Football · Australia NPL Victoria · 22/08, 06:00

Prediction: Hume City vs Caroline Springs George Cross FC

Team pages: Hume City · Caroline Springs George Cross FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.41Total

Hume City2.11

Caroline Springs George Cross FC1.3

1X2

55% 22% 22%

Hume City Draw Caroline Springs George Cross FC

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 58%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Hume City 5-2-3 (W-D-L)

DWWWDLLLWW

Caroline Springs George Cross FC 4-5-1 (W-D-L)

DWWLDDWDDW

Head-to-head

Hume City 2–0 Caroline Springs George Cross FC (2 last)

Caroline Springs George Cross FC2-4Hume City
Hume City4-0Caroline Springs George Cross FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Hume City 1541 · Caroline Springs George Cross FC 1521

	Hume City	Draw	Caroline Springs George Cross FC
Our model	55%	23%	22%
Market	55%	22%	22%

Estimated total (ours) 3.41 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 61%model estimate

Match keys

H2H favours Hume City: 2-0-0.
Cards-heavy: 4.9 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Hume City	Caroline Springs George Cross FC
Goals for / against (FT)	2.1 / 1.5	1.4 / 1.2
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.7	0.8 / 0.3
Half-time result (W/D/L)	20/50/30%	40/50/10%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.1 / 5.6	1.5 / 2.4
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	1.9 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.61

X4.00

24.00

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-0.75)1.77

2 (+0.75)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.90

Under 31.90

Diff.: 0.1 · xG: 3.1

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 00:16

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.61 → 1.61	Bet365 1.61
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.9%

Time*	1	X	2
00:12 +4’	1.61	4.00	4.00

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Hume City 2–0–0 Caroline Springs George Cross FC

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Date	Home	Score	Away
09/05/26 Australia NPL Victoria	Caroline Springs George Cross FC	2-4 HT 2-3	Hume City
12/06/24 Australia FFA Cup Qualifying	Hume City	4-0 HT 2-0	Caroline Springs George Cross FC

Standings · Australia NPL Victoria

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Oakleigh Cannons	24	15	6	3	49	21	51
2	Hume City	24	14	4	6	48	32	46
3	Avondale	24	13	2	9	61	34	41
4	South Melbourne	24	13	2	9	38	33	41
5	Preston Lions	23	14	4	5	36	18	37
6	Caroline Springs George Cross FC	24	8	11	5	32	31	35
7	Heidelberg Utd	24	9	7	8	38	33	34
8	Melbourne City FC 2	23	8	6	9	39	30	30
9	Dandenong City	24	9	6	9	32	29	29
10	St Albans Saints	24	7	7	10	28	42	28
11	Altona Magic	24	7	6	11	27	39	27
12	Bentleigh Greens	24	5	6	13	21	47	21
13	Green Gully	24	3	6	15	20	49	15
14	Dandenong Thunder	24	4	3	17	23	54	15

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Hume City	Caroline Springs George Cross FC
Heidelberg Utd	5-4 W	0-0 D
Melbourne City FC 2	1-0 W	1-0 W
St Albans Saints	2-3 L	2-2 D
Oakleigh Cannons	0-1 L	1-1 D
Preston Lions	1-2 L	0-2 L
Dandenong City	0-0 D	3-2 W
Dandenong Thunder	3-1 W	3-2 W
Green Gully	3-2 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	4 W 1 D 3 L	3 W 4 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: Hume City (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

Hume City

DWWWDLLLWW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Heidelberg Utd Australia NPL Victoria	1-1	5-4	5	3	W
01/08	Melbourne City FC 2 Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	1-0	10	0	W
24/07	St Albans Saints Australia NPL Victoria	1-3	2-3	2	5	L
18/07	Oakleigh Cannons Australia NPL Victoria	0-1	0-1	2	1	L
10/07	Preston Lions Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	1-2	7	1	L
04/07	Dandenong City Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-0	3	1	D
27/06	Dandenong Thunder Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	3-1	8	2	W
20/06	Green Gully Australia NPL Victoria	0-1	3-2	6	4	W
05/06	Bentleigh Greens Australia NPL Victoria	3-1	5-1	8	0	W
30/05	South Melbourne Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	1-1	5	2	D

Caroline Springs George Cross FC

DWWLDDWDDW

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
15/08	Avondale Australia NPL Victoria	2-1	3-2	2	5	W
01/08	Altona Magic Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
24/07	Heidelberg Utd Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
18/07	Melbourne City FC 2 Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
12/07	St Albans Saints Australia NPL Victoria	1-1	2-2	5	3	D
04/07	Oakleigh Cannons Australia NPL Victoria	0-1	1-1	1	2	D
27/06	Preston Lions Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-2	0	3	L
20/06	Dandenong City Australia NPL Victoria	3-0	3-2	4	4	W
06/06	Dandenong Thunder Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	3-2	2	7	W
30/05	Green Gully Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-0	3	2	D

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Hume City vs Caroline Springs George Cross FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Hume City win (55%). Probabilities: Hume City 55%, draw 22%, Caroline Springs George Cross FC 22%.

How many goals are expected in Hume City vs Caroline Springs George Cross FC?

The model expects 3.41 goals (Hume City 2.11 · Caroline Springs George Cross FC 1.3), with a 53% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Hume City vs Caroline Springs George Cross FC?

The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.