Football · Australia NPL Victoria · 12/07, 07:00

Prediction: St Albans Saints vs Caroline Springs George Cross FC

Expected goals: 3.15 (St Albans Saints 1.67 · Caroline Springs George Cross FC 1.48). The model gives 41% home, 26% draw, 33% away. Over 2.75 goals (53%) and both teams to score (57%). Most likely score: 1-1.

Recent form leaves St Albans Saints with 3 wins, 3 draws and 4 losses over 10 games; Caroline Springs George Cross FC has piled up 3-3-4 in the same span. In their only recent head-to-head meeting the record reads 0 wins for St Albans Saints and 1 for Caroline Springs George Cross FC.

41%1
41% 26% 33%
Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · St Albans Saints 1475 · Caroline Springs George Cross FC 1495
St Albans SaintsDrawCaroline Springs George Cross FC
Our model41%26%33%
Market41%26%33%
Estimated total (ours) 3.15 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.4

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis
Expected goals3.15St Albans Saints 1.67 · Caroline Springs George Cross FC 1.48
Over / Under 2.75Over 2.75 · 53%
BTTSYes · 57%
Most likely total3 goals
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 55%model estimate

Match keys

  • Cards-heavy: 5.6 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

St Albans SaintsCaroline Springs George Cross FC
Goals for / against (FT)1.3 / 1.51.5 / 2.2
Goals for / against (HT)0.6 / 0.71 / 0.9
Half-time result (W/D/L)20/40/40%30/30/40%
Corners (HT / FT)2.9 / 6.30.9 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)2.8 / 02.8 / 0

Head-to-head (H2H) · St Albans Saints 001 Caroline Springs George Cross FC

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DateHomeScoreAway
28/03/26
Australia NPL Victoria
Caroline Springs George Cross FC2-1
HT 1-1
St Albans Saints

Standings · Australia NPL Victoria

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#Team PWDL GFGAPts
1 Oakleigh Cannons 191252 411841
2 Hume City 191243 392240
3 Avondale 191117 532534
4 Heidelberg Utd 19946 312431
5 Melbourne City FC 2 18855 352029
6 Preston Lions 181125 281529
7 South Melbourne 19919 293228
8 Caroline Springs George Cross FC 19685 252626
9 Dandenong City 19757 262522
10 St Albans Saints 19649 213422
11 Altona Magic 195410 213519
12 Bentleigh Greens 194411 174216
13 Dandenong Thunder 193313 204212
14 Green Gully 192413 133910

Common opponents 6 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

OpponentSt Albans SaintsCaroline Springs George Cross FC
Oakleigh Cannons 2-2 D 1-1 D
Preston Lions 0-1 L 0-2 L
Dandenong City 1-2 L 3-2 W
Dandenong Thunder 2-2 D 3-2 W
Green Gully 1-0 W 0-0 D
Bentleigh Greens 4-2 W 0-0 D
Record vs common 2 W 2 D 2 L 2 W 3 D 1 L

Better against common opponents: St Albans Saints (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

St Albans Saints

WWLDLLDWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
03/07 Heidelberg Utd
Australia NPL Victoria
0-1 1-1 44 D
26/06 Melbourne City FC 2
Australia NPL Victoria
0-1 0-2 123 L
21/06 Altona Magic
Australia NPL Victoria
1-1 2-1 71 W
05/06 Oakleigh Cannons
Australia NPL Victoria
1-1 2-2 24 D
31/05 Preston Lions
Australia NPL Victoria
0-1 0-1 74 L
22/05 Dandenong City
Australia NPL Victoria
0-1 1-2 30 L
16/05 Dandenong Thunder
Australia NPL Victoria
1-0 2-2 122 D
12/05 Oakleigh Cannons
Australia Cup Qualifying
0-0 0-2 92 L
08/05 Green Gully
Australia NPL Victoria
0-0 1-0 75 W
01/05 Bentleigh Greens
Australia NPL Victoria
3-1 4-2 03 W

Caroline Springs George Cross FC

LLWDLDWWLD

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Date Opponent HT FT Cor.Cards Res.
04/07 Oakleigh Cannons
Australia NPL Victoria
0-1 1-1 12 D
27/06 Preston Lions
Australia NPL Victoria
0-0 0-2 03 L
20/06 Dandenong City
Australia NPL Victoria
3-0 3-2 44 W
06/06 Dandenong Thunder
Australia NPL Victoria
1-0 3-2 27 W
30/05 Green Gully
Australia NPL Victoria
0-0 0-0 32 D
27/05 Preston Lions
Australia Cup Qualifying
0-2 0-6 30 L
22/05 Bentleigh Greens
Australia NPL Victoria
0-0 0-0 66 D
18/05 South Melbourne
Australia NPL Victoria
3-0 4-0 42 W
09/05 Hume City
Australia NPL Victoria
2-3 2-4 30 L
02/05 Avondale
Australia NPL Victoria
1-3 2-5 42 L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in St Albans Saints vs Caroline Springs George Cross FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a St Albans Saints win (41%). Probabilities: St Albans Saints 41%, draw 26%, Caroline Springs George Cross FC 33%.

How many goals are expected in St Albans Saints vs Caroline Springs George Cross FC?

The model expects 3.15 goals (St Albans Saints 1.67 · Caroline Springs George Cross FC 1.48), with a 53% chance of over 2.75 goals.

Will both teams score in St Albans Saints vs Caroline Springs George Cross FC?

The model gives a 57% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.