Football · Chile Primera B · 25/08, 01:30
Prediction: San Luis Quillota vs Santiago Wanderers
Team pages: San Luis Quillota · Santiago Wanderers
Prediction summary
Expected goals
3.23Total
San Luis Quillota1.83
Santiago Wanderers1.4
1X2
San Luis Quillota
Draw
Santiago Wanderers
Markets
Over 2.5 goals 56%
Both teams to score 58%
Most likely score
1-1
Recent form · 10 last
San Luis Quillota
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Santiago Wanderers
5-4-1 (W-D-L)
Head-to-head
San Luis Quillota
2–2–2
Santiago Wanderers
(6 last)
- Santiago Wanderers3-1San Luis Quillota
- San Luis Quillota3-2Santiago Wanderers
- Santiago Wanderers0-1San Luis Quillota
- San Luis Quillota0-0Santiago Wanderers
- Santiago Wanderers6-0San Luis Quillota
- Santiago Wanderers0-0San Luis Quillota
Our model (Elo) vs Market
Rating Elo · San Luis Quillota 1549 · Santiago Wanderers 1496
| San Luis Quillota | Draw | Santiago Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Our model | 47% | 25% | 29% |
| Market | 46% | 26% | 28% |
Estimated total (ours)
3.23 goals · Bet365 line 2.5 · +0.7
The bar above blends our model with the market: where our probability diverges most from the odds is where the model sees the widest gap.
Model analysis
1st-half goalsOver 1.5 · 68%model estimate
Match keys
- Our model (Elo, opponent-adjusted) favours San Luis Quillota (rating 1549 vs 1496).
- High corners: 11.4 combined avg.
- Cards-heavy: 9.6 🟨 combined avg.
Statistics · 10/10 matches analysed
F = for · A = against · HT = half-time · FT = full-time
| San Luis Quillota | Santiago Wanderers | |
|---|---|---|
| Goals for / against (FT) | 1.5 / 0.9 | 1.9 / 0.7 |
| Goals for / against (HT) | 0.8 / 0.5 | 0.8 / 0.4 |
| Half-time result (W/D/L) | 50/30/20% | 50/30/20% |
| Corners (HT / FT) | 3.2 / 6.4 | 2.9 / 5 |
| Cards (🟨 / 🟥) | 4 / 0.3 | 5.6 / 0.7 |
Head-to-head (H2H) · San Luis Quillota 2–2–2 Santiago Wanderers
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| Date | Home | Score | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 12/04/26 Chile Primera B | Santiago Wanderers | 3-1 HT 1-1 | San Luis Quillota |
| 06/09/25 Chile Primera B | San Luis Quillota | 3-2 HT 1-1 | Santiago Wanderers |
| 04/05/25 Chile Primera B | Santiago Wanderers | 0-1 HT 0-0 | San Luis Quillota |
| 07/09/24 Chile Primera B | San Luis Quillota | 0-0 HT 0-0 | Santiago Wanderers |
| 05/06/24 Chile Primera B | Santiago Wanderers | 6-0 HT 1-0 | San Luis Quillota |
| 30/07/23 Chile Primera B | Santiago Wanderers | 0-0 HT 0-0 | San Luis Quillota |
Standings · Chile Primera B
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| # | Team | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 38 | 23 | 38 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 21 | 35 |
| 3 | Magallanes | 21 | 10 | 5 | 6 | 37 | 35 | 35 |
| 4 | Union Espanola | 21 | 10 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 27 | 34 |
| 5 | San Luis Quillota | 20 | 8 | 8 | 4 | 31 | 25 | 32 |
| 6 | CD Antofagasta | 20 | 8 | 7 | 5 | 33 | 21 | 31 |
| 7 | Puerto Montt | 21 | 9 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 24 | 31 |
| 8 | San Marcos De Arica | 21 | 7 | 9 | 5 | 25 | 18 | 30 |
| 9 | Deportes Recoleta | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 30 |
| 10 | Deportes Copiapo | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 31 | 30 |
| 11 | Deportes Iquique | 21 | 5 | 10 | 6 | 31 | 26 | 25 |
| 12 | Deportes Temuco | 20 | 6 | 7 | 7 | 32 | 29 | 25 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 20 |
| 14 | Union San Felipe | 20 | 5 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 35 | 20 |
| 15 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 37 | 16 |
| 16 | Rangers de Talca | 21 | 1 | 6 | 14 | 18 | 37 | 9 |
Common opponents 7 opponents
How each team fared against the same recent opponents
| Opponent | San Luis Quillota | Santiago Wanderers |
|---|---|---|
| Club Deportes Santa Cruz | 2-0 W | 3-1 W |
| Deportes Copiapo | 1-1 D | 0-1 L |
| Rangers de Talca | 1-1 D | 2-0 W |
| Curico Unido | 2-1 W | 3-0 W |
| San Marcos De Arica | 1-0 W | 1-1 D |
| Puerto Montt | 4-1 W | 1-1 D |
| CD Antofagasta | 1-3 L | 0-0 D |
| Record vs common | 4 W 2 D 1 L | 3 W 3 D 1 L |
Last 10 matches played
The averages above come from these matches. W = win, D = draw, L = loss. Common opponents to both are in blue.
San Luis Quillota
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 4 | W |
| 14/08 | Deportes Temuco Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 1-1 | 9 | 6 | D |
| 09/08 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 5 | 4 | D |
| 01/08 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 10 | 3 | D |
| 25/07 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-1 | 1 | 4 | W |
| 06/06 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-0 | 3 | 7 | W |
| 30/05 | Deportes Recoleta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 7 | 1 | D |
| 25/05 | Magallanes Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 2-1 | 11 | 5 | W |
| 17/05 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
2-1 | 4-1 | 8 | 7 | W |
| 10/05 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-2 | 1-3 | 6 | 2 | L |
Santiago Wanderers
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| Date | Opponent | HT | FT | Cor. | Cards | Res. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/08 | Puerto Montt Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 1-1 | 6 | 3 | D |
| 13/08 | CD Antofagasta Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 0-0 | 1 | 4 | D |
| 08/08 | San Marcos De Arica Chile Primera B |
0-0 | 1-1 | 7 | 8 | D |
| 02/08 | Club Deportes Santa Cruz Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 3-1 | 2 | 6 | W |
| 25/07 | Union San Felipe Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 5 | 3 | W |
| 06/06 | Deportes Copiapo Chile Primera B |
0-1 | 0-1 | 8 | 10 | L |
| 30/05 | Union Espanola Chile Primera B |
1-2 | 2-2 | 7 | 7 | D |
| 23/05 | Rangers de Talca Chile Primera B |
1-0 | 2-0 | 4 | 6 | W |
| 16/05 | Curico Unido Chile Primera B |
2-0 | 3-0 | 3 | 6 | W |
| 10/05 | Cobreloa Chile Primera B |
1-1 | 5-1 | 7 | 10 | W |
Frequently asked questions
Who is the favourite in San Luis Quillota vs Santiago Wanderers?
According to our model, the most likely result is a San Luis Quillota win (46%). Probabilities: San Luis Quillota 46%, draw 26%, Santiago Wanderers 28%.
How many goals are expected in San Luis Quillota vs Santiago Wanderers?
The model expects 3.23 goals (San Luis Quillota 1.83 · Santiago Wanderers 1.4), with a 56% chance of over 2.5 goals.
Will both teams score in San Luis Quillota vs Santiago Wanderers?
The model gives a 58% chance that both teams score.
What is the most likely score?
The most likely score according to our model is 1-1.