Football · Australia NPL Victoria · 01/08, 07:15

Prediction: Altona Magic vs Caroline Springs George Cross FC

Team pages: Altona Magic · Caroline Springs George Cross FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.62Total

Altona Magic1.36

Caroline Springs George Cross FC1.26

1X2

38% 28% 34%

Altona Magic Draw Caroline Springs George Cross FC

Markets

Under 2.5 goals 51% Both teams to score 54%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Altona Magic 5-1-4 (W-D-L)

WLLWLWLWDW

Caroline Springs George Cross FC 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

DLDWWLDDWD

Head-to-head

Altona Magic 1–1–0 Caroline Springs George Cross FC (2 last)

Caroline Springs George Cross FC1-1Altona Magic
Caroline Springs George Cross FC1-2Altona Magic

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Altona Magic 1508 · Caroline Springs George Cross FC 1509

	Altona Magic	Draw	Caroline Springs George Cross FC
Our model	38%	29%	33%
Market	39%	27%	34%

Estimated total (ours) 2.62 goals · Bet365 line 2.75

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 54%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 5.7 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Altona Magic	Caroline Springs George Cross FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.3	1 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.8	0.6 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/30/40%	30/50/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	2.3 / 4.8	1.4 / 2.8
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.8 / 0.1	2.9 / 0

Odds Bet365

12.30

X3.30

22.63

Handicap ⓘ

1 (0)1.75

2 (0)2.05

Line ⓘ

Over 2.751.88

Under 2.751.93

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.5

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 13:09

	Bet365	Best now
1	2.30 → 2.30	Bet365 2.30
X	3.30 → 3.30	Bet365 3.30
2	2.63 → 2.63	Bet365 2.63

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
12:46 +23’	2.30	3.30	2.63

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Altona Magic 1–1–0 Caroline Springs George Cross FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
25/04/26 Australia NPL Victoria	Caroline Springs George Cross FC	1-1 HT 0-0	Altona Magic
04/04/23 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying	Caroline Springs George Cross FC	1-2 HT 1-1	Altona Magic

Standings · Australia NPL Victoria

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Oakleigh Cannons	22	14	5	3	45	20	47
2	Hume City	22	12	4	6	42	28	40
3	Avondale	22	12	2	8	57	30	38
4	Preston Lions	21	13	3	5	31	16	36
5	South Melbourne	22	11	2	9	33	33	35
6	Heidelberg Utd	22	9	7	6	33	26	34
7	Caroline Springs George Cross FC	22	7	10	5	28	28	31
8	Melbourne City FC 2	21	8	6	7	39	26	30
9	St Albans Saints	22	7	6	9	27	39	27
10	Altona Magic	22	7	5	10	26	36	26
11	Dandenong City	22	7	6	9	27	29	23
12	Bentleigh Greens	22	5	4	13	20	46	19
13	Dandenong Thunder	22	4	3	15	23	48	15
14	Green Gully	22	3	5	14	17	43	14

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Altona Magic	Caroline Springs George Cross FC
Dandenong Thunder	2-0 W	3-2 W
Heidelberg Utd	0-0 D	0-0 D
Green Gully	3-1 W	0-0 D
Melbourne City FC 2	0-3 L	1-0 W
Bentleigh Greens	1-0 W	0-0 D
St Albans Saints	1-2 L	2-2 D
Oakleigh Cannons	0-2 L	1-1 D
Preston Lions	1-0 W	0-2 L
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	2 W 5 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Altona Magic (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Altona Magic

WLLWLWLWDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
25/07	Dandenong Thunder Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	2-0	8	3	W
18/07	Heidelberg Utd Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-0	5	1	D
10/07	Green Gully Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	3-1	4	8	W
04/07	Melbourne City FC 2 Australia NPL Victoria	0-2	0-3	3	4	L
26/06	Bentleigh Greens Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	1-0	5	4	W
21/06	St Albans Saints Australia NPL Victoria	1-1	1-2	8	1	L
07/06	South Melbourne Australia NPL Victoria	1-2	3-2	2	2	W
30/05	Oakleigh Cannons Australia NPL Victoria	0-1	0-2	4	2	L
23/05	Hume City Australia NPL Victoria	1-2	1-3	5	3	L
16/05	Preston Lions Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	1-0	4	1	W

Caroline Springs George Cross FC

DLDWWLDDWD

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
24/07	Heidelberg Utd Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
18/07	Melbourne City FC 2 Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
12/07	St Albans Saints Australia NPL Victoria	1-1	2-2	5	3	D
04/07	Oakleigh Cannons Australia NPL Victoria	0-1	1-1	1	2	D
27/06	Preston Lions Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-2	0	3	L
20/06	Dandenong City Australia NPL Victoria	3-0	3-2	4	4	W
06/06	Dandenong Thunder Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	3-2	2	7	W
30/05	Green Gully Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
27/05	Preston Lions Australia Cup Qualifying	0-2	0-6	3	0	L
22/05	Bentleigh Greens Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-0	6	6	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Altona Magic vs Caroline Springs George Cross FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Altona Magic win (38%). Probabilities: Altona Magic 38%, draw 28%, Caroline Springs George Cross FC 34%.

How many goals are expected in Altona Magic vs Caroline Springs George Cross FC?

The model expects 2.62 goals (Altona Magic 1.36 · Caroline Springs George Cross FC 1.26), with a 53% chance of under 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in Altona Magic vs Caroline Springs George Cross FC?

The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.