Football · Chile Primera B · 18/08, 00:00
Prediction: Club Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Luis Quillota
Team pages: Club Deportes Santa Cruz · San Luis Quillota
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.73Total
Club Deportes Santa Cruz1.48
San Luis Quillota1.25
1X2
Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Draw
San Luis Quillota
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 50%
Both teams to score 54%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Club Deportes Santa Cruz
4-3-3 (W-D-L)
San Luis Quillota
3-6-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Club Deportes Santa Cruz
1–4–1
San Luis Quillota
(6 last)
- San Luis Quillota3-2Club Deportes Santa Cruz
- Club Deportes Santa Cruz2-2San Luis Quillota
- San Luis Quillota1-1Club Deportes Santa Cruz
- Club Deportes Santa Cruz1-1San Luis Quillota
- San Luis Quillota1-2Club Deportes Santa Cruz
- Club Deportes Santa Cruz1-1San Luis Quillota
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Club Deportes Santa Cruz 1503 · San Luis Quillota 1533
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | Draw | San Luis Quillota | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 41% | 28% | 31% |
| Market | 42% | 28% | 31% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.73 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 53%model estimate
Match keys
- High corners: 12.1 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | San Luis Quillota | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.2 / 1.3 | 1.6 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.3 / 0.5 | 0.6 / 0.5 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/40/40% | 50/20/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.2 | 2.7 / 5.9 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.6 / 0.7 | 4.7 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Club Deportes Santa Cruz 1–4–1 San Luis Quillota
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/26 Chile Primera B | San Luis Quillota | 3-2 HT 1-2 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz |
| 26/07/25 Chile Primera B | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 2-2 HT 1-0 | San Luis Quillota |
| 10/03/25 Chile Primera B | San Luis Quillota | 1-1 HT 0-0 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz |
| 06/10/24 Chile Primera B | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 1-1 HT 1-1 | San Luis Quillota |
| 19/05/24 Chile Primera B | San Luis Quillota | 1-2 HT 1-1 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz |
| 27/09/23 Chile Primera B | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 1-1 HT 1-0 | San Luis Quillota |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 19 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 37 | 22 | 35 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 19 | 9 | 7 | 3 | 35 | 20 | 34 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 36 | 35 | 32 |
| 4 | Union Espanola | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 27 | 31 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 19 | 8 | 6 | 5 | 32 | 20 | 30 |
| 6 | San Marcos De Arica | 20 | 7 | 9 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 30 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt | 19 | 9 | 3 | 7 | 21 | 19 | 30 |
| 8 | San Luis Quillota | 19 | 7 | 8 | 4 | 29 | 25 | 29 |
| 9 | Deportes Copiapo | 19 | 7 | 6 | 6 | 26 | 29 | 27 |
| 10 | Deportes Recoleta | 19 | 7 | 5 | 7 | 29 | 29 | 26 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 19 | 6 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 28 | 24 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 19 | 4 | 9 | 6 | 26 | 25 | 21 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 19 | 4 | 8 | 7 | 18 | 28 | 20 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 19 | 5 | 5 | 9 | 15 | 34 | 20 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 19 | 3 | 7 | 9 | 24 | 34 | 16 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 20 | 0 | 6 | 14 | 16 | 36 | 6 |
Common opponents 3 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | San Luis Quillota |
|---|---|---|
| Curico Unido | 2-1 W | 2-1 W |
| Rangers de Talca | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Deportes Copiapo | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 2 W 1 D 0 L | 1 W 2 D 0 L |
Better against common opponents: Club Deportes Santa Cruz (1 of 3 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Club Deportes Santa Cruz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 2-4 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 11/07 | Palestino Chile Cup |
0-1 | 2-3 | 3 | 8 | L |
| 05/07 | Audax Italiano Chile Cup |
0-1 | 2-1 | 7 | 5 | W |
| 27/06 | Palestino Chile Cup |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 20/06 | Audax Italiano Chile Cup |
0-0 | 1-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 07/06 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 02/06 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
San Luis Quillota
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 11/07 | Universidad Catolica Chile Cup |
1-0 | 4-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
| 04/07 | Everton de Vina Chile Cup |
1-0 | 2-2 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 28/06 | Universidad Catolica Chile Cup |
1-2 | 2-4 | 7 | 5 | L |
| 21/06 | Everton de Vina Chile Cup |
0-2 | 2-2 | 9 | 5 | D |
| 06/06 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Club Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Luis Quillota?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Club Deportes Santa Cruz win (42%). Probabilities: Club Deportes Santa Cruz 42%, draw 28%, San Luis Quillota 31%.
How many goals are expected in Club Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Luis Quillota?
The model expects 2.73 goals (Club Deportes Santa Cruz 1.48 · San Luis Quillota 1.25), with a 50% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Club Deportes Santa Cruz vs San Luis Quillota?
The model gives a 54% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.