Football · Chile Primera B · 22/08, 21:00
Prediction: Puerto Montt vs Deportes Iquique
Team pages: Puerto Montt · Deportes Iquique
Prediction summary
Expected goals
2.31Total
Puerto Montt1.19
Deportes Iquique1.12
1X2
Puerto Montt
Draw
Deportes Iquique
Markets
Under 2.5 goals 54%
Both teams to score 51%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
Puerto Montt
3-3-4 (W-D-L)
Deportes Iquique
2-6-2 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
Puerto Montt
0–5–1
Deportes Iquique
(6 last)
- Deportes Iquique0-0Puerto Montt
- Puerto Montt2-2Deportes Iquique
- Deportes Iquique1-1Puerto Montt
- Deportes Iquique1-1Puerto Montt
- Puerto Montt0-0Deportes Iquique
- Deportes Iquique4-2Puerto Montt
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · Puerto Montt 1509 · Deportes Iquique 1522
| Puerto Montt | Draw | Deportes Iquique | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 36% | 31% | 33% |
| Market | 37% | 29% | 34% |
Estimated total (ours)
2.31 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · -0.2
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsUnder 1.5 · 60%model estimate
Match keys
- Cards-heavy: 7.7 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| Puerto Montt | Deportes Iquique | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 0.9 / 1.2 | 1.5 / 1.2 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.5 / 0.6 | 0.4 / 0.2 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 20/50/30% | 40/50/10% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 2.3 / 4.2 | 2.5 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.1 / 0.9 | 3.6 / 0.4 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · Puerto Montt 0–5–1 Deportes Iquique
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Chile Primera B | Deportes Iquique | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Puerto Montt |
| 29/07/23 Chile Primera B | Puerto Montt | 2-2 HT 2-0 | Deportes Iquique |
| 13/03/23 Chile Primera B | Deportes Iquique | 1-1 HT 1-0 | Puerto Montt |
| 26/07/22 Chile Primera B | Deportes Iquique | 1-1 HT 0-1 | Puerto Montt |
| 09/03/22 Chile Primera B | Puerto Montt | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportes Iquique |
| 13/11/21 Chile Primera B | Deportes Iquique | 4-2 HT 2-1 | Puerto Montt |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 20 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 38 | 22 | 38 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 21 | 35 |
| 3 | San Luis Quillota | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 31 | 25 | 32 |
| 4 | Magallanes | 20 | 9 | 5 | 6 | 36 | 35 | 32 |
| 5 | CD Antofagasta | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 31 |
| 6 | Puerto Montt | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 22 | 20 | 31 |
| 7 | Union Espanola | 20 | 9 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 27 | 31 |
| 8 | San Marcos De Arica | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 30 |
| 9 | Deportes Copiapo | 20 | 8 | 6 | 6 | 30 | 29 | 30 |
| 10 | Deportes Recoleta | 20 | 7 | 6 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 27 |
| 11 | Deportes Temuco | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 25 |
| 12 | Deportes Iquique | 20 | 4 | 10 | 6 | 27 | 26 | 22 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 20 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 35 | 20 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 20 | 3 | 7 | 10 | 24 | 36 | 16 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 37 | 9 |
Common opponents 6 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | Puerto Montt | Deportes Iquique |
|---|---|---|
| Union Espanola | 0-1 L | 1-2 L |
| Deportes Recoleta | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| CD Antofagasta | 3-2 W | 1-1 D |
| Cobreloa | 1-1 D | 1-1 D |
| San Marcos De Arica | 0-2 L | 1-1 D |
| Magallanes | 2-0 W | 3-4 L |
| Record vs common | 3 W 1 D 2 L | 0 W 4 D 2 L |
Better against common opponents: Puerto Montt (3 of 6 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
Puerto Montt
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 7 | 3 | D |
| 12/08 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 4 | L |
| 08/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 02/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 26/07 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 3-2 | 5 | 7 | W |
| 06/06 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 30/05 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 4 | 1 | L |
| 24/05 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 0-2 | 3 | 4 | L |
| 17/05 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 1-4 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 09/05 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 3 | 10 | W |
Deportes Iquique
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 4 | D |
| 14/08 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 4-0 | 0 | 2 | W |
| 08/08 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 3 | 2 | D |
| 01/08 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
| 25/07 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 6 | 7 | W |
| 07/06 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 5 | D |
| 31/05 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 3-4 | 6 | 4 | L |
| 23/05 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 12 | 2 | D |
| 19/05 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-2 | 6 | 6 | L |
| 09/05 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 4 | 4 | D |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in Puerto Montt vs Deportes Iquique?
According to our model, the most likely result is a Puerto Montt win (37%). Probabilities: Puerto Montt 37%, draw 30%, Deportes Iquique 33%.
How many goals are expected in Puerto Montt vs Deportes Iquique?
The model expects 2.31 goals (Puerto Montt 1.19 · Deportes Iquique 1.12), with a 54% chance of under 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in Puerto Montt vs Deportes Iquique?
The model gives a 51% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.