Football · Australia NPL Victoria · 24/07, 11:30

Prediction: Heidelberg Utd vs Caroline Springs George Cross FC

Prediction summary

Expected goals

2.92Total

Heidelberg Utd2

Caroline Springs George Cross FC0.92

1X2

62% 22% 16%

Heidelberg Utd Draw Caroline Springs George Cross FC

Markets

Over 2.5 goals 56% Both teams to score 53%

Most likely score

1-1

Recent form · 10 last

Heidelberg Utd 4-3-3 (W-D-L)

WWLLLWDDDW

Caroline Springs George Cross FC 4-4-2 (W-D-L)

WDLDWWLDDW

Head-to-head

Heidelberg Utd 1–0 Caroline Springs George Cross FC (1 last)

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Heidelberg Utd 1547 · Caroline Springs George Cross FC 1498

	Heidelberg Utd	Draw	Caroline Springs George Cross FC
Our model	61%	23%	16%
Market	62%	21%	16%

Estimated total (ours) 2.92 goals · Bet365 line 3

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 57%model estimate

Match keys

Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours Heidelberg Utd (rating 1547 vs 1498).
Cards-heavy: 5.2 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Heidelberg Utd	Caroline Springs George Cross FC
Goals for / against (FT)	1.5 / 1.1	1.4 / 1.5
Goals for / against (HT)	0.9 / 0.3	0.9 / 0.4
Half-time result (W/D/L)	50/40/10%	40/40/20%
Corners (HT / FT)	3.3 / 6.4	1.2 / 3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.2 / 0	3 / 0

Odds Bet365

11.44

X4.20

25.50

Handicap ⓘ

1 (-1)1.77

2 (+1)2.02

Line ⓘ

Over 31.98

Under 31.82

Diff.: 0.25 · xG: 2.75

View on Bet365 ↗

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 07:06

	Bet365	Best now
1	1.44 → 1.44	Bet365 1.44
X	4.20 → 4.20	Bet365 4.20
2	5.50 → 5.50	Bet365 5.50

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.2%

Time*	1	X	2
07:02 +4’	1.44	4.20	5.50

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Heidelberg Utd 1–0–0 Caroline Springs George Cross FC

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Home	Score	Away
18/04/26 Australia NPL Victoria	Caroline Springs George Cross FC	0-3 HT 0-0	Heidelberg Utd

Standings · Australia NPL Victoria

Swipe the table sideways →

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Oakleigh Cannons	21	14	5	2	44	18	47
2	Hume City	21	12	4	5	40	25	40
3	Avondale	21	11	2	8	54	28	35
4	Preston Lions	20	12	3	5	30	16	33
5	Heidelberg Utd	21	9	6	6	33	26	33
6	South Melbourne	21	10	2	9	31	32	32
7	Melbourne City FC 2	20	8	6	6	37	23	30
8	Caroline Springs George Cross FC	21	7	9	5	28	28	30
9	St Albans Saints	21	6	6	9	24	37	24
10	Altona Magic	21	6	5	10	24	36	23
11	Dandenong City	21	7	5	9	27	29	22
12	Bentleigh Greens	21	5	4	12	20	45	19
13	Dandenong Thunder	21	4	3	14	23	46	15
14	Green Gully	21	3	4	14	17	43	13

Common opponents 7 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Heidelberg Utd	Caroline Springs George Cross FC
Melbourne City FC 2	2-2 D	1-0 W
St Albans Saints	1-1 D	2-2 D
Oakleigh Cannons	0-1 L	1-1 D
Preston Lions	0-1 L	0-2 L
Dandenong City	1-4 L	3-2 W
Dandenong Thunder	4-2 W	3-2 W
Bentleigh Greens	2-0 W	0-0 D
Record vs common	2 W 2 D 3 L	3 W 3 D 1 L

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Heidelberg Utd

WWLLLWDDDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
21/07	Cumberland United Australia Cup	2-0	3-0	4	2	W
18/07	Altona Magic Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-0	7	1	D
11/07	Melbourne City FC 2 Australia NPL Victoria	1-1	2-2	9	6	D
03/07	St Albans Saints Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	1-1	5	4	D
30/06	Brunswick Juventus Australia Cup Qualifying	2-0	2-0	6	3	W
26/06	Oakleigh Cannons Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-1	2	0	L
20/06	Preston Lions Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-1	6	2	L
05/06	Dandenong City Australia NPL Victoria	0-2	1-4	12	0	L
29/05	Dandenong Thunder Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	4-2	7	2	W
26/05	Bentleigh Greens Australia Cup Qualifying	2-0	2-0	6	2	W

Caroline Springs George Cross FC

WDLDWWLDDW

Swipe the table sideways →

Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
18/07	Melbourne City FC 2 Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
12/07	St Albans Saints Australia NPL Victoria	1-1	2-2	5	3	D
04/07	Oakleigh Cannons Australia NPL Victoria	0-1	1-1	1	2	D
27/06	Preston Lions Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-2	0	3	L
20/06	Dandenong City Australia NPL Victoria	3-0	3-2	4	4	W
06/06	Dandenong Thunder Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	3-2	2	7	W
30/05	Green Gully Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
27/05	Preston Lions Australia Cup Qualifying	0-2	0-6	3	0	L
22/05	Bentleigh Greens Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-0	6	6	D
18/05	South Melbourne Australia NPL Victoria	3-0	4-0	4	2	W

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Heidelberg Utd vs Caroline Springs George Cross FC?

According to our model, the most likely result is a Heidelberg Utd win (62%). Probabilities: Heidelberg Utd 62%, draw 22%, Caroline Springs George Cross FC 16%.

How many goals are expected in Heidelberg Utd vs Caroline Springs George Cross FC?

The model expects 2.92 goals (Heidelberg Utd 2 · Caroline Springs George Cross FC 0.92), with a 54% chance of under 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Heidelberg Utd vs Caroline Springs George Cross FC?

The model gives a 53% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.