Football · Australia NPL Victoria · 15/08, 10:00

Prediction: Caroline Springs George Cross FC vs Avondale

Team pages: Caroline Springs George Cross FC · Avondale

Prediction summary

Expected goals

3.67Total

Caroline Springs George Cross FC1.32

Avondale2.35

1X2

19% 22% 59%

Caroline Springs George Cross FC Draw Avondale

Markets

Under 3.5 goals 50% Both teams to score 59%

Most likely score

1-2

Recent form · 10 last

Caroline Springs George Cross FC 3-5-2 (W-D-L)

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Avondale 4-1-5 (W-D-L)

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Head-to-head

Caroline Springs George Cross FC 0–1 Avondale (1 last)

Avondale5-2Caroline Springs George Cross FC

Our model (Elo) vs Market Rating Elo · Caroline Springs George Cross FC 1502 · Avondale 1508

	Caroline Springs George Cross FC	Draw	Avondale
Our model	20%	21%	59%
Market	19%	22%	59%

Estimated total (ours) 3.67 goals · Bet365 line 3 · +0.7

The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.

Model analysis

1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 64%model estimate

Match keys

Cards-heavy: 6.3 🟨 combined avg.

Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed

F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time

	Caroline Springs George Cross FC	Avondale
Goals for / against (FT)	1.1 / 1.6	2.4 / 1.6
Goals for / against (HT)	0.6 / 0.4	0.6 / 0.8
Half-time result (W/D/L)	30/50/20%	30/20/50%
Corners (HT / FT)	1.5 / 2.5	1.4 / 5.3
Cards (🟨 / 🟥)	2.5 / 0	3.8 / 0.2

Odds Bet365

14.75

X4.00

21.53

Handicap ⓘ

1 (+1)1.88

2 (-1)1.93

Line ⓘ

Over 31.95

Under 31.85

Diff.: 0.35 · xG: 3.35

Market movement

Match winner · 1 move · last 12:19

	Bet365	Best now
1	4.75 → 4.75	Bet365 4.75
X	4.00 → 4.00	Bet365 4.00
2	1.53 → 1.53	Bet365 1.53

See the full journey (1)

Bet365 margin 11.3%

Time*	1	X	2
12:16 +3’	4.75	4.00	1.53

Time = when the bookmaker moved the price · “+N’” = we saw it N minutes later · ▲ pays more · ▼ pays less.

We record the changes we see on each pass of our system (this is not a live feed): between two rows there may be moves that don't show up. We deliberately keep two separate times: when the bookmaker moved the price and when we saw it.

← Analysis Join the channel

Head-to-head (H2H) · Caroline Springs George Cross FC 0–0–1 Avondale

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Date	Home	Score	Away
02/05/26 Australia NPL Victoria	Avondale	5-2 HT 3-1	Caroline Springs George Cross FC

Standings · Australia NPL Victoria

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#	Team	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
1	Oakleigh Cannons	23	14	6	3	45	20	48
2	Hume City	23	13	4	6	43	28	43
3	Avondale	23	13	2	8	59	31	41
4	South Melbourne	23	12	2	9	35	33	38
5	Preston Lions	22	13	4	5	33	18	37
6	Heidelberg Utd	23	9	7	7	34	28	34
7	Caroline Springs George Cross FC	23	7	11	5	29	29	32
8	Melbourne City FC 2	22	8	6	8	39	27	30
9	Altona Magic	23	7	6	10	27	37	27
10	St Albans Saints	23	7	6	10	27	41	27
11	Dandenong City	23	8	6	9	30	29	26
12	Bentleigh Greens	23	5	5	13	20	46	20
13	Green Gully	23	3	6	14	19	45	15
14	Dandenong Thunder	23	4	3	16	23	51	15

Common opponents 8 opponents

How each team fared against the same recent opponents

Opponent	Caroline Springs George Cross FC	Avondale
Heidelberg Utd	0-0 D	2-1 W
Melbourne City FC 2	1-0 W	3-2 W
St Albans Saints	2-2 D	1-1 D
Oakleigh Cannons	1-1 D	0-2 L
Preston Lions	0-2 L	2-3 L
Dandenong City	3-2 W	1-3 L
Dandenong Thunder	3-2 W	11-0 W
Green Gully	0-0 D	2-0 W
Record vs common	3 W 4 D 1 L	4 W 1 D 3 L

Better against common opponents: Avondale (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)

Last 10 matches played

The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.

League

Caroline Springs George Cross FC

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Altona Magic Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	1-1	3	2	D
24/07	Heidelberg Utd Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-0	2	1	D
18/07	Melbourne City FC 2 Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	1-0	2	1	W
12/07	St Albans Saints Australia NPL Victoria	1-1	2-2	5	3	D
04/07	Oakleigh Cannons Australia NPL Victoria	0-1	1-1	1	2	D
27/06	Preston Lions Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-2	0	3	L
20/06	Dandenong City Australia NPL Victoria	3-0	3-2	4	4	W
06/06	Dandenong Thunder Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	3-2	2	7	W
30/05	Green Gully Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	0-0	3	2	D
27/05	Preston Lions Australia Cup Qualifying	0-2	0-6	3	0	L

Avondale

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Date	Opponent	HT	FT	Cor.	Cards	Res.
01/08	Heidelberg Utd Australia NPL Victoria	1-1	2-1	3	4	W
25/07	Melbourne City FC 2 Australia NPL Victoria	0-2	3-2	8	5	W
18/07	St Albans Saints Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	1-1	1	6	D
10/07	Oakleigh Cannons Australia NPL Victoria	0-1	0-2	3	3	L
04/07	Preston Lions Australia NPL Victoria	0-0	2-3	9	5	L
26/06	Dandenong City Australia NPL Victoria	0-2	1-3	8	4	L
20/06	Dandenong Thunder Australia NPL Victoria	3-0	11-0	9	2	W
10/06	Midleton FC Republic of Ireland Munster Senior League	0-1	0-1	4	3	L
05/06	Green Gully Australia NPL Victoria	1-0	2-0	6	4	W
02/06	North Sunshine Eagles Australia Cup Qualifying	0-1	2-3	2	4	L

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite in Caroline Springs George Cross FC vs Avondale?

According to our model, the most likely result is an Avondale win (59%). Probabilities: Caroline Springs George Cross FC 19%, draw 22%, Avondale 59%.

How many goals are expected in Caroline Springs George Cross FC vs Avondale?

The model expects 3.67 goals (Caroline Springs George Cross FC 1.32 · Avondale 2.35), with a 55% chance of over 3 goals.

Will both teams score in Caroline Springs George Cross FC vs Avondale?

The model gives a 59% chance that both teams score.

What is the most likely score?

The most likely score according to our model is 1-2.