Football · Chile Primera B · 22/08, 21:00
Prediction: Magallanes vs Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Team pages: Magallanes · Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.28Total
Magallanes1.93
Club Deportes Santa Cruz1.36
1X2
Magallanes
Draw
Club Deportes Santa Cruz
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 58%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Magallanes
5-2-3 (W-D-L)
Club Deportes Santa Cruz
2-3-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Magallanes
2–1–3
Club Deportes Santa Cruz
(6 last)
- Club Deportes Santa Cruz2-2Magallanes
- Magallanes1-2Club Deportes Santa Cruz
- Club Deportes Santa Cruz4-1Magallanes
- Club Deportes Santa Cruz0-3Magallanes
- Magallanes3-0Club Deportes Santa Cruz
- Club Deportes Santa Cruz3-1Magallanes
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Magallanes 1480 · Club Deportes Santa Cruz 1482
| Magallanes | Draw | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 50% | 24% | 26% |
| Market | 49% | 26% | 25% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.28 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.5
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 69%model estimate
Match keys
- H2H favours Club Deportes Santa Cruz: 3-1-2.
- High corners: 11.7 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 10.3 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Magallanes | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 2 / 2 | 1 / 1.6 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 1 / 1 | 0.5 / 0.9 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 30/30/40% | 20/30/50% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 1.9 / 4.6 | 3.6 / 7.1 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 5.5 / 0.9 | 4.8 / 0.6 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Magallanes 2–1–3 Club Deportes Santa Cruz
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/04/26 Chile Primera B | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 2-2 HT 0-0 | Magallanes |
| 06/02/26 Chile Cup | Magallanes | 1-2 HT 0-0 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz |
| 01/02/26 Chile Cup | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 4-1 HT 1-0 | Magallanes |
| 07/09/25 Chile Primera B | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 0-3 HT 0-1 | Magallanes |
| 05/05/25 Chile Primera B | Magallanes | 3-0 HT 2-0 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz |
| 17/08/24 Chile Primera B | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 3-1 HT 1-1 | Magallanes |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 38 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 21 | 35 |
| 3 | San Luis Quillota | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 31 | 25 | 32 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 36 | 35 | 32 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 31 |
| 6 | Puerto Montt | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 20 | 31 |
| 7 | Union Espanola | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 27 | 31 |
| 8 | San Marcos De Arica | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 30 |
| 9 | Deportes Copiapo | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 30 |
| 10 | Deportes Recoleta | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 27 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 25 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 22 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 20 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 35 | 20 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 16 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 37 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Magallanes | Club Deportes Santa Cruz |
|---|---|---|
| Rangers de Talca | 3-2 W | 1-0 W |
| Cobreloa | 2-2 D | 2-4 L |
| Deportes Temuco | 4-3 W | 2-3 L |
| CD Antofagasta | 0-0 D | 1-1 D |
| San Luis Quillota | 1-2 L | 0-2 L |
| Deportes Recoleta | 3-2 W | 0-1 L |
| Puerto Montt | 0-2 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 2 D 2 L | 1 W 2 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: Magallanes (4 of 7 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Magallanes
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 3-2 | 3 | 8 | W |
| 12/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-2 | 2 | 5 | D |
| 09/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 4-3 | 5 | 2 | W |
| 02/08 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 3-2 | 9 | 4 | W |
| 26/07 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-2 | 3 | 12 | L |
| 07/06 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 3 | 6 | D |
| 31/05 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 4-3 | 6 | 4 | W |
| 25/05 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-2 | 6 | 5 | L |
| 16/05 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 3-2 | 4 | 8 | W |
| 09/05 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 5 | 10 | L |
Club Deportes Santa Cruz
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 14/08 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 7 | 6 | W |
| 08/08 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 5 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-3 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 25/07 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 2-4 | 11 | 4 | L |
| 07/06 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 8 | 5 | W |
| 02/06 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 6 | D |
| 24/05 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 4 | 7 | D |
| 19/05 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
2-2 | 2-3 | 7 | 4 | L |
| 09/05 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 10 | 9 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Magallanes vs Club Deportes Santa Cruz?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Magallanes win (49%). Probabilities: Magallanes 49%, draw 25%, Club Deportes Santa Cruz 25%.
How many goals are expected in Magallanes vs Club Deportes Santa Cruz?
The model expects 3.28 goals (Magallanes 1.93 · Club Deportes Santa Cruz 1.36), with a 54% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in Magallanes vs Club Deportes Santa Cruz?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.