Football · Australia NPL Victoria · 14/08, 12:30

Prediction: St Albans Saints vs Bentleigh Greens

Team pages: St Albans Saints · Bentleigh Greens

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.16Total

St Albans Saints1.86

Bentleigh Greens1.29

1X2

50% 24% 26%

St Albans Saints Draw Bentleigh Greens

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 61% Both teams to score 57%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

St Albans Saints 2-4-4 (W-D-L)

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Bentleigh Greens 1-1-8 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

St Albans Saints 1–1–4 Bentleigh Greens (6 last)

Bentleigh Greens2-4St Albans Saints
St Albans Saints0-2Bentleigh Greens
Bentleigh Greens4-1St Albans Saints
St Albans Saints0-0Bentleigh Greens
Bentleigh Greens3-0St Albans Saints
Bentleigh Greens1-0St Albans Saints

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · St Albans Saints 1491 · Bentleigh Greens 1401

	St Albans Saints	Draw	Bentleigh Greens
Our model	50%	25%	26%
Market	50%	24%	26%

Estimated total (ours) 3.16 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.2

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 71%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours St Albans Saints (rating 1491 vs 1401).
H2H favours Bentleigh Greens: 4-1-1.
Cards-heavy: 5.4 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	St Albans Saints	Bentleigh Greens
Goals for / against (FT)	1.2 / 1.6	0.5 / 2.4
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 1.1	0.3 / 1.7
Half-time result (W/D/L)	10/30/60%	0/20/80%
Corners (HT / FT)	2 / 5.1	2.1 / 4.7
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	3.3 / 0.1	2.1 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.80

X3.70

23.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.5)1.82

2 (+0.5)1.98

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.15 · xG: 2.85

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:13

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.80 → 1.80	Bet365 1.80
X	3.70 → 3.70	Bet365 3.70
2	3.50 → 3.50	Bet365 3.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
12:00 +13’	1.80	3.70	3.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · St Albans Saints 1–1–4 Bentleigh Greens

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Date	Home	Score	Away
01/05/26 Australia NPL Victoria	Bentleigh Greens	2-4 HT 1-3	St Albans Saints
30/06/23 Australia Victoria Premier League	St Albans Saints	0-2 HT 0-1	Bentleigh Greens
31/03/23 Australia Victoria Premier League	Bentleigh Greens	4-1 HT 0-0	St Albans Saints
17/06/22 Australia Victoria Premier League	St Albans Saints	0-0 HT 0-0	Bentleigh Greens
18/05/22 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying	Bentleigh Greens	3-0 HT 2-0	St Albans Saints
18/03/22 Australia Victoria Premier League	Bentleigh Greens	1-0 HT 1-0	St Albans Saints

Standings · Australia NPL Victoria

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Oakleigh Cannons	23	14	6	3	45	20	48
2	Hume City	23	13	4	6	43	28	43
3	Avondale	23	13	2	8	59	31	41
4	South Melbourne	23	12	2	9	35	33	38
5	Preston Lions	22	13	4	5	33	18	37
6	Heidelberg Utd	23	9	7	7	34	28	34
7	Caroline Springs George Cross FC	23	7	11	5	29	29	32
8	Melbourne City FC 2	22	8	6	8	39	27	30
9	Altona Magic	23	7	6	10	27	37	27
10	St Albans Saints	23	7	6	10	27	41	27
11	Dandenong City	23	8	6	9	30	29	26
12	Bentleigh Greens	23	5	5	13	20	46	20
13	Green Gully	23	3	6	14	19	45	15
14	Dandenong Thunder	23	4	3	16	23	51	15

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	St Albans Saints	Bentleigh Greens
South Melbourne	0-2 L	1-5 L
Hume City	3-2 W	1-5 L
Avondale	1-1 D	0-4 L
Heidelberg Utd	1-1 D	0-2 L
Altona Magic	2-1 W	0-1 L
Oakleigh Cannons	2-2 D	0-0 D
Preston Lions	0-1 L	0-1 L
Dandenong City	1-2 L	2-1 W
Record vs common	2 W 3 D 3 L	1 W 1 D 6 L

Better against common opponents: St Albans Saints (5 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

St Albans Saints

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
02/08	South Melbourne Australia NPL Victoria	0-2	0-2	1	4	L
24/07	Hume City Australia NPL Victoria	3-1	3-2	5	5	W
18/07	Avondale Australia NPL Victoria	0-1	1-1	7	6	D
12/07	Caroline Springs George Cross FC Australia NPL Victoria	1-1	2-2	3	3	D
03/07	Heidelberg Utd Australia NPL Victoria	0-1	1-1	4	4	D
26/06	Melbourne City FC 2 Australia NPL Victoria	0-1	0-2	12	3	L
21/06	Altona Magic Australia NPL Victoria	1-1	2-1	7	1	W
05/06	Oakleigh Cannons Australia NPL Victoria	1-1	2-2	2	4	D
31/05	Preston Lions Australia NPL Victoria	0-1	0-1	7	4	L
22/05	Dandenong City Australia NPL Victoria	0-1	1-2	3	0	L

Bentleigh Greens

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
31/07	Oakleigh Cannons Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-0	2	0	D
24/07	Preston Lions Australia NPL Victoria	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
17/07	Dandenong City Australia NPL Victoria	1-1	2-1	0	3	W
11/07	Dandenong Thunder Australia NPL Victoria	0-2	1-2	8	2	L
03/07	Green Gully Australia NPL Victoria	0-2	0-3	9	3	L
26/06	Altona Magic Australia NPL Victoria	0-1	0-1	4	4	L
19/06	South Melbourne Australia NPL Victoria	1-3	1-5	4	2	L
05/06	Hume City Australia NPL Victoria	1-3	1-5	9	0	L
30/05	Avondale Australia NPL Victoria	0-2	0-4	2	2	L
26/05	Heidelberg Utd Australia Cup Qualifying	0-2	0-2	5	2	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in St Albans Saints vs Bentleigh Greens?

According to our model, the most likely result is a St Albans Saints win (50%). Probabilities: St Albans Saints 50%, draw 24%, Bentleigh Greens 26%.

How many goals are expected in St Albans Saints vs Bentleigh Greens?

The model expects 3.16 goals (St Albans Saints 1.86 · Bentleigh Greens 1.29), with a 51% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in St Albans Saints vs Bentleigh Greens?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.