Football · Chile Primera B · 23/08, 23:00
Prediction: CD Antofagasta vs Deportes Temuco
Team pages: CD Antofagasta · Deportes Temuco
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.07Total
CD Antofagasta1.87
Deportes Temuco1.2
1X2
CD Antofagasta
Draw
Deportes Temuco
Markets
Under 3.5 goals 63%
Both teams to score 56%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
CD Antofagasta
3-5-2 (W-D-L)
Deportes Temuco
3-2-5 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
CD Antofagasta
0–3–3
Deportes Temuco
(6 last)
- Deportes Temuco3-3CD Antofagasta
- Deportes Temuco2-2CD Antofagasta
- CD Antofagasta0-0Deportes Temuco
- CD Antofagasta0-1Deportes Temuco
- Deportes Temuco1-0CD Antofagasta
- Deportes Temuco2-1CD Antofagasta
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · CD Antofagasta 1559 · Deportes Temuco 1430
| CD Antofagasta | Draw | Deportes Temuco | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 52% | 25% | 23% |
| Market | 52% | 25% | 23% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.07 goals · Bet365 line 2.75 · +0.3
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 59%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours CD Antofagasta (rating 1559 vs 1430).
- H2H favours Deportes Temuco: 3-3-0.
- High corners: 12.2 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 8.4 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| CD Antofagasta | Deportes Temuco | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.6 / 0.9 | 1.5 / 1.5 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.7 / 0.1 | 0.8 / 0.7 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 40/60/0% | 30/40/30% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.1 / 6.5 | 2.9 / 5.7 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4.3 / 0.2 | 4.1 / 0.2 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · CD Antofagasta 0–3–3 Deportes Temuco
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Chile Primera B | Deportes Temuco | 3-3 HT 3-1 | CD Antofagasta |
| 03/08/25 Chile Primera B | Deportes Temuco | 2-2 HT 0-1 | CD Antofagasta |
| 17/03/25 Chile Primera B | CD Antofagasta | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Deportes Temuco |
| 01/08/24 Chile Primera B | CD Antofagasta | 0-1 HT 0-1 | Deportes Temuco |
| 16/03/24 Chile Primera B | Deportes Temuco | 1-0 HT 0-0 | CD Antofagasta |
| 03/09/23 Chile Primera B | Deportes Temuco | 2-1 HT 1-0 | CD Antofagasta |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 38 | 23 | 38 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 21 | 35 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 35 | 35 |
| 4 | Union Espanola | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 34 |
| 5 | San Luis Quillota | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 31 | 25 | 32 |
| 6 | CD Antofagasta | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 31 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 24 | 31 |
| 8 | San Marcos De Arica | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 30 |
| 9 | Deportes Recoleta | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 30 |
| 10 | Deportes Copiapo | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 31 | 30 |
| 11 | Deportes Iquique | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 25 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 25 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 20 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 35 | 20 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 37 | 16 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 37 | 9 |
Common opponents 8 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | CD Antofagasta | Deportes Temuco |
|---|---|---|
| Deportes Iquique | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Union Espanola | 3-0 W | 0-1 L |
| Union San Felipe | 5-1 W | 5-0 W |
| Magallanes | 0-0 D | 3-4 L |
| Curico Unido | 0-1 L | 0-1 L |
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 1-1 D | 3-2 W |
| San Marcos De Arica | 1-1 D | 1-0 W |
| San Luis Quillota | 3-1 W | 1-1 D |
| Record vs common | 3 W 4 D 1 L | 3 W 1 D 4 L |
Better against common opponents: CD Antofagasta (4 of 8 head-to-heads won)
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
CD Antofagasta
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/08 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 9 | 4 | D |
| 13/08 | Santiago Wanderers Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 3-0 | 4 | 3 | W |
| 01/08 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 5-1 | 6 | 0 | W |
| 26/07 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-3 | 6 | 7 | L |
| 07/06 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 02/06 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 6 | 8 | L |
| 24/05 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 17/05 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 4 | D |
| 10/05 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 3-1 | 4 | 2 | W |
Deportes Temuco
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 2 | 3 | D |
| 14/08 | San Luis Quillota Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 3-4 | 9 | 2 | L |
| 04/08 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 1-4 | 11 | 3 | L |
| 25/07 | Deportes Iquique Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 3 | 7 | L |
| 09/06 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 7 | 6 | L |
| 31/05 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-0 | 2 | 5 | W |
| 24/05 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 5-0 | 5 | 1 | W |
| 19/05 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
2-2 | 3-2 | 5 | 4 | W |
| 09/05 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-1 | 8 | 6 | L |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in CD Antofagasta vs Deportes Temuco?
According to our model, the most likely result is a CD Antofagasta win (52%). Probabilities: CD Antofagasta 52%, draw 25%, Deportes Temuco 23%.
How many goals are expected in CD Antofagasta vs Deportes Temuco?
The model expects 3.07 goals (CD Antofagasta 1.87 · Deportes Temuco 1.2), with a 52% chance of over 2.75 goals.
Will both teams score in CD Antofagasta vs Deportes Temuco?
The model gives a 56% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.