; Bentleigh Greens has piled up 1-2-7 in the same span. In the last 6 head-to-head meetings, Dandenong Thunder won 1 and Bentleigh Greens 3, with 2 draws.
| Dandenong Thunder | Draw | Bentleigh Greens | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 40% | 26% | 34% |
| Market | 40% | 26% | 34% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Bentleigh Greens: 3-2-1.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Dandenong Thunder | Bentleigh Greens | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.8 / 2.9 | 0.7 / 2.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0 / 0.9 | 0.5 / 1.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 0/30/70% | 20/10/70% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.8 / 4 | 2.1 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3 / 0.1 | 2.5 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Dandenong Thunder 1–2–3 Bentleigh Greens
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 27/03/26 Australia NPL Victoria | Bentleigh Greens | 2-1 HT 1-0 | Dandenong Thunder |
| 17/06/23 Australia Victoria Premier League | Dandenong Thunder | 1-1 HT 1-1 | Bentleigh Greens |
| 17/03/23 Australia Victoria Premier League | Bentleigh Greens | 0-3 HT 0-2 | Dandenong Thunder |
| 16/07/22 Australia Victoria Premier League | Dandenong Thunder | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Bentleigh Greens |
| 15/04/22 Australia Victoria Premier League | Bentleigh Greens | 2-0 HT 0-0 | Dandenong Thunder |
| 12/03/21 Australia Victoria Premier League | Dandenong Thunder | 1-2 HT 1-2 | Bentleigh Greens |
Standings · Australia NPL Victoria
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oakleigh Cannons | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | Hume City | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 22 | 40 |
| 3 | Avondale | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 53 | 25 | 34 |
| 4 | Heidelberg Utd | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 31 |
| 5 | Melbourne City FC 2 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 20 | 29 |
| 6 | Preston Lions | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 15 | 29 |
| 7 | South Melbourne | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 32 | 28 |
| 8 | Caroline Springs George Cross FC | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 26 | 26 |
| 9 | Dandenong City | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 22 |
| 10 | St Albans Saints | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 34 | 22 |
| 11 | Altona Magic | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 35 | 19 |
| 12 | Bentleigh Greens | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 16 |
| 13 | Dandenong Thunder | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 42 | 12 |
| 14 | Green Gully | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 39 | 10 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Dandenong Thunder | Bentleigh Greens |
|---|---|---|
| South Melbourne | 0-1 L | 1-5 L |
| Hume City | 1-3 L | 1-5 L |
| Avondale | 0-11 L | 0-4 L |
| Caroline Springs George Cross FC | 2-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Heidelberg Utd | 2-4 L | 0-2 L |
| Melbourne City FC 2 | 0-2 L | 0-7 L |
| Record vs common | 0 W 0 D 6 L | 0 W 1 D 5 L |
Better against common opponents: Dandenong Thunder (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Dandenong Thunder
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05/07 | South Melbourne Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 0-1 | 2 | 5 | L |
| 27/06 | Hume City Australia NPL Victoria |
0-1 | 1-3 | 0 | 2 | L |
| 20/06 | Avondale Australia NPL Victoria |
0-3 | 0-11 | 3 | 2 | L |
| 06/06 | Caroline Springs George Cross FC Australia NPL Victoria |
0-1 | 2-3 | 4 | 7 | L |
| 29/05 | Heidelberg Utd Australia NPL Victoria |
0-1 | 2-4 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 24/05 | Melbourne City FC 2 Australia NPL Victoria |
0-1 | 0-2 | 8 | 3 | L |
| 16/05 | St Albans Saints Australia NPL Victoria |
0-1 | 2-2 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 08/05 | Oakleigh Cannons Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 0-2 | 5 | 0 | L |
| 02/05 | Preston Lions Australia NPL Victoria |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 24/04 | Dandenong City Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
Bentleigh Greens
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/07 | Green Gully Australia NPL Victoria |
0-2 | 0-3 | 9 | 3 | L |
| 26/06 | Altona Magic Australia NPL Victoria |
0-1 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 19/06 | South Melbourne Australia NPL Victoria |
1-3 | 1-5 | 4 | 2 | L |
| 05/06 | Hume City Australia NPL Victoria |
1-3 | 1-5 | 9 | 0 | L |
| 30/05 | Avondale Australia NPL Victoria |
0-2 | 0-4 | 2 | 2 | L |
| 26/05 | Heidelberg Utd Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 2 | L |
| 22/05 | Caroline Springs George Cross FC Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 15/05 | Heidelberg Utd Australia NPL Victoria |
1-0 | 2-2 | 2 | 4 | D |
| 12/05 | Northcote City Australia Cup Qualifying |
2-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 1 | W |
| 08/05 | Melbourne City FC 2 Australia NPL Victoria |
0-6 | 0-7 | 2 | 1 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Dandenong Thunder vs Bentleigh Greens?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Dandenong Thunder win (40%). Probabilities: Dandenong Thunder 40%, draw 26%, Bentleigh Greens 34%.
How many goals are expected in Dandenong Thunder vs Bentleigh Greens?
The model expects 3.16 goals (Dandenong Thunder 1.65 · Bentleigh Greens 1.52), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Dandenong Thunder vs Bentleigh Greens?
The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.