Prediction: Preston Lions vs Hume City
Expected goals: 2.74 (Preston Lions 1.39 · Hume City 1.35). The model gives 37% home, 27% draw, 36% away. Under 2.75 goals (54%) and both teams to score (55%). Most likely score: 1-1.
On recent form, Preston Lions is 7-1-2 (wins-draws-losses) over its last 10 matches and Hume City 8-2-0 over its own. In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Preston Lions won 2 and Hume City 1.
| Preston Lions | Draw | Hume City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 37% | 28% | 35% |
| Market | 38% | 26% | 36% |
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Match keys
- H2H favours Preston Lions: 2-0-1.
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 5.5 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Preston Lions | Hume City | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.5 | 2.5 / 0.9 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.2 | 1.1 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/40/20% | 60/30/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.6 / 7.4 | 2.7 / 4.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 3.1 / 0.1 | 2.4 / 0 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Preston Lions 2–0–1 Hume City
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 28/03/26 Australia NPL Victoria | Hume City | 3-2 HT 1-0 | Preston Lions |
| 16/05/25 Australia NPL Victoria | Hume City | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Preston Lions |
| 07/02/25 Australia NPL Victoria | Preston Lions | 2-1 HT 0-0 | Hume City |
Standings · Australia NPL Victoria
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Oakleigh Cannons | 19 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 41 | 18 | 41 |
| 2 | Hume City | 19 | 12 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 22 | 40 |
| 3 | Avondale | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7 | 53 | 25 | 34 |
| 4 | Heidelberg Utd | 19 | 9 | 4 | 6 | 31 | 24 | 31 |
| 5 | Melbourne City FC 2 | 18 | 8 | 5 | 5 | 35 | 20 | 29 |
| 6 | Preston Lions | 18 | 11 | 2 | 5 | 28 | 15 | 29 |
| 7 | South Melbourne | 19 | 9 | 1 | 9 | 29 | 32 | 28 |
| 8 | Caroline Springs George Cross FC | 19 | 6 | 8 | 5 | 25 | 26 | 26 |
| 9 | Dandenong City | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 26 | 25 | 22 |
| 10 | St Albans Saints | 19 | 6 | 4 | 9 | 21 | 34 | 22 |
| 11 | Altona Magic | 19 | 5 | 4 | 10 | 21 | 35 | 19 |
| 12 | Bentleigh Greens | 19 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 17 | 42 | 16 |
| 13 | Dandenong Thunder | 19 | 3 | 3 | 13 | 20 | 42 | 12 |
| 14 | Green Gully | 19 | 2 | 4 | 13 | 13 | 39 | 10 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Preston Lions | Hume City |
|---|---|---|
| Avondale | 3-2 W | 3-0 W |
| Caroline Springs George Cross FC | 2-0 W | 4-2 W |
| Heidelberg Utd | 1-0 W | 2-1 W |
| Altona Magic | 0-1 L | 3-1 W |
| Dandenong City | 1-0 W | 0-0 D |
| Dandenong Thunder | 1-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Record vs common | 5 W 0 D 1 L | 5 W 1 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Hume City (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Preston Lions
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Avondale Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 3-2 | 6 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | Caroline Springs George Cross FC Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 2-0 | 8 | 3 | W |
| 20/06 | Heidelberg Utd Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 2 | W |
| 31/05 | St Albans Saints Australia NPL Victoria |
1-0 | 1-0 | 10 | 4 | W |
| 27/05 | Caroline Springs George Cross FC Australia Cup Qualifying |
2-0 | 6-0 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 24/05 | Oakleigh Cannons Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 0-1 | 0 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Altona Magic Australia NPL Victoria |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 1 | L |
| 08/05 | Dandenong City Australia NPL Victoria |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 1 | W |
| 02/05 | Dandenong Thunder Australia NPL Victoria |
1-0 | 1-0 | 1 | 5 | W |
| 27/04 | Keilor Park Australia Cup Qualifying |
0-1 | 1-1 | 22 | 6 | D |
Hume City
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/07 | Dandenong City Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 1 | D |
| 27/06 | Dandenong Thunder Australia NPL Victoria |
1-0 | 3-1 | 8 | 2 | W |
| 20/06 | Green Gully Australia NPL Victoria |
0-1 | 3-2 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 05/06 | Bentleigh Greens Australia NPL Victoria |
3-1 | 5-1 | 8 | 0 | W |
| 30/05 | South Melbourne Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 2 | D |
| 23/05 | Altona Magic Australia NPL Victoria |
2-1 | 3-1 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 16/05 | Avondale Australia NPL Victoria |
1-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 5 | W |
| 09/05 | Caroline Springs George Cross FC Australia NPL Victoria |
3-2 | 4-2 | 2 | 0 | W |
| 02/05 | Heidelberg Utd Australia NPL Victoria |
1-0 | 2-1 | 3 | 3 | W |
| 26/04 | Melbourne City FC 2 Australia NPL Victoria |
0-0 | 1-0 | 5 | 4 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Preston Lions vs Hume City?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Preston Lions win (37%). Probabilities: Preston Lions 37%, draw 27%, Hume City 36%.
How many goals are expected in Preston Lions vs Hume City?
The model expects 2.74 goals (Preston Lions 1.39 · Hume City 1.35), with a 54% chance of under 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Preston Lions vs Hume City?
The model gives a 55% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.