Football · Australia NPL Victoria · 31/07, 11:30

Prediction: Bentleigh Greens vs Oakleigh Cannons

Team pages: Bentleigh Greens · Oakleigh Cannons

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.23Total

Bentleigh Greens0.87

Oakleigh Cannons2.36

1X2

11% 19% 70%

Bentleigh Greens Draw Oakleigh Cannons

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 60% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

0-2

Recent form · 10 last

Bentleigh Greens 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

DLLLLLLLWL

Oakleigh Cannons 6-3-1 (W-D-L)

WDWDWWDWWL

Head-to-head

Bentleigh Greens 2–4 Oakleigh Cannons (6 last)

Oakleigh Cannons4-0Bentleigh Greens
Bentleigh Greens1-3Oakleigh Cannons
Oakleigh Cannons3-0Bentleigh Greens
Bentleigh Greens0-4Oakleigh Cannons
Oakleigh Cannons1-2Bentleigh Greens
Bentleigh Greens3-2Oakleigh Cannons

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Bentleigh Greens 1385 · Oakleigh Cannons 1574

	Bentleigh Greens	Draw	Oakleigh Cannons
Our model	11%	19%	70%
Market	11%	19%	70%

Estimated total (ours) 3.23 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Oakleigh Cannons (rating 1385 vs 1574).
H2H favours Oakleigh Cannons: 4-0-2.
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Bentleigh Greens	Oakleigh Cannons
Goals for / against (FT)	0.5 / 2.4	1.5 / 0.7
Goals for / against (HT)	0.3 / 1.7	0.7 / 0.2
Half-time result (W/D/L)	0/20/80%	50/50/0%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.1 / 5.4	1.9 / 4.5
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.7 / 0	2.5 / 0

Odds Bet365

18.00

X4.75

21.28

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1.5)1.98

2 (-1.5)1.82

Line ⓘ

Over 31.82

Under 31.98

Diff.: 0.45 · xG: 2.55

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:05

	Bet365	Best now
1	8.00 → 8.00	Bet365 8.00
X	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
2	1.28 → 1.28	Bet365 1.28

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.4%

Time*	1	X	2
13:01 +4’	8.00	4.75	1.28

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Bentleigh Greens 2–0–4 Oakleigh Cannons

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Date	Home	Score	Away
24/04/26 Australia NPL Victoria	Oakleigh Cannons	4-0 HT 3-0	Bentleigh Greens
08/07/23 Australia Victoria Premier League	Bentleigh Greens	1-3 HT 0-2	Oakleigh Cannons
10/04/23 Australia Victoria Premier League	Oakleigh Cannons	3-0 HT 2-0	Bentleigh Greens
10/02/23 Australia Friendlies	Bentleigh Greens	0-4 HT 0-2	Oakleigh Cannons
06/08/22 Australia Victoria Cup	Oakleigh Cannons	1-2 HT 0-0	Bentleigh Greens
25/07/22 Australia Victoria Premier League	Bentleigh Greens	3-2 HT 1-0	Oakleigh Cannons

Standings · Australia NPL Victoria

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Oakleigh Cannons	22	14	5	3	45	20	47
2	Hume City	22	12	4	6	42	28	40
3	Avondale	22	12	2	8	57	30	38
4	Preston Lions	21	13	3	5	31	16	36
5	South Melbourne	22	11	2	9	33	33	35
6	Heidelberg Utd	22	9	7	6	33	26	34
7	Caroline Springs George Cross FC	22	7	10	5	28	28	31
8	Melbourne City FC 2	21	8	6	7	39	26	30
9	St Albans Saints	22	7	6	9	27	39	27
10	Altona Magic	22	7	5	10	26	36	26
11	Dandenong City	22	7	6	9	27	29	23
12	Bentleigh Greens	22	5	4	13	20	46	19
13	Dandenong Thunder	22	4	3	15	23	48	15
14	Green Gully	22	3	5	14	17	43	14

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Bentleigh Greens	Oakleigh Cannons
Preston Lions	0-1 L	1-0 W
Altona Magic	0-1 L	2-0 W
South Melbourne	1-5 L	1-2 L
Hume City	1-5 L	1-0 W
Avondale	0-4 L	2-0 W
Heidelberg Utd	0-2 L	1-0 W
Caroline Springs George Cross FC	0-0 D	1-1 D
Record vs common	0 W 1 D 6 L	5 W 1 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Oakleigh Cannons (6 of 7 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Bentleigh Greens

DLLLLLLLWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Preston Lions Australia NPL Victoria	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
17/07	Dandenong City Australia NPL Victoria	1-1	2-1	0	3	W
11/07	Dandenong Thunder Australia NPL Victoria	0-2	1-2	8	2	L
03/07	Green Gully Australia NPL Victoria	0-2	0-3	9	3	L
26/06	Altona Magic Australia NPL Victoria	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
19/06	South Melbourne Australia NPL Victoria	1-3	1-5	4	2	L
05/06	Hume City Australia NPL Victoria	1-3	1-5	9	0	L
30/05	Avondale Australia NPL Victoria	0-2	0-4	2	2	L
26/05	Heidelberg Utd Australia Cup Qualifying	0-2	0-2	5	2	L
22/05	Caroline Springs George Cross FC Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-0	9	6	D

Oakleigh Cannons

WDWDWWDWWL

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	South Melbourne Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	1-2	1	1	L
18/07	Hume City Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	1-0	4	1	W
10/07	Avondale Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	2-0	2	3	W
04/07	Caroline Springs George Cross FC Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	1-1	8	2	D
26/06	Heidelberg Utd Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	1-0	8	0	W
19/06	Melbourne City FC 2 Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	3-1	2	3	W
05/06	St Albans Saints Australia NPL Victoria	1-1	2-2	9	4	D
30/05	Altona Magic Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	2-0	3	2	W
27/05	Brunswick Juventus Australia Cup Qualifying	1-1	1-1	4	4	D
24/05	Preston Lions Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	1-0	4	5	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Bentleigh Greens vs Oakleigh Cannons?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Oakleigh Cannons win (70%). Probabilities: Bentleigh Greens 11%, draw 19%, Oakleigh Cannons 70%.

How many goals are expected in Bentleigh Greens vs Oakleigh Cannons?

The model expects 3.23 goals (Bentleigh Greens 0.87 · Oakleigh Cannons 2.36), with a 52% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Bentleigh Greens vs Oakleigh Cannons?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 0-2.